2012: 1.37 lower ERA, 0.29 lower WHIP in second half than first
2010: 1.02 lower ERA, 0.13 lower WHIP in second half than first:
I agree that it's time for the philosophy to end but I'm not giving it very strong odds. Spending $20 per year total for Haren and Jake Peavy would solidify the front of the rotation and if they perform as expected and the Twins could be right back in contention. However, I don't think Ryan has the constitution to offer the multi-year deals necessary to do this. History tells us that instead of spending $10-15 million for a top of the rotation guy, Ryan will give $5 million for a replacement level guy and spread the rest of the money on a handfull of hit-or-miss position players. This has never made economical sense as that replacement level pitcher is never any better than the already crappy options in AAA but it lets Ryan sleep better at night as no risk was taken.
Do not think that Haren and Peavy will sign for $10 mil a year. Both will probably get more than that, espically Peavy. Total for the two will be about $25 mil a year. Too many big market clubs need pitching.(Yankees, Boston, Mets) Twins are more likely to try and trade for major league ready starters from clubs like Tampa Bay, Seattle, Oakland (all of whom need offense and are interested in cost control players, which the Twins have).
I guess I'll just disagree with everyone about what Ryan means when he says the Twins won't spend big on pitching. I consider big to be the 50-100M range (Buehrle, CJ wilson, Cliff Lee for example). I consider 3/30 to be mid sized spending similar to the Willingham contract last year and puts the twins in the market for a decent pitcher without exposing them to too much long risk.
Ryan doesn't speak the truth anyway so why even think that?