Minnesota Twins News & Rumors Forum
  • 10-round Twins Mock

    People love mock drafts. I think, mostly, so that you can mock the people that put some guesses down on paper for the world to scrutinize. I'm not above that.

    I regret not putting one together two years ago. Somewhere, on a message board on this site, I predicted that the Twins take Adam Brett Walker (though I had the round incorrect).

    Last year, I noted how much I liked Brian Navaretto, who the Twins also drafted. I was a big fan of Stephen Gonsalves (though I never saw him falling as far as he did) and pegged Kohl Stewart for the #4 pick pretty early in the whole process.

    I'm telling you that not for the virtual pats on the back. I'm simply preparing you for the fact that there is a very good chance that I go 0-for-10 and would like you to forgive me.

    The reason I put this together, actually, was to try to get a sense of the positions the Twins may look to add on Days 1 and 2. While I know how the Twins feel about some guys, I don't have access to their scouting reports and, personally, don't have the mental capacity to take that much information in.

    So, without further ado, here's one of approximately 86 billion different ways the Twins may draft on Thursday and Friday.

    Round 1 (Pick 5 - $3,851,000): SS Nick Gordon, Florida prep. While I'm not sure who will be on my final mock on Thursday morning at this spot, it's been a pretty consistent belief that Gordon would be the choice. There's no point in disputing that. Plus, the Twins would love to add a potential middle infielder. They'll take a prep SS (or more) every year in the first 15 rounds and this year isn't any different.

    (Other prep shortstops they may consider - obviously later in the draft: SS Milton Ramos, Florida prep; SS Justin Twine, Texas prep; SS Jonathan Oquendo, P.R. prep.)

    Round 2 (Pick 46 - $1,218,800): LHP Cody Reed, Alabama prep. Reed is all over the place if you put any stock into the Top 100s you can find scattered over the internet. The facts are this: Reed is from a place that doesn't have a great track record of producing major league pitchers and Reed is accumulating an incredible number of strikeouts due to his mid-90s fastball. Reed will have to watch his conditioning, but definitely has a fan in the Twins.

    (Other pitchers to pop here: Well, there're likely a few dozen that would be looked at. I'd focus most on LHP Mac Marshall, Georgia prep and RHP Luke Weaver, FSU.

    Round 3 (Pick 79 - $703,900): RHP Grant Hockin, California prep. Hockin has everything you'd want ablitiy-wise to get drafted here including a four-pitch mix. Though scouts don't see a lot of projection in his 6' 3", 215-lb frame, he's got an added connection to the Twins: His mother is Erin Killebrew, daughter of the late, great Harmon Killebrew. Hockin is committed to UCLA, so there is also that piece to be considered.

    Round 4 (Pick 110 - $476,100): RHP A.J. Vanegas, Stanford. Not a real likely pick, but the Stanford senior offers a lot that could interest the Twins. For one, he's a senior. More importantly, though, is that he's got a mid-90s fastball and a plus slider. So what the heck, right? Yeah, well Vanegas has had some serious injury issues. It's put him in the position where he's destined to be a reliever in the pro ranks. We've seen what the Twins have done with that recently. The ceiling of a guy with his ability - though he'd need to add a third pitch to return to starting - mixed with the floor of a fast-track reliever seems to make a lot of sense.

    (There would also be a gajillion other college relievers the Twins could look to convert. And that remains in play for all 40 of their selections.)

    Round 5 (Pick 140 - $356,400): C Brett Austin, NC State. Austin was drafted in the supplemental first round out of high school and has struggled in his three years in college. There are questions about his bat and his defense, but when you get to this point in the draft, you're going to have that. Austin could profile as a Chris Herrmann-type who can play the corners of the outfield too. Not a sexy pick, but the Twins always seem to add catching on Day 2 and this would be a solid pick.

    (Other catchers: C Matt Morgan, Alabama prep; C K.J. Harrison, Hawaii prep; C Shane Zeile, UCLA)

    Round 6 (Pick 170 - $266,900): RHP Josh Richy, UNLV. Richy probably won't last this long, but if he did, it would be a steal for the Twins. It's usually around this time the Twins pluck a guy who has the reputation of pitching a lot of innings a la Ethan Mildren in 2013. Richy throws a little harder and shows a feel for a couple breaking pitches as well.

    Round 7 (Pick 200 - $199,900): RHP Jake Jewell, Oklahoma JC. Jewell has come out of nowhere with a big fastball and an easy motion. He's a project, but that's not uncommon for the Twins to peg, especially when the payoff could be huge.

