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JP3700

Strike while it's hot: Mariners Trade

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This off-season has been a crazy one. A lot of the big name free agents are already off the board and we're not even at the winter meetings yet. What has also been interesting is the amount of significant trades that have been made.

Trades are, by far, the most interesting transaction in any sport. There are usually winners and losers, and they are often fun to discuss and breakdown. For trades to happen, a lot of things have to come together. Supply and demand, the amount of money being exchanged, and the needs of the teams involved, are all important factors. This is where those three factors, all come together.

The Mariners just signed Robinson Cano to a 10 year, $240 million contract. This was a curious move because they are coming off of a 71 win season. Pitchers Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma, along with third baseman Kyle Seager, are the only impact players on their team. So what's their plan? Even with the Cano signing, the M's still have about $40-50 million dollars to spend. Some more good news is that they have plenty of young players with upside.

Unfortunately, with a narrow window, they can't afford to wait on those players to develop. The M's have been linked to David Price, to form a trio that would compete with any front three in baseball. Their other needs include a couple of right handed power bats, a back of the rotation innings eater, and a closer.

My proposed trade..

Trade Glen Perkins, Josh Willingham and Kevin Correia for SS Chris Taylor, RHP Brandon Maurer, UT Stefen Romero and RHP Tom Wilhelmsen.



The proposed trade fills several needs for the Mariners, while only increasing their payroll by $16M. This leaves them with money to acquire Price and another bat like Kendrys Morales or Nelson Cruz.

Perkins is obviously the biggest piece in this trade. Glen is one of the ten best relievers in baseball, with or without the "closer" tag. Perkins will have much more value to the M's and the fact that he will only make roughly $12M in the next three years, makes him one of the bigger bargains in baseball.

Willingham and Correia are both players that have one year left on their contract. With Cano and King Felix eating up $50M for years to come, the M's will look for as much financial flexibility as possible. Hammer is coming off a down, injury riddled season. Although I hate the thought of selling low, I feel supply and demand will increase his value. Right handed power is in short supply and Josh also fills their need of a corner OF. Correia would be a perfect fit as an innings eater in that ballpark.

Now for what the Twins are getting. None of these guys are can't miss players, but they all have upside to be useful major league players. With the M's pitching depth and a crowded middle infield, they are all players they can afford to trade.

Chris Taylor is the key piece for me in this trade. He is currently the M's minor league player of the year. Known for his glove, he has great hands and feet. He also has an average to above average arm. So far his offense has kept up with his defense. At age 22, Chris spent 2013 at A+ and AA putting up a .314/.409/.455 slash line with 38 stolen bases. He has the potential to be an everyday shortstop that gets on base, provides good defense, and steals 25+ bases.

The other pieces are interchangeable. The M's have plenty of young talent. So instead of Maurer and Romero, it could be some other combination. Wilhelmsen is a sweetener, so you can also replace him with another prospect.

The Mariners have a limited budget to work with, they have needs to fill and they have the prospects to trade. Now is the time to strike and maximize the value on our players.
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  1. EephusKnuckler's Avatar
    I like the thinking here but not sure I agree with the players you proposed. The Mariners signed Cano so now they're in a spot where they really need to put some talent around him. They'd look like fools if they didn't. So they're looking like a prime trade partner candidate going into the winter meetings. I just don't think they'll be much interested in Correia or even Perkins. They're looking for bats. Hammer of course, but would they also want Plouffe? Arcia?

    I like the idea of trading for a good SS prospect so Taylor is intriguing, but their glut of pitching talent is also interesting (according to fangraphs, 7 of their top 10 prospects are pitchers). Taijuan Walker is probably too expensive, but what about the other 6 guys? Shucks, would you trade Sano for Walker?

    But ya, TR should be talking to Seattle. Pounce, Terry! Pounce!
  2. JP3700's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by EephusKnuckler
    I like the thinking here but not sure I agree with the players you proposed. The Mariners signed Cano so now they're in a spot where they really need to put some talent around him. They'd look like fools if they didn't. So they're looking like a prime trade partner candidate going into the winter meetings. I just don't think they'll be much interested in Correia or even Perkins. They're looking for bats. Hammer of course, but would they also want Plouffe? Arcia?

    I like the idea of trading for a good SS prospect so Taylor is intriguing, but their glut of pitching talent is also interesting (according to fangraphs, 7 of their top 10 prospects are pitchers). Taijuan Walker is probably too expensive, but what about the other 6 guys? Shucks, would you trade Sano for Walker?

    But ya, TR should be talking to Seattle. Pounce, Terry! Pounce!
    Here's an article about what the Mariners are looking for.. http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article/mlb/...&vkey=news_mlb

    "Zduriencik makes no secret of the fact he'd like to add one quality veteran"
    "A proven innings-eater would take some of the pressure off the young group, while also opening the door to using one or more of them as trade bait for offensive help"

    Correia seems to fit what they're looking for.

    As for Perkins. The Mariners had the second worst bullpen in baseball last year. Their bullpen ERA was almost a full run above league average. Danny Farquhar is currently their closer. Safe to say they'd be quite interested in Glen.

    Their pitching depth is quite nice. That's why I think this trade fits so well. They have pitching and middle infield depth. Two things that the Twins need. Brandon Maurer would easily be in their top 10 prospects, if he still qualified for prospect status. Highest ceiling outside of Taijuan Walker.

    They are probably going to use Walker as a chip in a David Price trade. If not, he will be in their rotation. Personally, I would not trade Sano for Walker.
  3. BigTrane's Avatar
    IMO, the Ms are a mess from top to bottom at this point, and analyzing their organization and/or presuming that they have any kind of coherent strategy is generous, at best.

    JB_Iowa pointed this out on another thread, I read this last night and was floored. A must read. http://seattletimes.com/html/mariner...BEV2Rx.twitter

    Could a deal be done with Seattle? Perhaps, if Correia qualifes as a 'quality veteran'. We have a hole @ SS, but what do we have that's attractive to them post-Cano? Agreed: they need bats. We need arms.

    After reading that story, I'd say, throw anything against the wall and see what sticks. Those guys are bonkers. Clear up the 40-man? Why not? Do they know what they want though? Hard to say. Weird club.
    Updated 12-08-2013 at 12:30 PM by BigTrane
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