12-09-2012, 02:27 PM #1
Chance Twins open season with 75/80m payroll??
First off, Im 100% a nonpayroll guy but who it's used on......dont spend JUST to spend.
That said......The team currently has its current 25 man roster @ 71.5m approx
Im 100% positive Ryan will never offer a FA pitcher more than a year. Its his cheap old schooled approach.
Twins have 3/5 of rotation set with Diamond, Worley & Hendriks all making the minimum. They will go dumpster diving on 1 yr offers for Lannan, Liriano, Corrieia, etc on low money deal to fill out the rotation......OR will they?
His mention of Duensing & Blackburn during his MLB TV interview has me thinking Nick's 5.5m will be given EVERY opportunity to get a spot. Duensing will allow the team to keep all its relievers (currently 8 with 7 spots...but if Brian starts, they dont have to make a decision there).
Per Ryan's comments, they wont spend any more on bullpen, or position players (maybe a 3B comp for Trev but that's the 13th roster spot)
The 13th position player is irrelevenat to salary as they will be minimum, as will the 4th OF & the utility guy.
Twins/Ryan will state 'they made offers to every pitcher (with EJackson/McCarthy we now know is an outright lie) & were rebuffed' but they only made offers that they knew would be turned down as has been their MO during the Ryan yrs.
IF this happens, does this bother you or are you fine with rebuilding for 2014?? If that extra $25m were to be used for future, it wouldnt bother me but it will just go into Pohlads pockets, Im sure.
12-09-2012, 02:34 PM #2
If they were to use some of the "extra" money to sign another Sano or Kepler or two, I would be OK with that.
12-09-2012, 02:41 PM #3
Why should anyone buy a ticket in 2013 if they have no intention of competing in 2013? I suggest that Twins fans also save their money until 2014, then spend it.
12-09-2012, 02:54 PM #4
12-09-2012, 03:08 PM #5
12-09-2012, 03:17 PM #6
People seem to be sugesting saving money for international signings and draft picks. Can't happen, teams can't spend freely there now, they are both capped.
12-09-2012, 03:20 PM #7
12-09-2012, 03:23 PM #8
12-09-2012, 03:24 PM #9
When Jr says "the Twins can't give their money away," I don't believe him.
The Twins could have pitched a signing bonus to all 3 equaling 50% of their 2013 salary, and they would have paid $30m next year, and only be on the hook for 15.5m in 2014.
They could have offered each an additional year of guaranteed money, incentives, no trade clauses, vesting options, whatever. They could have gotten more creative to get even 1 of these guys.
I can't believe all 3 turned down deals from the Twins that were better than what they ended up signing for.
12-09-2012, 03:29 PM #10
People laughed when I said they are the more subtle Marlins. Three players make more than $4MM on this roster. Three. Make Mauer's deal $10MM and they payroll is lower than in the dome. (I don't actually know the numbers, that's exaggeration for effect).
They are simply choosing not to sign players. There are plenty of good pitchers out there, they are choosing not to sign. Still hoping I'm wrong.*
*oh, and I do think signing two good pitchers would make a difference. If they get hot and lucky, they could be in it at the deadline, or encouraged to try to get players, instead of getting rid of players. If you are not going to spend in a year when your payroll is $25MM lower than last year, and the tv money is going up by $25MM next year, when are you ever going to spend? Santana and Hunter were right. The future will never come for this team, in terms of adding players. Still hoping I'm wrong.
**to answer the question, yes, it is possible they'll be under $80-85MM.
Last edited by mike wants wins; 12-09-2012 at 03:31 PM.Win Twins.
12-09-2012, 03:34 PM #11
Nick Blackburn is the 4th highest paid Twins @ 5.5m
Jamey Carroll is the 5th highest paid @ 3.75m
If Brian Duensing's arbitration lands under a million.....MN could field an on field team of players with only 7 guys making over a million (no FA signings....Blackburn in AAA)....Doumit, Perk, Burton the other 3
Last edited by greengoblinrulz; 12-09-2012 at 03:38 PM.
12-09-2012, 03:36 PM #12
12-09-2012, 03:37 PM #13
12-09-2012, 03:38 PM #14
As for the taxpayers, I never understood why their elected representatives did not do a better job in protecting them, except for the fact that most politicians are hacks.
12-09-2012, 04:09 PM #15
As I have said in the past, I would not have a problem with the Twins "harboring" money to be used toward free agent signings in a future year BUT that is a HUGE change in their "modus operandi" and would require a DEFINITIVE STATEMENT on their part that it is in fact, what they are doing and that they will no longer be adhering to the 50% (or 52% or whatever it is) rule.
As someone mentioned above, the baseball world is changed -- there are slots for what you pay players acquired in the draft and there is a governing system for what you can spend internationally (yes, you can overspend but the penalities are much more than I ever envision the Twins being willing to pay). The one other area where I can see that a "pool" of money can be used is in the bidding system for international players (a la Yu Darvish or god forbid, Nishioka).
Reasonable fans (or taxpayers) would not (and should not) assume that any reduction in payroll will be used in the future. The Twins would have to make it clear that the monies would, in fact, be spent in the future. AND fans should use their wallets (through attendance, purchases, etc). to hold the franchise's feet to the fire.
If not, EVERY Twins fan and EVERY Minnesota taxpayer should be OUTRAGED.
Perhaps there aren't any good pitching deals that could be had but are those of you who are saying they shouldn't spend also saying that they are NO "purchases" they can use to improve this team? Are there NO Willingham-type deals to be made where you sign a player who may be valuable to you later in trades? It seems to me that there are a lot of places that this roster can be upgraded -- not just the pitching staff.
Last edited by JB_Iowa; 12-09-2012 at 04:14 PM.
12-09-2012, 04:35 PM #16
Those saying they shouldn't spend money, what should they do with it? Pocket it? They are not likely to keep it, and use it in future years for signing bonuses, no one really thinks that, do they?
So if they do not spend it trying to make the team better, what should they do with it?Win Twins.
12-09-2012, 04:40 PM #17
The main issue for me is that Blackburn's $5.5 million is coming off the books after 2013 and Morneau's $14 million is too. I am not sure about what will happen with Jamey Carroll, but that 3.75 should be gone as well. THAT ALONE almost meets the amount they would spend for 2014 on Jackson and Marcum in the second year of their contracts. The Twins are going to live off of cheap players for many years through what is now a great farm system again.
12-09-2012, 04:42 PM #18
12-09-2012, 04:43 PM #19
I don't disagree with you, JB Iowa, and I as a fan and taxpayer would like some statement to the effect of "yes, our payroll is low now, but just wait and see what happens when our minor league core gets really good in 2015/16." But I strongly disagree with those who claim that they "know" that the Pohlads are just pocketing the money, or that because they used to have a low payroll back in the completely different and not-all-that-far-behind-us Metrodome years, they "must" be doing the same things now.
I cannot imagine that the entire front office and ownership of the Twins isn't adapting to the changing situation in major league baseball and the changing Twins' situation in particular. Indeed, maybe it's just smart business to have a low payroll now when expectations are at their bottom and to overspend later when we're only a piece or two away.
Unless there's some sort of conspiracy theory. Do we at TD believe the Trilateral Commission runs the world government, too?
12-09-2012, 04:45 PM #20
I would think that Kyle Gibson is likely to start the season in the rotation, along with Worley and Dianmond. The Twins should sign one good free agent and let Liam Hendrix, Cole DeVries, and other minor leaguers fight for the last spot in the rotation at Spring Training. I suspect that they will sign two scrap-heapers (below Jason Marquis level) and hope to catch lightning in a bottle.