Thread: Michael Bourn or Kyle Lohse?

Originally Posted by jokin

You need to take into account the simple fact that the risk/reward equation and the hierarchy of needs model are both subject to constant change.

It would also assume that by adding a front line pitcher and CF the Twins would would still be a poor team and thus selling at the trade deadline. By adding the players and being in contention the fans would be in an uproar if they were traded for the future. If the Twins would not be in contention with adding these two then the conversations about the Twins being cheap is moot.

Originally Posted by jokin

You need to take into account the simple fact that the risk/reward equation and the hierarchy of needs model are both subject to constant change.

This is true. A 2012-Orioles-like team is highly likely to show up next year, competing out of nowhere at the deadline. Hell, even the Indians were "contenders" in June.

The flip side of the coin, though, is that the risk/reward equation disfavors the Twins if either gets off to a sluggish start and can't be flipped, or if either gets injured and just becomes deadweight.

This is sort of the equivalent of flipping houses. You buy not because you want to live in it but to make a quick buck. Sometimes it works and you make out like a bandit, but if it falls through your leverage quickly leads to a total loss. I'm of the old school, I guess. If you don't want to own it, don't buy it.