jorgenswest
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Yesterday, 11:07 PMWhile they were winning, wasn't defense part of the Twins way? It seems like all they care about is avoiding errors and limiting fundamental...11 replies | 290 view(s) -
05-20-2013, 08:35 PMThe a Twins should not worry about the super 2. It only is money with an extra year of arbitration. They should be concerned about a 21-23 year...150 replies | 2712 view(s)
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05-20-2013, 08:01 PMI hope the Twins aren't using AAA stat lines to decide who is ready to be called up to the starting rotation. The only measures that might be...22 replies | 2435 view(s)
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05-19-2013, 06:02 PMjorgenswest commented on blog entry Kyle Gibson and the Red Wings at the Lehigh Valley IronPigs today and it was so close in thrylos98Great report. Great read. Thank you.1 replies | 128 view(s)
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05-19-2013, 03:08 PMHe gave up a hit in the 8th. Put him on a plane. I am looking forward to his first start as a Twin.88 replies | 2776 view(s)
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05-19-2013, 02:03 PMjorgenswest commented on blog entry With the 4th pick of the 2013 MLB Draft the Twins select... in thrylos98Great stuff. I look forward to your reports later this week. You have sold me on Manaea.5 replies | 298 view(s)
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05-18-2013, 11:25 PMI tend to agree, though a one year contract is not significant risk. I would contend that anyone who thinks he is worth a reasonably good prospect...121 replies | 4132 view(s)
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05-18-2013, 04:50 PMIs there a third option to give Morneau a one year qualifying offer to be eligible for compensation? If so, they do not need to trade him unless...121 replies | 4132 view(s)
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05-18-2013, 03:39 PMIt is possible to get a good prospect in a trade. It will have to be someone young who the Twins scouts can see a better future than generally seen...121 replies | 4132 view(s)
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05-18-2013, 12:29 PMIf so, then he was 28 at the time of the trade. The 2011 season was also one where he had just played in the all star game and carried an OPS far...121 replies | 4132 view(s)
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05-18-2013, 11:32 AMI appreciate comps when discussing trades. It keeps the discussion more realistic. Let's start with Pence. Given his age and control, he is likely...121 replies | 4132 view(s)
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05-15-2013, 08:36 PMThe way out of the hole is to develop young pitching and improve the defense. They have a lot of work to do in both areas but acquiring Meyer and...69 replies | 1637 view(s)
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05-15-2013, 08:04 AMJohn, I would be interested in the correlation using percentages instead of per 9. Did you try a correlation with strike out, walk and hit...38 replies | 937 view(s)
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05-14-2013, 11:33 PMI am not sure Willingham ever had great trade value. He is a huge deficit in left field. He is at an age and has a contract where decline in skills...6 replies | 999 view(s)
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05-14-2013, 10:19 PMIs Willingham drawing more walks because he is failing to put the ball in play? Is he missing balls he used to put in play only to get a few more...6 replies | 999 view(s)
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05-14-2013, 10:14 PMI hope not. An extra day happens all the time.7 replies | 320 view(s)
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05-14-2013, 09:08 PMNice study. There must be teams that have lower than normal strikeouts and lower than normal hits. What is the key? Groundball/Flyball...38 replies | 937 view(s)
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05-14-2013, 08:29 PMGibson had trouble with the strike zone today in his poor start. As was written by some in other threads, it is hard to explain why Glynn would risk...7 replies | 320 view(s)
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05-12-2013, 09:20 PMColabello played in the outfield today. Is Rochester short or are they trying to see if he can play corner of adequately. I am aware that Thomas is...42 replies | 1629 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 09:01 PMWhat typically happens with walk rate as pitchers progress through the minors? I am not sure. I did check Samardzija and Lynn. Both of them had...12 replies | 398 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 08:27 PMjorgenswest replied to a thread Sano/Rosario - following in Arcia's footsteps in Twins Minor League TalkI think it is only important in that it the strike out rate may increase as he moves to AA and may slow his arrival. Thome and Cabrera are worthy...7 replies | 550 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 08:14 PMThe Twins should not be concerned with service time and Meyer. He is already 23 years old. Pitchers do not have the same reliable growth path as a...12 replies | 398 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 04:04 PMI hope we see Meyer in the 2014 rotation. If not, I wonder if a role in the pen to begin his major league career will be as beneficial as 2014 time...12 replies | 398 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 03:56 PMGreat show this week! Thanks.2 replies | 562 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 02:48 PMThe "Talk to Contact" podcast this week had a great guest in Jason Parks from Baseball Prospectus. Jason spoke about several Twin prospects...12 replies | 398 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 02:24 PMjorgenswest replied to a thread Sano/Rosario - following in Arcia's footsteps in Twins Minor League TalkGood point. I was really thinking about what the Twins had in mind for 2013. If they get a half season in AA and find success, they will be...7 replies | 550 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 10:17 AMjorgenswest started a thread Sano/Rosario - following in Arcia's footsteps in Twins Minor League TalkLast year at this time Oswaldo Arcia was playing in Fort Myers. He moved up to AA after the FSL All Star game on June 17. I think Arcia's move was...7 replies | 550 view(s)
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05-11-2013, 09:37 AMI think he should be called up because I think he is one of the Twins best 5 starters. He is already past the point where he will get a full year...18 replies | 424 view(s)
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05-09-2013, 11:54 PMOver/under on when he is ready to player regularly again? Really, there are few options to call up that would make a difference. They don't...18 replies | 424 view(s)
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05-08-2013, 10:56 PMjorgenswest commented on article Twins Minor League Report (5/8): Gibson Shows He's Ready in Minor LeaguesWould it be wise to give him an extra day or two following the long outing?30 replies | 2912 view(s)
About jorgenswest
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Recent Entries
Dozier - What Difference Does It Make?
by jorgenswest on 04-02-2013 at 01:19 PM
I tried to study the impact of the batting order change using ZIPS projections. I was a little disappointed in the results.
I used the average plate appearances by batting order position in the AL last year. The second spot had 103 more plate appearances on average than the 8th spot. That made sense as it is close to 6x18.
I then compared a Dozier with 735 plate appearances to a Dozier with 632 plate appearances. (Yes... I know he is not going to play 162 games and neither
A Tale of Three Cities
by jorgenswest on 12-23-2012 at 09:59 AM
It will be interesting to watch three teams as they try to pull themselves out of the basement. The Twins, Cubs and and Astros all have set out different path towards success. They also represent the three very different markets and revenue streams.
The Cubs have purged salaries in trades and then are putting money back in for next year. They will probably not match last year's payroll, but they will spend the most of the three. They also have the most revenue. Will the additions
Time to Drop the Numbers and Focus on WAR
by jorgenswest on 12-17-2012 at 10:11 PM
In the current era of baseball it doesn't make sense to quantify pitchers as #X starter. It used to be that #1 or #2 starters would get more starts because they would skip over guys at the back end of the rotation. I think Verlander and the Tigers are the only team that did that with any consistency.
Virtually all teams roll their starters so that all slots get about the same number of starts. Even when the opportunity at the all star break comes to skip some starts at the back end,
Doumit, Molina and Pitch f/x
by jorgenswest on 11-30-2012 at 11:15 PM
"I don’t say this about many decisions, but starting Doumit at catcher might be a fireable offense. In 60 games at catcher for Pittsburgh in 2011, his framing cost the Pirates 20 runs. In 59 games for Minnesota in 2012, his framing cost the Twins 21 runs. All told, his framing has subtracted 98 runs over the past five seasons, on top of the damage from the other things he does poorly behind the plate, which wipes out his offensive value."
Ben Lindbergh, Baseball Prospectus
Projecting the Twins: Early 2013 ZIPS
by jorgenswest on 11-11-2012 at 10:33 AM
The early ZIPS projections were reported midweek and the AL Central has sobering information for the Twins.
http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/hotst...teams-2013-mlb
Note: Unfortunately, you will need an insider account to access the link above.
The Twins in their construction are projected for 66 wins and 5th place in the AL Central. Entering the 2012 season they had a projected 70 win team from
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