• TD Top Prospects: #5 Eddie Rosario

    Eddie Rosario's path through the Minnesota Twins farm system has directly mirrored that of Miguel Sano. When Rosario was the Twins 4th round pick in 2010 out of Puerto Rico, he spent the summer as Sano’s teammate in the GCL. The next summer, the two put up incredible numbers at Elizabethton. Rosario led the league in most categories including home runs and was named the league’s Most Valuable Player. They were together in Beloit in 2012. In 2013, the two started in Ft. Myers before being promoted to New Britain on the same day. No wonder that a player who has hit .307/.358/.510 (.867) over his four-year minor league career is often overlooked and overshadowed.

    Of course, as spring training is soon to begin, there is another, darker shadow Rosario will need to overcome.

    The Good


    Eddie Rosario is an offensive talent. Listed at just 6-0 and 175 pounds, Rosario has incredible quick and strong hands and can generate a lot of bat speed. Though he has never approached the 21 home runs he hit in the small parks of the Appalachian League, he is capable of 12 to 15 home runs a year. He profiles as a guy whose line drive swing will turn into a lot of doubles. He has very good speed and can turn doubles into triples.

    Because he has such quick hands, he is able to allow the ball to travel a little deeper over the plate. At his best, he is drilling line drives to the opposite field. However, he has the ability to turn on a good fastball and pull it a long way.

    Rosario has very good speed. He also is a terrific defensive outfielder,including the ability to play centerfield, with good range and a very strong arm.

    The Bad


    Rosario is a very good defensive outfielder but for the last two years he has been primarily playing second base. You see, two years ago at this time, the Twins lacked any second base prospects, so they took the athletic outfielder and moved him to second base. The transition has not affected Rosario's offensive output. To be fair, there have been mixed reports on Rosario’s defense. Playing on the major league caliber infield of Hammond Stadium in Ft. Myers, most reports called Rosario’s defense adequate. Other reports indicate that Rosario is unlikely to ever be anywhere near an adequate defensive second baseman. Of course, his perceived value (relative to his position) would be much higher as a second baseman than as a corner outfielder.

    Rosario tends to put together some quality at-bats, though he is not one who wants to walk. In MLB in 2013, the average Isolated Discipline (IsoD, on base percentage minus batting average) was 0.065. Rosario’s was 0.060 at Elizabethton, but at every other level his IsoD was between 0.046 and 0.049.

    As mentioned, Rosario has good speed. In his two rookie league stops, he stole 38 bases in 50 attempts (78%). However, the last two seasons, in full-season leagues, he is just 21 of 42 in steal attempts, a rate of just 50%.

    The Ugly


    Obviously there is one topic that has to be addressed when talking about Eddie Rosario. Last month, he was given a 50-game suspension for testing positive for a drug of abuse. The 50 game suspension means it was his second positive test. The bigger concern is not so much the suspension. In my mind, the concern is that he had the first test, knew what a second failed test would mean, and still did it. A 50 game suspension is a slowing down of his development. Sure, he played another 70 or so games this past offseason between the Arizona Fall League and the Puerto Rican Winter League. His winter team finished second in the Caribbean Series this past weekend. The frustration is simply be that it was unnecessary.

    The suspension is obviously not ideal. Hopefully losing game time will make him think and realize the opportunity he has. His prospect status, as a 22-year-old who has put up tremendous numbers, should not be altered by the suspension. His future remains as bright as ever.

    Rosario also missed a few games in 2013 at Ft. Myers after being benched by Manager Doug Mientkiewicz.

    Rosario is incredibly talented, especially as a hitter. He has been included in some national Top 100 lists this offseason and is likely right on the border of those in which he didn’t make the list. As a second baseman, his offense has the potential to stand out a little.

    On the field, 2013 was a good year for Rosario. He began with 52 games in Ft. Myers. He hit .329/.377/.527 (.903) with 13 doubles, five triples and six home runs. Like Sano, the day after the Miracle clinched the first-half title, Rosario was promoted to New Britain. In 70 games with the Rock Cats, he hit .284/.330/.412 with 19 doubles, three triples and four home runs. That all came after being named to the Puerto Rican WBC team in which he started half the games in left field.

    2014 is going to be an interesting year for Rosario and the Twins second base depth. Brian Dozier is looking to show that his performance starting in late May is something he can sustain. Rosario will miss 50 games before likely heading back to New Britain, probably after a handful of games in Ft. Myers. On his heels is Jorge Polanco, another Top 10 Twins middle infield prospect.

