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  • Twins Draft Preview: Mock Draft v.2.0

    This is the second go-around at putting a mock draft together. The final installment will come on draft-day morning.

    In this installment, you will see that I also included where the players were listed in last week's mock draft (version 1.0). Please feel free to comment and ask questions below.

    1. Houston - Brady Aiken, LPH, California prep - It’s becoming more apparent that the Astros are looking to save some cash here. If they can do that and get the top pitcher in the draft, great. If they can do that and not take a pitcher, that might be better. But for now, it’s Aiken. (Last week: Carlos Rodon, LHP, NC State)

    2. Miami - Alex Jackson, C/OF, California prep - There’s some belief that the decision may be made solely by the owner - and that it will be Carlos Rodon - I’m going to stick with smarter heads prevailing. (Last week: Brady Aiken, LHP, California prep)

    3. Chicago White Sox - Tyler Kolek, RHP, Texas prep - I’ve been back and forth on this one. Either way, White Sox are in a good position. (Last week: No change)

    4. Chicago Cubs - Carlos Rodon, LHP, NC State - This would be a coup for the Cubs. The possibility remains that they could work a deal on the cheap and steal someone later. (Last week - Jeff Hoffman, RHP, East Carolina - which I still believe is a real possibility, if Rodon goes to the Marlins)

    5. Minnesota - Aaron Nola, RHP, LSU - Nola is everything the Twins love in a pitcher. There’s also a ton of safety in the pick. While “Top 5” shouldn’t be a safe pick, this is a situation where it just makes sense. (Last week: Alex Jackson, C/OF, California prep)

    6. Seattle - Nick Gordon, SS, Florida prep - (Last week: Aaron Nola, RHP, LSU)

    7. Philadelphia - Sean Newcomb, LHP, Hartford - (Last week: Nick Gordon, SS, Florida prep)

    8. Colorado - Kyle Freeland, LHP, Evansville - (Last week: No change)

    9. Toronto - Trea Turner, SS, NC State - (Last week: No change)

    10. New York Mets - Michael Conforto, OF, Oregon State - (Last week: Sean Newcomb, LHP, Hartford)

    11. Toronto - Jeff Hoffman, RHP, East Carolina - (Last week: Touki Toussaint, RHP, Florida prep)

    12. Milwaukee - Grant Holmes, RHP, South Carolina prep - (Last week: No change)

    13. San Diego - Touki Toussaint, RHP, Florida prep - (Last week: Michael Conforto, OF, Oregon State)

    14. San Francisco - Tyler Beede, RHP, Vanderbilt - (Last week: No change)

    15. LA Angels - Max Pentecost, C, Kennesaw State - (Last week: No change)

    16. Arizona - Monte Harrison, OF, Missouri prep - (Last week: Brandon Finnegan, LHP, TCU)

    17. Kansas City - Sean Reid-Foley, RHP, Florida prep - (Last week: Bradley Zimmer, OF, San Francisco)

    18. Washington - Bradley Zimmer, OF, San Francisco - (Last week: Erick Fedde, RHP, UNLV)

    19. Cincinnati - Kyle Schwarber, C, Indiana - (Last week: Sean Reid-Foley, RHP, Florida prep)

    20. Tampa Bay - AJ Reed, 1B, Kentucky - (Last week: Kyle Schwarber, C, Indiana)

    21. Cleveland - Erick Fedde, RHP, UNLV - (Last week: Nick Burdi, RHP, Louisville)

    22. LA Dodgers - Derek Hill, OF, California prep - (Last week: No change)

    23. Detroit - Nick Burdi, RHP, Louisville - (Last week: Michael Chavis, 3B, Georgia prep)

    24. Pittsburgh - Brandon Finnegan, LHP, TCU - (Last week: AJ Reed, 1B, Kentucky)

    25. Oakland - Ti’quan Forbes, SS, Mississippi prep - (Last week: Monte Harrison, OF, Missouri prep)

    26. Boston - Derek Fisher, OF, Virginia - (Last week: No change)

    27. St. Louis - Kodi Medeiros, LHP, Hawaii prep - (Last week: No change)

    28. Kansas City - Jacob Gatewood, 3B, California prep

    29. Cincinnati - Spencer Adams, RHP, Georgia prep

    30. Texas - Jack Flaherty, RHP, California prep

    31. Cleveland - Jacob Lindgren, LHP, Mississippi State

    32. Atlanta - Michael Gettys, OF, Georgia prep

    33. Boston - Luis Ortiz, RHP, California prep

    34. St. Louis - Justus Sheffield, LHP, Tennessee prep
    Comments 69 Comments
    1. tobi0040's Avatar
      tobi0040 -
      Quote Originally Posted by Kwak View Post
      IIRC, when Nolan Ryan was first promoted to the Mets (age 19 I think!!), he was considered: raw, wild, only has a fastball, and in general dismissed. I would be more afraid of missing out on the next Nolan Ryan than on the next Brad Radke.
      My thoughts exactly. Based on draft position, these guys all I am guessing had questionable command or secondary offerings (or both):

