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Scorecard Excerpt: Post-Break Bursts

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ID:	1496If you're not familiar with the Twins' Official Scorecard, you should be. It's sold at the program stands near the entrances to Target Field, and it's only one buck. How many things can you buy at the ballgame for a dollar? Aside from providing the necessary tools for a scorekeeper to do his/her thing, the scorecard also includes content that changes for each series. Even if I didn't happen to be the guy supplying that content all year, I'd highly recommend picking up a copy each time you make it out to the park. It may be the best value at Target Field.

Below you'll find an excerpt from the Twins' side of the next coming scorecard, which will be available during the Athletics series when action resumes after the All-Star break.


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Post-Break Bursts

When the Twins have made the playoffs under Ron Gardenhire, it has – without fail – been the result of an excellent second-half. Below you’ll find a comparative list of Minnesota’s annual pre-break and post-break records during Gardy’s tenure. The thing that sticks out is that every playoff team (2002, ‘03, ‘04, ‘06, ‘09, ‘10) was characterized by major second-half improvement. The collective post-break winning percentage of those teams is .623; for non-playoff teams, it’s .433.

In order to climb back into contention, this current club will need to play well over .600 over the final months. But then, they’ve made a habit of that.

Twins Pre-Break and Post-Break W/L Under Gardenhire

Year Pre-Break W% Post-Break W%
2011 41-48 .461 22-51 .301
2010 46-42 .523 48-26 .649
2009 45-44 .506 42-32 .568
2008 53-42 .558 35-33 .515
2007 45-43 .511 34-40 .459
2006 47-39 .547 49-27 .645
2005 48-38 .558 35-41 .461
2004 47-40 .540 45-30 .600
2003 44-49 .473 46-23 .667
2002 50-39 .562 44-28 .611
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  1. Curt's Avatar
    The matrix below shows the current standings, what those standings project for wins in 162 games and what the twins pace must be to match that win total. I do not think Chicago is a 90 win team and I believe 85 wins will win the division. The Twins will have to play .636 ball to get there though. Here's to hopin'.

    W L Pct Proj Twins pace to match
    Chicago 47 38 .553 90 .701
    Cleveland 44 41 .518 84 .623
    Detroit 44 42 .512 83 .610
    Kansas City 37 47 .440 71 .455
    Minnesota 36 49 .424 69 .429
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