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All In Or Too Far For Twins

Posted by Ted Schwerzler , 11 December 2017 · 1,166 views

minnesota twins yu darvish chris archer thad levine derek falvey
As the Winter Meetings kick off, largely the two biggest bombshells of the offseason have already been dropped. With Shohei Ohtani signing with the Los Angeles Angels, and Giancarlo Stanton being traded (see: given) to the New York Yankees, it'll be hard for agent free agent moves to live up to that billing. For the Minnesota Twins however, a line in the sand has been drawn, and now it's on Derek Falvey and Thad Levine to figure out how they'll toe it.

In 2017, the New York Yankees matched up with the Twins in a winner take all Wild Card matchup. Tied with three other teams for the next spot (and first one out in the American League) was the Los Angeles Angels. Those two clubs have drastically improved themselves virtually overnight, and it doesn't appear that either is done making waves yet. Coming off an 85 win season, it has to be apparent to Minnesota that a similar total isn't going to get it done a year from now.

So, where does that leave the hometown nine? It's an interesting spot to say the least. With a core of Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano, Jose Berrios, Eddie Rosario, and Max Kepler all on the 25 man roster, the bulk of the organization's top prospects that rose together have made it. At this point, that would suggest the window for competitiveness has begun to open, and it's on the Twins to supplement that group, and maximize their opportunity. With the AL Central being in a down state (save the Indians), the path to the postseason could come first and foremost through the division.

The Hot Stove season started slow, but that lukewarm feeling has now began to ramp up into an intense burn. For the Twins, it seems to make sense that they should get involved. Being reactionary to what other clubs have does is hardly a good plan of action, but using it as motivation to execute on a plan that could've already been put in place seems like a good ask. With that in mind, the Twins can either choose to spend on the open market, or leverage long term assets in favor of immediate impact.

On the open market, there's only a handful of true needle movers available. Names like Yu Darvish, Wade Davis, Greg Holland, and Carlos Santana all look like clear upgrades in areas that Minnesota could definitely use. Each of them is going to command a significant chunk of change, and with all free agent contracts, there's a decent bet that the final years of any deal fall short of expectations. However, they'd each pair nicely with a strong core group in the now, and could help to push the water level up to where it needs to be.

Looking at the flip side of the coin, the Twins could look to prey on teams needing to move pieces. The Blue Jays and Rays seem out in the cold when it comes to the AL East, making names like Marcus Stroman and Chris Archer intriguing. The Pirates may be inclined to move Gerrit Cole, and even the Mets may be tempted to make guys like Jacob deGrom or Noah Syndergaard available. None of those assets are going to cost a significant amount of money, but prospect collateral isn't going to come cheaply. While the Twins farm system isn't what it was when the MLB core was among it, there's plenty of names that could be packaged to create an enticing offer.

Unlike other sports, Major League Baseball not only takes a strong active roster, but also a blossoming farm system to remain competitive. It's hardly a good idea to completely fleece your reinforcements in favor of winning immediately. However, if you can find a way to leverage all of your assets to maximize on opportunity for the longest time possible, that would seem to be the most ideal scenario.

As things stand, I'm hardly jumping at one side of the argument or the other. Right now, I hope that both Derek Falvey and Thad Levine get together and find the best course of action to grab what stands in front of them. I'd be all on board with Minnesota spending on Darvish, and I'd be equally supportive of doling out prospects for an Archer type. Whatever path the Twins take, the one that leads to reinforcements, and an enhanced "go get it" message for both the division and a deep postseason run in 2018 and beyond is the one that makes the most sense.

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It is going to cost the Twins a significant major league piece to trade for pitching help. Twins will have to make at least one big money purchase and one major trade to reach the next level. Hope the new FO gets it right. As I see it sign the relievers and trade for a starter. Starter will cost you Gordon plus probably a major league piece. Maybe Gordon, Sano, + for Archer and Longoria. If you do not think Sano will sign here, then use as a trade chip to get to the next level.
    • GP830 likes this
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Ted Schwerzler
Dec 11 2017 09:19 AM

 

It is going to cost the Twins a significant major league piece to trade for pitching help. Twins will have to make at least one big money purchase and one major trade to reach the next level. Hope the new FO gets it right. As I see it sign the relievers and trade for a starter. Starter will cost you Gordon plus probably a major league piece. Maybe Gordon, Sano, + for Archer and Longoria. If you do not think Sano will sign here, then use as a trade chip to get to the next level.

I don't disagree, and I think that's where trusting your internal team comes in. Who are you willing to give up under the belief that it advances your franchise. If you can start a package with Gordon or Kirilloff, I'd be all in to add to it. I agree with you that both spending and dealing is the way I'd dabble.

    • GP830 likes this
i agree with bith comments above. spend on either bullpen or rotation uogrades and trade for the others. 1 starter and 2 relievers minimum.
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theBOMisthebomb
Dec 13 2017 06:17 AM
Trade an outfielder for pitching. I am too high on Buxton and Kepler so what could the Twins get with Eddie Rosario as the crown jewel of a package?