    Round 8 (Pick 230 - $161,300): RHP Chandler Shepherd, Kentucky. Though the Twins are more likely to tap the left-handed "pitching well" at UK, Shepherd could join Alex Meyer as a right-handed Wildcat turned Twin. Shepherd has undergone Tommy John surgery already and has returned to throw a solid three-pitch mix, including a swing-and-miss curveball. Shepherd has had success in the Cape Cod League and still offers some projection in his 6' 2", 215-lb frame.

    Round 9 (Pick 260 -$150,600): OF Max Murphy, Bradley. The organizational dearth of outfielders may have the Twins going to the college ranks to draft outfielders even earlier. Murphy is a guy who makes a ton of sense for the Twins, partially because he played his high school ball in Robbinsdale, Minnesota. Murphy's best tool is he power. He's compact (only 5' 11"), runs well and has a clue in the outfield. While his arm could play in right (his current position), some think he could move to center. The question about Murphy is his hit-tool.

    Round 10 (Pick 290 - $140,700): RHP Brock Dykxhoorn, Arizona JC. This is about where Dykxhoorn should go, so I originally was going to put him here solely on the account that he has a sweet name. But after some digging, there's more to him. He's 6' 8" (Twins have done that - and taller - lately), but isn't overpowering (like Jason Wheeler), doesn't have an out pitch, but commands his repertoire low in the zone (and induces a lot of worm killing). The final ingredient is that he hails from our neighbor to the north (and because of Justin Morneau, the Maple Leafs will always hold a special place in Twins fans' hearts). In all honesty though, Dykxhoorn would be another pitcher with a some projection to add to an already impressive Day 2 haul.

    While you don't have to like or agree with these picks, you should have a better idea of one way the Twins can handle their first ten selections. Look for a continuation of hard-throwing bodies. The Twins aren't likely to re-visit their three-catchers-in-the-first-ten-rounds magic of last year, but they always seem to add one with defensive abilities. The Twins have an overall lack of outfield depth, so adding some college seniors, or any outfielders, would jibe well with both what the Twins do and how they like to go about it.

    And while the likelihood remains that I go all Jason Kubel and strike out on all ten of these, it was worth a shot. Right? Now let's see your projections!

    Follow me on Twitter at @jeremynygaard, where I'll be kicking it draft-style all week.



    Twins beat the Yankees on Sunday, so you win today. Get 50% of a Large or XL pizza at PapaJohns.com when using the promo code 'TWINSWIN'.
    Comments 20 Comments
    1. twinsfanstreif's Avatar
      twinsfanstreif -
      Not enough college relievers, the twins are gonna probably pick up at least 6 in their first 10 picks
    1. Sleestax's Avatar
      Sleestax -
      Jeremy an undertaking such as mocking a baseball draft is truly bold. I appreciate the work you put in and it was fun reading about some abilities of players drafted later. When does the 30 rounder come out!! LOL
    1. Monkeypaws's Avatar
      Monkeypaws -
      Fun read as usual - thx
    1. Willihammer's Avatar
      Willihammer -
      Round 1 (Pick 5 - $3,851,000): SS Nick Gordon, Florida prep. While I'm not sure who will be on my final mock on Thursday morning at this spot, it's been a pretty consistent belief that Gordon would be the choice. There's no point in disputing that. Plus, the Twins would love to add a potential middle infielder. They'll take a prep SS (or more) every year in the first 15 rounds and this year isn't any different.
      The Twins have been in on Gordon for a little while now. But, Gordon's got a bunch of steam - Chris Crawford has him going 3rd overall, for example.

      Did the Twins initially like Gordon because they believed he'd be a good underslot value? And how much is that still the case. In other words, would Gordon's camp even take an underslot offer anymore? (Do you know if the Twins have been in contact with Tom Gordon?) Or do the Twins just have Gordon at the top of their board?
    1. Seth Stohs's Avatar
      Seth Stohs -
      Quote Originally Posted by Willihammer View Post
      The Twins have been in on Gordon for a little while now. But, Gordon's got a bunch of steam - Chris Crawford has him going 3rd overall, for example.

      Did the Twins initially like Gordon because they believed he'd be a good underslot value? And how much is that still the case. In other words, would Gordon's camp even take an underslot offer anymore? (Do you know if the Twins have been in contact with Tom Gordon?) Or do the Twins just have Gordon at the top of their board?
      This is an interesting question because I do recall reading that Gordon was an option because he was willing to take a discount. That said, he's been a Top 10 guy all along, and as a HS guy, he can move up quickly in the spring and therefore, you can't help but wonder if he'd still take below slow at 5.. or if he has picked up enough steam that a team would consider taking him before 5 because he'd sign for below slot there?

