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Willihammer

Acquiring talent the Twins Way: pitchers (part 2 of 3)

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In Part 1, we looked at the Twins history of acquiring positional talent via the Amateur Draft, Amateur Free Agency, the Rule 5 Draft, Trades, Waivers, and Free Agency, during the Terry Ryan era (1995-2013). Here we will do the same for pitchers.

PITCHERS

1. Amateur Draft

Since 1995, the Twins trail only the Toronto Blue Jays in their reliance on the Amateur Draft for pitching talent, getting 136 player-seasons from 39 pitchers, good for 120 WAR. Notably, Brad Radke owns a full third (45.5 WAR) of that total.
Overall, the average Twins Amateur Draftee has pitched to a .88 WAR season. But take Radke out of the equation, and the average drops to .60 WAR.





2. Amateur Free Agency

The Twins have given 24 player-seasons to Amateur FA pitchers since 1995. Juan Rincon and Jose Mijares share the top 7 highest WAR seasons. Others in this category include Liam Hendriks, Grant Balfour, Michael Nakamura, Rob Delaney, and Cole DeVries. Together they average a 0.29 WAR season.




3. Rule 5 Draft

The five Rule 5 Twins player-seasons since 1995 are owned by Scott Diamond (3), Ryan Pressly (1) and Travis Baptist (1). Together they have pitched 432.1 innings for a WAR of 1.9.





4. Trades

Trades account for 90 (pitcher) player-seasons since 1995. Of all other AL teams to have existed for the period 1995-2013, only the Angels have been less-reliant on trades to fill their pitching staffs. But, the Twins own the best WAR-average at 1.36, boosted by the acquisitions of Johan Santana (35.4 WAR over 8 seasons), Eric Milton (14.7/6), Joe Nathan (18.3/7), Joe Mays (10.6/6), Francisco Liriano (9.9/6).




5. Waivers

Jeremy Guthrie owns the distinction of most productive pitcher acquired by Waivers since 1995. He was worth 16.5 WARs for the Orioles from 2007-2011. The next closest is Darren O'Day at under 10 WAR. For the Twins, 13 waiver-wire pitchers have been worth 7.6 WAR over 25 player-seasons. Matt Guerrier (7.5 WAR) has been the most productive pickup, with the other 12 players producing just 0.1 WAR.




6. Free Agency

Bob Tewksbury remains the best free agent pickup for the Twins. He produced 6.5 WAR at a price of 3.75 million over the 1997-1998 seasons. Overall, Twins FA pitchers average .47 WAR per season, good for 8th in the AL





So, in order of average WAR, the Twins most successful means of acquiring pitching talent since 1995 are:

1. Trades (1.36)
2. The Amateur Draft (.88)
3. Free Agency (.47)
4. The Rule 5 Draft (.38)
5. Waivers (.30)
6. Amateur Free Agency (.29)

Updated 09-25-2013 at 03:38 PM by Willihammer

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Comments

  1. Oldgoat_MN's Avatar
    Thanks for gathering all this data. Interesting stuff.

    Amazing how bad it would be if we hadn't drafted Radke and stolen Santana.
  2. Brad Swanson's Avatar
    This is excellent research. I'd be interested in seeing how old and experienced the players traded for on the other teams were. The Twins seem to be relatively adept at finding young pitching talent via trade.
  3. TRex's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Oldgoat_MN
    Thanks for gathering all this data. Interesting stuff.

    Amazing how bad it would be if we hadn't drafted Radke and stolen Santana.
    I agree it would be amazingly bad, but you would have to imagine it is (nearly) the same throughout baseball. I would image that the top 10% of pitchers own 90% of all WAR. Does anyone know/think differently?
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