• Twins To Sign RHP Kevin Correia

    Kevin Correia Is Joining The Minnesota TwinsAccording to sources, the Twins have agreed to terms with right-handed pitcher Kevin Correia. ESPN's Jerry Crasnick is saying that the deal is a two-year deal and $10 million. The 32-year-old right-hander has gone 12-11 the last two seasons with the Pittsburgh Pirates. His ERA in 2011 was 4.79, and it was 4.21 in 2012.

    He was originally a 4th round pick by the San Francisco Giants. He has spent time with the Giants, Padres and Pirates. In 10 big league seasons, he is a combined 60-65 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. His career strikeout rate is 6.0. However, the last two seasons, his K/9 has been 4.5 and 4.7. He made his first, and only, All Star appearance in 2011 with the Pirates.

    The past two seasons, he has thrown 154 and 171 innings. His career high innings were 198 with the Padres in 2009.

    Correia comes in as the veteran of a pitching staff that includes Scott Diamond and Vance Worley. Of those three, he's clearly the third best. Best case scenario, he can find a way to be just about league average in 2013 and the Twins can trade him for a C-level prospect in July. If nothing else, I do like this deal much better than the 1 year, $6 million deal that Scott Feldman got from the Cubs.
    This article was originally published in blog: Twins to sign RHP Kevin Correia started by Seth Stohs
    Comments 188 Comments
    1. LoganJones's Avatar
      LoganJones -
      One last bit that's interesting, and less dependent on averaging. If you just use NormalizedCorreia to make 29 starts and knock out out Blackburn and Marquis's starts, you're left needing 2 Swarzak starts which were pretty much all 4 inning 4 run affairs, so we can say that's 9.1 innings of 8.1 ERA. Then we mostly are using actual starts that actually happened (apart from the computer starts that NormCor made). The only issue would be rest, but since were just trying to place value, we can forgive some of these slight inaccuracies.

      This gives the starting rotation 896 inning allowing 491 runs. This means NormCor is worth 37 runs to last year's rotation. That's almost 4 wins (18.5 Million in FanGraphs dollars). This contract is NOT that outrageous.
    1. YourHouseIsMyHouse's Avatar
      YourHouseIsMyHouse -
      Quote Originally Posted by mike wants wins View Post
      I love the quality start stat. What matters for a start is did you give your team a good chance to win or not. Much better than ERA which blends every start together. Now, whether or not the precise definition is correct can he debated, but I find the stat highly useful for assessing performance.
      Well maybe useful until you consider nearly every pitcher in baseball can average one. (4.50ERA>)
    1. mike wants wins's Avatar
      mike wants wins -
      Um, I was not, and never would, talk about pitcher wins. I thought it was clear I was talking about the likelihood a team wins. Does not really matter anyway.
    1. mike wants wins's Avatar
      mike wants wins -
      Did no one read the part where I said the precise definition is debatable? Not sure how I could have made that more clear. I have completely lost interest in this topic.....
    1. twinsfaninsaudi's Avatar
      twinsfaninsaudi -
      How is it that they didn't sign Paul Maholm last year?
    1. LoganJones's Avatar
      LoganJones -
      He wanted to stay in the NL.
    1. twinsfaninsaudi's Avatar
      twinsfaninsaudi -
      Quote Originally Posted by LoganJones View Post
      He wanted to stay in the NL.
      Thanks. I feel better now.
    1. ericchri's Avatar
      ericchri -
      Quote Originally Posted by whydidnt View Post
      Putting aside the fact that even Fangraphs thinks that WAR for pitchers has problems, I don't for a minute think 2.6 wins is meaningful to a team that lost 95 games.
      No moves are allowed unless they improve the team by at least 5 wins over last year...
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