Framing by Battery
by, 07-16-2014 at 09:01 PM (381 Views)
Baseball Prospectus has pitch framing data organized by battery.
Framing data by battery
The data looks at pitches where the umpire needs to make the call and compares actual strikes with predicted strikes.
While looking at splits creates small sample sizes, I wondered if it would be clear that Josmil Pinto's framing skills are significantly worse than Kurt Suzuki.
The natural place to start is Glenn Perkins.
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 73 24.3 22 -9.5% Kurt Suzuki 200 73.9 67 -9.3%
Glenn Perkins has lost strikes to each catcher. Pinto cost him 2.3 strikes and Suzuki cost him 7.9. By percent Suzuki has a slight edge.
How about Sam Deduno?
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 369 125.9 106 -15.8% Kurt Suzuki 257 98.3 88 -10.5%
Josmil Pinto had a much more difficult time with Sam Deduno. That isn't surprising. A young catcher matched with a very difficult pitcher to catch. Deduno is also prone to wild pitches. The Twins have one of the better catchers in the league at preventing wild pitches. It is surprising they didn't use him more often with their wild pitch prone starter.
Listed below are the other starters and relievers where there were at least 100 chances. Ricky Nolasco is not listed. Suzuki has been his catcher for every pitch thrown.
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 240 75.1 69 -8.1% Kurt Suzuki 569 182.7 173 -5.3%
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 87 33.6 34 1.2% Kurt Suzuki 698 265.7 249 -6.3%
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 60 17.6 16 -9.1% Kurt Suzuki 709 223.8 195 -12.9%
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 184 60.4 51 -15.6% Kurt Suzuki 96 27 25 -7.4%
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 118 26.3 29 10.3% Kurt Suzuki 230 83.1 83 -0.1%
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 63 19.9 22 10.6% Kurt Suzuki 192 84.5 81 -4.1%
Chances Predicted Actual +/- Josmil Pinto 114 34.6 31 -10.4% Kurt Suzuki 152 48.5 42 -13.4%
In the small samples of a split, Pinto had more difficulty with Pelfrey and Correia and fared better with Duensing, Fien, Swarzak, Gibson and Hughes. Faring better is relative. It is relative to Suzuki. I am not suggesting Pinto is a good pitch framer. He isn't. Neither is Suzuki.
I don't think there is anything in the data to suggest that Pinto's pitch framing is so poor that he shouldn't be a major league catcher. He just turned 25. He will get better. The numbers will improve. When he returns, the Twins might consider matching him up with pitchers who have better command than Deduno. He needs to refine his skill with better confidence that the pitch will end up somewhere near his target.