Article: Over and Under: Evaluating The White Sox
Posted 06 March 2013 - 09:00 AM
Posted 06 March 2013 - 03:36 PM
This would be a hard one to bet on. I see them winning 75-80 games. Hopefully less. They could finish third behind a suprising Cleveland team.
I agree--they will miss AJ and Youk...I dont expect Peavy to regress much keeping them around 78 wins and in the pack in the AL Central.
Posted 06 March 2013 - 03:44 PM
Posted 06 March 2013 - 06:26 PM
I expect some downward regression from Dunn, Rios, and Peavy, and some further damage due to the losses of Pierzynski and Youkillis. Given an expected record of 88, though, that's probably not going to be more than enough to push them into 80-83 territory.
So what really seals the deal for me is that I'm expecting a stronger AL Central this year. The Tigers, Indians, and Royals all look like they should be better than last year (at least marginally); the Twins can't really get much worse. That modestly-improved division plus the above-mentioned regression is enough for me to think the White Sox will be at 80 or less.
Posted 15 March 2013 - 03:05 PM
Posted 15 March 2013 - 05:43 PM
De Aza will be a really good player. Viciedo looks to have some real pop, and supposedly they've worked hard with him to add a leg kick that should improve his timing and help out his AVG and K rate a little bit.
Everyone expects a huge regression from Rios, and while I see a small one, I'm just not seeing anything too "fluky" about his numbers last year.
Same thing with Peavy. He's completely healthy now, and people forget that he was borderline dominant before his injuries.
Sale is the real deal. If he can keep his arm from flying into the 5th row any time soon, he will join the ranks of Price, Weaver, Felix and CC as one of the premiere aces in the AL.
Konerko is Mr. Reliable, year in and year out you are going to get .300 with close to 30 HR's.
Not sure why everyone expects a major regression from Dunn. Looking at his career numbers, it was 2011 that deviates from the norm, not seeing anything unrepeatable about last year.
Alexei Ramirez and Gordon Beckham have both underachieved compared to what was expected of them, no doubt, but both have seemingly settled nicely in as average to above average middle infielders. I'd take them over our duo any day of the week.
The rest of their rotation is a bunch of ???, but same can be said for every team in this division except the Tigers.
For all this talk about their lineup not scoring a bunch of runs, I'm not seeing that.
Its not elite, but I think its solid, and will probably score more runs than ours.
I'll take the over.