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Hey, is there a game tonight? Game thread 9/25/18

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 09:18 PM
Nice job by Moya pitching around the Adrianza error. And once again worth remembering, yes Detroit is this bad.

Mike Berardino Moving On

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 09:10 PM
One of the better beat reporters for the Twins. Gonna miss him.

Article: 2018 Harmon Killebrew Award Winner - Tyler Wells...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 09:04 PM
On Tuesday night at Target Field, Joe Mauer singled in the first inning to pass Harmon Killebrew for number of Times on Base in his Twins...

2019: The Nature, Organization, Augmentation of the Rotation

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 08:29 PM
There are currently a number of posts...as we near the end of the 2018 season...from the FO (positive and negative), to Buxton, to rookie...

Article: First-Round Flops or Unfinished Projects?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 08:11 PM
As a rebuilding team in desperate need of pitching, you can't really afford to miss on arms with two top-10 picks in the draft in three y...

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Minnesota and the Arms Race

Posted by Ted Schwerzler , 12 September 2018 · 810 views

minnesota twins taylor rogers
Over the past few seasons, it's been fun to watch the emergence of a few arms for the Minnesota Twins. While starting pitching is obviously the premium you'd like to corner, talent in the relief corps is where some unusual suspects have emerged. From Ryan Pressly to Trevor Hildenberger, the 2018 culprit is a guy that already showed some promise a season ago.

Lefty Taylor Rogers has become a mainstay in the Twins bullpen, and after a 3.07 ERA across 55.2 IP during 2017, that was a realistic expectation. As a 27 year-old without much prospect fanfare though, it was safe to question whether the numbers could hold. Utilized best as a lefty on lefty specialist last year, the 3.4 BB/9 provided some reason for pause. While Rogers enjoyed a sparkling ERA, the 4.09 FIP told a different story, and the 7.9 K/9 was nearly a 2.0 K/9 dropoff from his rookie campaign.

Fast forward to 2018 and Rogers looks the part of a difference maker. On the year, he owns a 2.92 ERA across 61.2 IP. His 9.9 K/9 is a career high while the 2.0 BB/9 is a career low. In a credit to Taylor, he's also handled himself very well against batters from both sides of the plate this season. Seeing 136 plate appearances versus righties, he's given up a .675 OPS. Against lefties in 102 plate appearances opponents have tallied a .439 OPS. Those numbers are both down nearly 100 points from where they were in the same situations a season ago.

Judging by the splits, it's safe to suggest that Taylor can be much more than a LOOGY for Minnesota. The former 11th round pick probably wasn't assumed to be a back end of the bullpen option, but he's certainly pitched himself into the high leverage conversation. Despite not being cut from the blazing fastball cloth, Rogers has turned to pitch quality in order to get big league batters out.

Improving on his pitches as a whole, batters have helped to advance his cause on the mound as well. A 32% chase rate is a new career high, and he is now getting swinging strikes 10.9% of the time (a 3% jump from his rookie season). The former Wildcat is seeing contact against him at the lowest rate of his career, and batters are generating hard contact only 31.2% of the time (which has also led to a career low 6.7 HR/FB).

With Minnesota having transformed the bullpen yet again this year, 2019 is going to be rip with new opportunity. Trevor Hildenberger, Addison Reed, and Rogers are among the few certainties. From there the front office will need to acquire or decide upon internal options once again. Having a guy like Rogers step up into a role that can provide accountability from the get go is a very nice development.

No matter what level of loss is experience during a down season, being able to generate productivity and some level of certainty for the future is a must. Minnesota has a few areas they can point to along that thread from 2018, and Rogers should be chief among them.

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz




You do realize that if Molitor stays, and Rogers excels, his left arm will likely fly into the visitors dugout around the Memorial Day weekend! :). But taken care of, he does seem the real deal. As for Hildy, Molitor has despite his original statements of a closer audition, settled on Hildenberger. Maybe it will work, but I am not a fan of gimmicky pitchers.
    • twinssporto and SF Twins Fan like this
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Ted Schwerzler
Sep 12 2018 01:14 PM

 

You do realize that if Molitor stays, and Rogers excels, his left arm will likely fly into the visitors dugout around the Memorial Day weekend! :). But taken care of, he does seem the real deal. As for Hildy, Molitor has despite his original statements of a closer audition, settled on Hildenberger. Maybe it will work, but I am not a fan of gimmicky pitchers.

I'd much prefer to see the Twins use a more traditional closer in 2019. In part because I think Hildenberger can be used in other high leverage, and in part because Familia or Herrera would be better suited.

    • SF Twins Fan likes this
Due to his delivery, Hildenberger should never face a LH batter.

You think Addison Reed is a sure thing for next year?At the start of the year his stuff looked good; his pitches had a lot of movement on them.But lately, the ball isn't moving and the velocity is down. 

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Ted Schwerzler
Sep 12 2018 07:05 PM

 

You think Addison Reed is a sure thing for next year?At the start of the year his stuff looked good; his pitches had a lot of movement on them.But lately, the ball isn't moving and the velocity is down. 

He signed a two year deal. I'd be shocked if they just released him.

    • beckmt, Platoon, SF Twins Fan and 1 other like this

Right now, I think Addison Reed is the biggest contract on the team for 2019.

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stringer bell
Sep 13 2018 06:46 AM

I've always been a Rogers fan, and as noted above he's taken a real step forward this year. I would also note that the velocity is up considerably on the fastball, which seems to make the rest of his stuff even better. 

 

Reed will be back. I hope whatever is wrong is fixed, either with rest or surgery. He seemed like an excellent signing and looked good early, but for most of the season he has been brutal. 

    • MN_ExPat likes this

 

Due to his delivery, Hildenberger should never face a LH batter.

 

His platoon splits are pretty balanced.

    • MN_ExPat likes this

Reed will be back, just do not think the Twins can count on him for next year to be used in high leverage situations.

I also am in favor of the Twins signing a closer type, just hope it is the right one.

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SF Twins Fan
Sep 14 2018 09:42 AM

If people on here have access to The Athletic they did a great breakdown on the adjustments Rogers has made this season.

 

https://theathletic....ever-new-pitch/