      It'll be interesting to see how it plays out. Without much clarity at the top of the draft boards, anything could happen. Should making listening to Jeremy and I in a live draft show from about 6-7 on Thursday night entertaining.
    1. nicksaviking's Avatar
      nicksaviking -
      Great stuff, this should be fun.

      Another name I believe the Twins are looking at for the #2 pick is Jake Stinnett. I like Reed though.

      Think they will be able to go back-to-back HS kids? Gordon doesn't look to be the easy sign guy he did a month ago.
    1. mike wants wins's Avatar
      mike wants wins -
      "dearth of outfielders" may be one the larger understatements on these forums this week.....I know you can "never have too much pitching", but it would be nice if every level had actual (if not really good) OF playing in the OF, and not a bunch of guys playing out of position (which has not only happend in MN).

      I called for Gordon months ago, and I still hope that is the pick. But I'd be good with Touisant (sp?) and mabye Nola (maybe).

      I have no interest in them continuing to try to make relievers into starters. They could just keep them as RP, and get them to the majors, and use their money on every day players and not the bullpen....
    1. Jeremy Nygaard's Avatar
      Jeremy Nygaard -
      Quote Originally Posted by mike wants wins View Post
      "dearth of outfielders" may be one the larger understatements on these forums this week.
      There are a few words to use to say "the Twins hardly have any outfielders". None are understating the fact that the Twins hardly have any outfielders.
    1. mike wants wins's Avatar
      mike wants wins -
      I was agreeing with you, did you not take it that way?
    1. Jeremy Nygaard's Avatar
      Jeremy Nygaard -
      Quote Originally Posted by Willihammer View Post
      Did the Twins initially like Gordon because they believed he'd be a good underslot value? And how much is that still the case. In other words, would Gordon's camp even take an underslot offer anymore? (Do you know if the Twins have been in contact with Tom Gordon?) Or do the Twins just have Gordon at the top of their board?
      Don't think that's why the Twins liked him. Do think that there was a realization - at that time - that there were four pitchers in their own tier and that the Twins could pick their pick of the second tier and pay him less (because he could fall otherwise). Hoffman's injury threw a wrench in the plans. Also, I think every team considering Jackson in the Top 4 muddied up the break between the two tiers.

      There's always value in agreeing to an under-pick-value deal, because if you don't and slide, your chance to get the bonus decrease significantly. Gordon, though, won't get past 7, so his motivation to take less at 5 goes down.
    1. Jeremy Nygaard's Avatar
      Jeremy Nygaard -
      Quote Originally Posted by mike wants wins View Post
      I was agreeing with you, did you not take it that way?
      I took it that way.

      I honestly don't know how they're playing extended games, cause there aren't even enough healthy outfielders there.
    1. diehardtwinsfan's Avatar
      diehardtwinsfan -
      I like the idea of grabbing a bunch of high ceiling prep guys...
    1. birdwatcher's Avatar
      birdwatcher -
      Quote Originally Posted by Jeremy Nygaard View Post
      There are a few words to use to say "the Twins hardly have any outfielders". None are understating the fact that the Twins hardly have any outfielders.
      Let's look at some facts:

      Cedar Rapids has 4 outfielders on the DL, so they surely have a current dearth. Zach Larson and JD Williams are both ranked by Seth, and are hurt, as are Jeremias Pineda and Zach Granite, who probably aren't "decent". The 3 healthy outfielders haven't been too bad: Jason Kanzler, Jonathan Murphy, and Ivory Thomas. Contrary to some opinions, none of these 7 outfielders are "playing out of position". I suppose a harsh critic could say that none of these guys are "decent".

      Fort Myers? Anyone troubled by an outfield of top prospects Buxton, Walker, Kepler, and Travis Harrison? Sure, Rosario is "playing out of position" due to injuries to Buxton, Nate Roberts, Lance Ray, and others. You certainly can't describe this as a "dearth" and be fair about it, can you?

      New Britain? Sure, things are less than ideal right this minute with Ortiz, Kvasnicka, and Wimberly playing, none top 40 prospects. But with Nate Roberts and Lance Ray playing in extended, and with Buxton and Walker eventually set for promotion, it's not like the Twins are to be faulted to a great extent here if one is fair.