      Roger Clemens (drafted while in college, 19th overall)
      Randy Johnson (drafted while in college, 2nd round)
      Nolan Ryan (drafted out of high school, 12th round)

      Even if you only have a 5% chance at one of these guys, a light version would still be a huge catch and reward the pick
    1. cmb0252's Avatar
      cmb0252 -
      BA's new mock draft:

      http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft...-from-fiction/
    1. InfraRen's Avatar
      InfraRen -
      Quote Originally Posted by cmb0252 View Post
      Interesting. Newcomb higher ceiling than Nola I'd wager.

      I also heard Jim Callis recently on a podcast say that the Nola/Twins hype is a bit overblown, doesn't think he's that high on their list.

      All signs point to Gordon, and I'm more than OK with that.
    1. DocBauer's Avatar
      DocBauer -
      Am I the only one still in on Turner?

      A possible steal due to a good but not great season who was supposed to be a top 3 pick who could slide to us now. Older, more experienced and closer to the majors than Gordon and with more speed.

      Anyone?
    1. twinsfanstreif's Avatar
      twinsfanstreif -
      Quote Originally Posted by DocBauer View Post
      Am I the only one still in on Turner?

      A possible steal due to a good but not great season who was supposed to be a top 3 pick who could slide to us now. Older, more experienced and closer to the majors than Gordon and with more speed.

      Anyone?
      I still like Turner too but his swing mechanics are funky and turn a lot of scouts off, sometimes funky mechanics work out (hunter pence, Gary Sheffield, Kevin Youkilis) but often times they do not, that's his main problem right now and I don't think we'd take that gamble at #5
    1. DocBauer's Avatar
      DocBauer -
      I confess, I haven't heard anything about questionable mechanics. Perhaps I've missed that somewhere.

      Obviously, the teams picking ahead of us will help determine what we end up doing, but I'm having a real tough time coming up with what I think, in my meaningless opinion, we should do.

      In past seasons the answer seemed obvious, pick the best pitching prospect available. If he could be a fast rising college pitcher, all the better. (Though that doesn't always work either)

      Depth, competition, trade value, a young mover to rise up and take the place of a traded, fading or lost ML pitcher is always good. So you truly can never have enough pitching.

      And I love the idea of Jackson if he falls to us, and truly can be a quality C. Haven't read anything that says he can't. Only read comments as to moving him to the OF to speed his process to the ML level. But one thing the Twins definitely have proven over the years is patience. But not sure he'll even be an option at #5.

      There just doesn't seem to be a LHer that is a better prospect than Nola from the right side. That leaves Gordon and maybe Turner. Wish I could read something about potential that could make me more excited about Gordon's potential.
    1. diehardtwinsfan's Avatar
      diehardtwinsfan -
      Quote Originally Posted by DocBauer View Post
      Am I the only one still in on Turner?

      A possible steal due to a good but not great season who was supposed to be a top 3 pick who could slide to us now. Older, more experienced and closer to the majors than Gordon and with more speed.

      Anyone?
      I'd rather have Gordon at 5 than Turner. Both look to stick and there's far more upside in Gordon's bat than Turner's. That's my 2 cents. If Turner fell to round 2, that would be different, but I'm highly doubting that.
    1. blairpaul715's Avatar
      blairpaul715 -
      Quote Originally Posted by gunnarthor View Post
      Gibson had 7 starts in A+ before being moved up to AA, Garza had 8 and Slowey had 14. All three were promoted in the same year they debuted.

      Maybe a reliever debuted in AA but my guess is that the Twins, and most teams, give college guys a tune up in A+ first. Appel, Gray, Gausman, Zimmer - all recent college picks - all started at A+ or lower. (Some started in rookie ball).
      Maybe I am reading this wrong, but Garza had 22 minor league starts before promotion to AA............Slowey had 31 appearances and 23 minor league starts.
    1. gunnarthor's Avatar
      gunnarthor -
      Quote Originally Posted by blairpaul715 View Post
      Maybe I am reading this wrong, but Garza had 22 minor league starts before promotion to AA............Slowey had 31 appearances and 23 minor league starts.
      Yep, you're right. I was looking at fangraphs and it looks like the only list minor league numbers since 2006.
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