    Previous 2014 Twins Daily Top Twins Prospects:


    #10 – Trevor May
    #9 – Lewis Thorpe
    #8 – Jorge Polanco
    #7 – Josmil Pinto
    #6 – Jose Berrios
    #5 – Eddie Rosario
    Comments 49 Comments
    1. jokin's Avatar
      jokin -
      Quote Originally Posted by cmathewson View Post
      Yeah, I chose Turner because I couldn't see the shortstop of the future within the organization. I've seen mock drafts with him slipping as far as sixth. Fingers crossed.
      Any word on who is agent might be? If he's clearly the BPA, I hope they pick him, but I could see the Twins missing out on signing him if it's someone like Boras representing him, ala Appel.
    1. Jim Crikket's Avatar
      Jim Crikket -
      Quote Originally Posted by jokin View Post
      Call out to Jim Crikket for his more knowledgeable review of Niko.
      Goodrum could be a bit of a tweener. He's still pretty slender so you wonder if his body will fill out more, even at his age (almost 22). If it doesn't, will he always trail Dozier/Polanco/Rosario in terms of XBHs? If he does fill in, will he "outgrow" SS and need to move to 3B? Will say I agree on the athleticism. He looks like he gets good jumps when he does steal and has decent speed.

      If the organization is set on making Polanco a SS, I'm not sure how Goodrum gets innings at the position this year since they should both probably be with the Miracle. Going to be intersting to see how this plays out.
    1. tobi0040's Avatar
      tobi0040 -
      Quote Originally Posted by jokin View Post
      Any word on who is agent might be? If he's clearly the BPA, I hope they pick him, but I could see the Twins missing out on signing him if it's someone like Boras representing him, ala Appel.
      Like I said before, I am putting stock in a scouting report here and it is early. But I read 80 speed (57 SB as a freshman). Arm for 3B but footwork for SS, will likely stick there. Profiles as a 12 HR a year guy, enough extra base hits.

      .336/.432/.459 as a freshman
      .393/.476/.613 as a sophomore

      If these reports are accurate, he will likely challenge Rodon or be a clear #2 pick. I would more than welcome a slip to #5.

      http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/...r-ss-n-c-state
    1. Dantes929's Avatar
      Dantes929 -
      Of course he was ranked #4 in the upcoming draft. They say this draft is really deep though so we should get someone good anyway. When Sano was ranked the #2 prospect there were two shortstops in the top 5 I would have been happy to trade him for though we have had as many issues at 3rd as we have at short in the recent memory.
    1. jokin's Avatar
      jokin -
      Quote Originally Posted by tobi0040 View Post
      Like I said before, I am putting stock in a scouting report here and it is early. But I read 80 speed (57 SB as a freshman). Arm for 3B but footwork for SS, will likely stick there. Profiles as a 12 HR a year guy, enough extra base hits.

      .336/.432/.459 as a freshman
      .393/.476/.613 as a sophomore

      If these reports are accurate, he will likely challenge Rodon or be a clear #2 pick. I would more than welcome a slip to #5.

      http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/...r-ss-n-c-state
      I am aware of how good Turner is and I'm looking forward to the chance of snagging him in the draft.... and I don't dispute your assessment, whatsoever. But there have been rumblings that he could drop a little in the draft, whether that's primarily because of other players (pitchers besides Rodon?) moving up or if the leverage he has as a junior might be used to force himself onto a team more to his liking and a much-higher-than-slot bonus.
    1. jokin's Avatar
      jokin -
      Quote Originally Posted by Jim Crikket View Post
      Goodrum could be a bit of a tweener. He's still pretty slender so you wonder if his body will fill out more, even at his age (almost 22). If it doesn't, will he always trail Dozier/Polanco/Rosario in terms of XBHs? If he does fill in, will he "outgrow" SS and need to move to 3B? Will say I agree on the athleticism. He looks like he gets good jumps when he does steal and has decent speed.

      If the organization is set on making Polanco a SS, I'm not sure how Goodrum gets innings at the position this year since they should both probably be with the Miracle. Going to be intersting to see how this plays out.
      Thanks JC. Let me add this intriguing extra tidbit on Goodrum from your PM to me:

      "Has some range and decent speed. Gets a good jump (better than Buxton, honestly) when he does try to steal a base."

      So it appears that the jury is going to be out on all 3 of the top SS prospects for the time being- 2 "tweeners" and one "Florimon +??" Very interesting indeed, both longer-term on who might win out, but also with the draft coming up and Turner available.
    1. Beezer's Avatar
      Beezer -
      Quote Originally Posted by cmathewson View Post
      I think he ends up in LF at some point. Here's a hypothetical lineup in 2017:

      1. Buxton (8)
      2. Rosario (7)
      3. Mauer (3)
      4. Sano (5)
      5. Arcia (DH)
      6. Pinto (2)
      7. Polanco (4)
      8. Turner (6)
      9. Hicks (9)
      I think that Target Field makes a late 80's Cardinals type team a better option. Guys with high onbase % and steals may play better than long ball and it can still translate to other ballparks. With the crackdown on PED's the long ball is becoming less a part of the game and small ball is coming back. Speed guys in Buxton, Rosario, Hicks, Polanco, with possible bombers Sano and Arcia might turn out allright.
    1. DocBauer's Avatar
      DocBauer -
      Quote Originally Posted by Jim Crikket View Post
      Goodrum could be a bit of a tweener. He's still pretty slender so you wonder if his body will fill out more, even at his age (almost 22). If it doesn't, will he always trail Dozier/Polanco/Rosario in terms of XBHs? If he does fill in, will he "outgrow" SS and need to move to 3B? Will say I agree on the athleticism. He looks like he gets good jumps when he does steal and has decent speed.

