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11) Health
Do the Twins enter the offseason confident in the health of Mauer, Morneau and Span? Last offseason these were big question marks and may have been a factor in how they developed the roster. This winter's planning will be easier if the concussions, wrist and leg problems are a year behind them. To a lesser extent, Doumit is also managing his way through a rare healthy season.
Great list, Nick!! EAch of these is great! Excellent work!
If Diamond turns out to be a 3.50 ERA innings eater, we have a "good" #2.
What we don't want is to start next year with our #1 being a 4.00+ ERA, 4 SO/9 "innings eater."
Matt Capps, Carl Pavano, and P.J. Walters rehab concerns included.Quote:
Originally Posted by jorgenswest
Bonus: The Cole De Vries train. Does De Vries have a chance to continue putting up quality starts when so many people think his stuff just isn't that good? A nuthin' fastball, a big, slow overhand curve, a little this a little that. How does he do it? Can he keep doing it?
What if he does? If Cole De Vries wins more games than any other starter, will the Twins still send him down to AAA?
Bonus #2: Can Drew Butera throw a knuckle ball?
I'm still skeptical about Diamond, because of his low K/9 and my doubts that he can sustain the low walk rate he's posted so far. Right now, his performance has been absolutely the best case scenario for a pitcher of his type, but he's walking a fine line. What's the track record of pitchers who start out at 26 with a low strikeout rate, already depending on exceptionally fine control and a high groundball percentage to be successful? I wouldn't expect many of them to have a good, long career.
If Diamond's walk rate regresses to around 3.0, and his strikeout rate slips just a bit, and maybe he starts allowing some more flyballs, suddenly he's Nick Blackburn, or Carlos Silva after his miracle year. Maybe he has one more strong season in him. Maybe he'll be at least a decent back-end starter for 2-3 years. But I just hope Terry Ryan doesn't go signing him to any longterm contract.
Either I've missed it or everybody has been holding their collective breath, but frightwig's above comment on Diamond seems long overdue. I'm being a little ironic, but I've been surprised one of the resident stat analysts (or Gleeman) hasn't burst my bubble sooner on Diamond. Shine on Scott, shine on.
Nick, for some reason I am so optimistic about this team that I am hoping they trade for Felix Hernandez. May not make enough of a difference this year, but it just might re-ignite team and fan confidence going into next year.
Someone call Phil and R.A., and give this kid a rosin bag.Quote:
Bonus #2: Can Drew Butera throw a knuckle ball?
About Brian Dozier...
"He's actually been better lately, with a .321 average in July, but his plate discipline and defense remain suspect and absolutely must improve."
Wait what? He batted .321 in July, but his plate discipline is suspect? What must a man do to allay these suspicions?
Even if a guy jumps up and down waving the bat wildly, if he bats .321 he's doing pretty well. And his defense...seldom do we see rookies come up with a completely polished defensive game. They tend to be erratic, but along with the silly goofs, the good ones make exciting plays, as Dozier's been doing.
Dozier appears to be a cross between a young Nick Punto and a young Dustin Pedroia. The more Pedroia the better, of course, but even if he's more of a Punto, that's still a pretty good ball player. Clearly Dozier's got more pop than Punto, so I'm looking forward to seeing some very good ball from this guy.
So 8 games in July and we make Pedroia comps? Yowza.
Actually hitting .321 over 28 at-bats doesn't mean much at all. And when the solid average is attached to shoddy plate discipline (6/1 K/BB) and little power (1 XBH) it becomes less encouraging.Quote:
Originally Posted by jimbo92107
Dozier's calling card in the minors was a solid plate approach, and until that manifests in the majors I'll remain wary of his offensive ability.
I'd go as far to say it doesn't mean anything at all. Drew Butera has done that in 28 AB stretches.Quote:
Originally Posted by Nick Nelson
Dozier has been playing better but until he does it for two months, I'm skeptical (and overall, I'm a Dozier supporter).
My dream. Danny starts tearin up AAA and pushes Plouffe back to another try at SS where he sticks. And Dozier becomes the "Punto" referenced above.
Keep dreaming...Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul
Even in this dread scenario, I have a tough time believing Dozier woudln't take over at 2nd... Not quite sure why people suddenly don't like him. Everyone was lining up to make him a starter in spring training. He's a rookie who is going to take his lumps. Even the highest regarded rookies typically have problems.