      Rochester has the kind of outfield one should expect for a AA team. Guys bouncing back and forth in the early stages of their MLB careers like Arcia, Herrmann, Hicks, Parmelee, and Cola. Granted, most of these guys are pretty bad fielders, and the loss of Presley and Maestro is glaring.

      Still, I think if we compared our system to others, the outfield situation wouldn't seem deficient.
    1. Jeremy Nygaard's Avatar
      Jeremy Nygaard -
      The starting CF in Rochester, Eric Farris, played a grand total of 0 games in CF before signing with the Twins organization last year. Only Ramirez and Rahl can be considered primary outfielders.

      In New Britain, Corey Wimberly has already played 32 games in CF. He's likely to eclipse his career high sometime in the next 10 days. Last week, the Rock Cats played Tony Thomas and AJ Petterson in the outfield in the same game, neither should be in the outfield. Danny Ortiz and Mike Kvasnicka are really the only true outfielders on that roster.

      Sure, there are more guys listed on the A-ball rosters that are outfielders, but with so many guys hurt, the guys that were being counted on to man the rookie-level leagues, can't be counted on to be there.

      I have no idea how the system would compare to other teams. What I can tell you is how it compares to the system in the past and there is a lack in quantity (not quality) of outfielders that are able to play. That's the point I was trying to make.
    1. jed54767's Avatar
      jed54767 -
      Jerm,
      Would Prep RHP Spencer Adams be of interest to the Twins in Round 2 if he fell? I like what I hear about him. I like the idea of Stinnett in round 2 as well. I'll give you a nice name to keep an eye on for the later rounds ..maybe 10-15.. RHP JP Feyereisen from River Falls WI. He played his college ball at Stevens Point. Has a good frame and could profile well as a middle reliever. Plus I got a hit off him once playing summer town ball, so I'd like to say I got a hit off a major leaguer someday!
    1. Jeremy Nygaard's Avatar
      Jeremy Nygaard -
      Quote Originally Posted by jed54767 View Post
      Jerm,
      Would Prep RHP Spencer Adams be of interest to the Twins in Round 2 if he fell? I like what I hear about him. I like the idea of Stinnett in round 2 as well. I'll give you a nice name to keep an eye on for the later rounds ..maybe 10-15.. RHP JP Feyereisen from River Falls WI. He played his college ball at Stevens Point. Has a good frame and could profile well as a middle reliever. Plus I got a hit off him once playing summer town ball, so I'd like to say I got a hit off a major leaguer someday!
      Yeah, Adams and Reed are going to be in similar spots on the Twins board, from what I understand. There is just a higher expectation that Adams goes late in the first round or in the supplemental round.

      Was the hit a swinging bunt or a high pop up that no one fielded?
    1. ScottyB's Avatar
      ScottyB -
      TR says they are going to draft a bunch of LHP's. I didn't see many on your list. Any thoughts?
    1. birdwatcher's Avatar
      birdwatcher -
      Quote Originally Posted by Jeremy Nygaard View Post
      I took it that way.

      I honestly don't know how they're playing extended games, cause there aren't even enough healthy outfielders there.

      There are/were at least ten outfielders up and down the system sitting out with injuries. There are plenty of outfielders available at extended.

      The point I'm making is that there isn't a system-wide dearth of outfielders, just a very temporary shortage. mww was making it seem like a management foul-up, and it isn't. But the main point is that there is no reason for the Twins to emphasize outfielders in this draft more than they always do.
    1. Jeremy Nygaard's Avatar
      Jeremy Nygaard -
      Quote Originally Posted by ScottyB View Post
      TR says they are going to draft a bunch of LHP's. I didn't see many on your list. Any thoughts?
      They always are LHP heavy. But proportionally, they still take more RHPs.
    1. blairpaul715's Avatar
      blairpaul715 -
      Jeremy , I love mock drafts, and since I do, I will give mine, knowing very little or nothing at all lol.......1.(6) Gordon(SS); 2.(46) Luke Weaver(RHP); 3.(79) Mitch Keller(HS RHP Cedar Rapids); 4.(110) Taylor Sparks(3rd UC-Irvine); 5.(140) Sam Howard(LHP Georgia Southern); 6.(170) Jordan Brink(RHP Fresno St); 7.(200) Sam Hentges (LHP-1st Mounds View? HS); 8.(230) Chris McGrath (LHP Georgia HS); 9.(260) Ben Wetzler (LHP Oregon St); 10.(290) Karsten Whitson (RHP Florida)
©2014 TwinsCentric, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Interested in advertising with Twins Daily? Click here.