      If the organization is set on making Polanco a SS, I'm not sure how Goodrum gets innings at the position this year since they should both probably be with the Miracle. Going to be intersting to see how this plays out.
      My guess that they will rotate Polanco at SS on Goodrum's days off, as well as each of them rotating between 2B as well.

      I have to believe Turner would be an instant grab for the Twins to grab if available, and if he continues to shine. But the draft is still way off, and players rise and fall in value before then. Despite questions as to our SS prospects, they themselves will no doubt answer some of those questions with the season ahead. While Turner would seem a tantalizing pick, in the unsure world of draftable prospects, I subscribe, usually, to the BPA, and don't agree necessarily with drafting just by position.

      Further, I'd keep Rosario at 2B just as long as possible to see what kind of 2B potential we truly have there. He could undoubtedly flip back to the OF very easily if he can't play the position well enough, or is blocked by Dozier, or someone else. Further, if he proves himself at the position well enough, he provides either greater trade value, or allows Dozier to perhaps being traded.

      And while I have great faith that Hicks will yet prove himself as an excellent defensive corner OF who can fill in at CF, and provide power and speed, and feel the rather athletic Arcia will continue to improve to at least decent in the OF, Rosario is a very talented OF option should Hicks not cut it, or Arcia need to be moved to DH and part time OF.

      As an OF, Rosario may never provide the true HR power one hopes for in a corner OF, however, his overall game/talent level would indicate an exciting player with multiple skills who can cover a lot of ground, hit, spray various XB hits, take extra bases and steal bases. If his OB can improve even a little, with his skill set, he could be a valuable top of the order player, and at worst, a dangerous lower spot hitter regardless of position.

      I have doubts he will hit 20 plus HR as he did early in his career, but don't forget his quick hands and athleticism, as well as his youth and rather rapid ascension up the milb latter. You might yet see better power once he acclimates to his level.

      And as a side note, with all due respect to the talent and abilities of Santana and Polanco, and by no means dismissing them as potential quality offensive as well as defensive SS's, Goodrum just might surpass anyone in the system at SS. He is one of my "picks to click" on the milb level this year. He doesn't need to explode in to his frame, just muscle up a bit more, and have the proverbial light start to come on. Something I think we began to see last season.
    1. jokin's Avatar
      jokin -
      Quote Originally Posted by DocBauer View Post
      My guess that they will rotate Polanco at SS on Goodrum's days off, as well as each of them rotating between 2B as well.

      I have to believe Turner would be an instant grab for the Twins to grab if available, and if he continues to shine. But the draft is still way off, and players rise and fall in value before then. Despite questions as to our SS prospects, they themselves will no doubt answer some of those questions with the season ahead. While Turner would seem a tantalizing pick, in the unsure world of draftable prospects, I subscribe, usually, to the BPA, and don't agree necessarily with drafting just by position.

      Further, I'd keep Rosario at 2B just as long as possible to see what kind of 2B potential we truly have there. He could undoubtedly flip back to the OF very easily if he can't play the position well enough, or is blocked by Dozier, or someone else. Further, if he proves himself at the position well enough, he provides either greater trade value, or allows Dozier to perhaps being traded.

      And while I have great faith that Hicks will yet prove himself as an excellent defensive corner OF who can fill in at CF, and provide power and speed, and feel the rather athletic Arcia will continue to improve to at least decent in the OF, Rosario is a very talented OF option should Hicks not cut it, or Arcia need to be moved to DH and part time OF.

      As an OF, Rosario may never provide the true HR power one hopes for in a corner OF, however, his overall game/talent level would indicate an exciting player with multiple skills who can cover a lot of ground, hit, spray various XB hits, take extra bases and steal bases. If his OB can improve even a little, with his skill set, he could be a valuable top of the order player, and at worst, a dangerous lower spot hitter regardless of position.

      I have doubts he will hit 20 plus HR as he did early in his career, but don't forget his quick hands and athleticism, as well as his youth and rather rapid ascension up the milb latter. You might yet see better power once he acclimates to his level.

      And as a side note, with all due respect to the talent and abilities of Santana and Polanco, and by no means dismissing them as potential quality offensive as well as defensive SS's,

      Goodrum just might surpass anyone in the system at SS. He is one of my "picks to click" on the milb level this year. He doesn't need to explode in to his frame, just muscle up a bit more, and have the proverbial light start to come on.

      Something I think we began to see last season.
      Well said Doc, and pretty much where I stand on Turner, but I also think that Goodrum is due for a break out and this could be the year. Hopefully Michael gets pushed up to AA for one last chance and Goodrum and Polanco can start out in Ft Myers and ride the wave together up the organizational ladder pushing each other and inevitably pushing others out of their way.
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