Jump to content

Providing independent coverage of the Minnesota Twins.
Subscribe to Twins Daily Email

The Store

Photo

Batting Race Redux

  • Please log in to reply
10 replies to this topic

#1 Curt

Curt

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • 240 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 11:13 AM

Seven times in baseball history, the AL or NL batting championship was decided by less than one point.

[TABLE]
[TR]
[TD]Year[/TD]
[TD="width: 39"]Lea[/TD]
[TD="width: 117"]Player[/TD]
[TD="width: 53"]BA[/TD]
[TD="width: 53"]BA[/TD]
[TD="width: 53"]Diff[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1982[/TD]
[TD]AL[/TD]
[TD]Willie Wilson[/TD]
[TD].332[/TD]
[TD].33162[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Robin Yount[/TD]
[TD].331[/TD]
[TD].33071[/TD]
[TD].00092[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1935[/TD]
[TD]AL[/TD]
[TD]Buddy Myer[/TD]
[TD].349[/TD]
[TD].34903[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Joe Vosmik[/TD]
[TD].348[/TD]
[TD].34839[/TD]
[TD].00064[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1970[/TD]
[TD]AL[/TD]
[TD]Alex Johnson[/TD]
[TD].329[/TD]
[TD].32899[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Carl Yastrzemski[/TD]
[TD].329[/TD]
[TD].32862[/TD]
[TD].00037[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1931[/TD]
[TD]NL[/TD]
[TD]Chick Hafey[/TD]
[TD].349[/TD]
[TD].34889[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Bill Terry[/TD]
[TD].349[/TD]
[TD].34861[/TD]
[TD].00028[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2003[/TD]
[TD]NL[/TD]
[TD]Albert Pujols[/TD]
[TD].359[/TD]
[TD].35871[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Todd Helton[/TD]
[TD].358[/TD]
[TD].35849[/TD]
[TD].00022[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1949[/TD]
[TD]AL[/TD]
[TD]George Kell[/TD]
[TD].343[/TD]
[TD].34291[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Ted Williams[/TD]
[TD].343[/TD]
[TD].34276[/TD]
[TD].00016[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1945[/TD]
[TD]AL[/TD]
[TD]Snuffy Stirnweiss[/TD]
[TD].309[/TD]
[TD].30854[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Tony Cuccinello[/TD]
[TD].308[/TD]
[TD].30846[/TD]
[TD].00009[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Trout, Beltre and Jeter are still in the race but for this post, I'm counting them out and I'm focusing on Cabrera and Mauer.

Both players' teams have three games left. Obviously, and for the record, we don't know how many of those games they will play or many at-bats or hits they will get. Suppose though that Cabrera goes 3 for 11 and Mauer goes 4 for 11. Then they will finish:

[TABLE]
[TR]
[TD]Year[/TD]
[TD="width: 39"]Lea[/TD]
[TD="width: 117"]Player[/TD]
[TD="width: 53"]BA[/TD]
[TD="width: 53"]BA[/TD]
[TD="width: 53"]Diff[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2012[/TD]
[TD]AL[/TD]
[TD]Miguel Cabrera[/TD]
[TD].324[/TD]
[TD].32424[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Joe Mauer[/TD]
[TD].324[/TD]
[TD].32418[/TD]
[TD].00006[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

It would be the closest finish in history.

#2 Nick Nelson

Nick Nelson

    Owner

  • Administrators
  • 1,975 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 01:48 PM

Interesting. Thanks for keeping us updated on this tight race, Curt.

#3 nicksaviking

nicksaviking

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • 3,628 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 02:11 PM

Normally, if the Tigers were to clinch today or tomorrow, they'd probably give their star player an extra day of rest before the playoffs. If Mauer has the lead in AVG or Hamilton has the lead in HR, no break will happen for Cabrera I would suspect. If the Tigers clinch, I wonder what would happen if Hamilton sits because the Rangers have also clinched but Cabrera leads or is tied for HR and Cabrera has a two point lead in the batting race. Do the Tigers have Cabrera play and put his destiny in his own hands, or do they sit back and see if Mauer can catch him?

Edited by nicksaviking, 01 October 2012 - 02:15 PM.


#4 JB_Iowa

JB_Iowa

    Cynical Oldie

  • Members
  • 3,459 posts
  • LocationNorthwest Iowa

Posted 01 October 2012 - 02:15 PM

Have to think that Cabrera is going to want to play. Thanks for the stats. It's going to be so much fun to see how these last few games play out. I'll be switching back and forth between the Twins/Blue Jays and Tigers/Royals.

#5 Rick Blaine

Rick Blaine

    Member

  • Members
  • 96 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 02:53 PM

I think Cabrera will play all three games. I could be wrong-- but Detroit currently has a three game lead on Chicago. If they lose all three games and Chicago wins all three-- tying for first-- I believe that the stats for the game 163 playoff counts for the regular season--- as do the one game wild card stats. So Cabrera would have an extra game to try to clinch the triple crown if needed. The wild card won't come from the Central-- so that is not an issue. Could some one confirm that the stats count? It is highly unlikely this would happen---but stranger things have occurred.

#6 Brock Beauchamp

Brock Beauchamp

    Owner

  • Administrators
  • 8,428 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 03:00 PM

I think Cabrera will play all three games. I could be wrong-- but Detroit currently has a three game lead on Chicago. If they lose all three games and Chicago wins all three-- tying for first-- I believe that the stats for the game 163 playoff counts for the regular season--- as do the one game wild card stats. So Cabrera would have an extra game to try to clinch the triple crown if needed. The wild card won't come from the Central-- so that is not an issue. Could some one confirm that the stats count? It is highly unlikely this would happen---but stranger things have occurred.


Game 163 counts, Wild Card game does not.

#7 nicksaviking

nicksaviking

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • 3,628 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 03:11 PM

Alexi Cassila finishes below the medoza line had game 163 not counted in 2009, though I hope that wasn't the thought going through his head while he was running down to first.

#8 notoriousgod71

notoriousgod71

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • 997 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 07:03 PM

Do SABR guys get excited about the OPS+ race?

#9 JB_Iowa

JB_Iowa

    Cynical Oldie

  • Members
  • 3,459 posts
  • LocationNorthwest Iowa

Posted 01 October 2012 - 08:54 PM

Well, 4 for 5 with a solo HR will do wonders for Miggy.

Mauer's 1 for 5, not so much.

#10 notoriousgod71

notoriousgod71

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • 997 posts

Posted 01 October 2012 - 10:00 PM

Trout 4-4.

#11 kab21

kab21

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • 2,315 posts

Posted 02 October 2012 - 08:32 AM

Well you can still cheer for that exciting 4th worst record finish. they have the commanding (1 game) lead currently.