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TD Pre-Season Predictions RE-VISITED

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:59 AM
What seems like two season's ago the good readers of Twins Daily were asked to make the following predictions going into this fine season...

Article: Week in Review: Hitting a Stride

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:54 AM
The Minnesota Twins haven't been at .500 or above since April 22nd. Will they get back there before the season ends?They are running out...

Article: Twins Minor League Report (8/19): Colina Ks 10,...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 06:50 AM
Another top Twins prospect is set to make his big league debut. Stephen Gonsalves will take the place of the injured Ervin Santana. Since...

Donny Breek - 2018

Adopt A Prospect 2018 Today, 06:03 AM
    Position: RHPDOB: November 8th, 1999. Amsterdam, the NetherlandsHeight: 6’2”Weight: 200 lbs. Signed as an International Fr...

Article: MIN 5, DET 4: Late Rosario Homer Lifts Twins to...

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:54 AM
Facing Eddie Rosario has to drive pitchers crazy. No location is safe. No count is safe.Rosario hit a go-ahead home run in the bottom of...

Blog jorgenswest


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Nick Gordon, Lamonte Wade and Infield Fly Balls

Posted by jorgenswest , 06 July 2018 · 895 views

Community Blog Post
I am curious about the vast difference in infield fly ball percentage in Nick Gordon and Lamonte Wade and wonder how much it matters projecting their bats as major league hitters. I was able to find a few articles on IFFB% but those authors leave wondering also.

One claim is that players with a lower IFFB rate tend to post higher BABIPs.

Another claim i...


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A Brief History of the 20th Pick

Posted by jorgenswest , 04 June 2018 · 318 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins have drafted more often that any other team in this slot. This will be the 7th time in 54 drafts.

Three guys are among the top pick 20s according to WAR in Torii Hunter, Denard Span and Trevor Plouffe. One other pick was helpful though he never played in the majors. Johnny Ard twice made BA's top 100 and was traded to the Giants prior to the 19...


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Don McCormack, Tino Martinez, Lance Lynn and the 75th Pick

Posted by jorgenswest , 10 March 2018 · 1,105 views
alex cobb, lance lynn
Community Blog Post
Note: Thanks to spycake, I know now that we will forfeit pick 95. Even better. Only 2 players of 53 with significant careers. Amos Otis and Dave Cash. Addison Reed and his 6.8 WAR checks in as the third most successful pick 95.

What is the 75th pick in the draft worth? If the Twins sign Alex Cobb or Lance Lynn they would forfeit this pick. How much shoul...


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Will Dozier Maintain His Value?

Posted by jorgenswest , 31 December 2016 · 1,168 views

Community Blog Post
One of the questions the Twins must be asking is whether Brian Dozier will retain his value.

We have seen his streakiness in season, but season to season he has been pretty reliable. I do wonder if hitters with his characteristics (pull hitters, fly ball hitters, relatively high ISO, right handed) tend to be more streaky within season. On the other hand,...


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Santana: In his 30s and pitching well

Posted by jorgenswest , 23 December 2016 · 1,175 views

Community Blog Post
There are all kinds of questions surrounding whether the Twins should trade Santana.

The market is a huge factor. Is it better to keep him given the limited options in or outside the organization? Is it better to trade him given the demand and supply? Will the demand be greater in July?

My interest is exploring the likelihood that he will continue to b...


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Searching for Radke

Posted by jorgenswest , 14 July 2016 · 1,221 views

Community Blog Post
Brad Radke was drafted 25 years ago. He arrived in 1995 and averaged over 30 starts a year through 2006. The Twins haven't developed a pitcher of his quality since. I wondered about today's better pitchers. What were their numbers in the minors? In particular I wondered about strike outs and walks. Those numbers are relatively fielding independent.

I wen...


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Twins First Winter Meetings Trade

Posted by jorgenswest , 05 December 2015 · 1,814 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins waited a few years before they made their first winter meeting trade. In December of 1964 they traded Gerry Arrigo to the Reds for minor league infielder Cesar Tovar.

It was a trade of two 23 year olds. Arrigo made his debut in 1961 and played his first full season with the Twins in 1964. He was a left handed starter pitching in a "plug in star...


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Landa and Rosario: The Clock is Ticking

Posted by jorgenswest , 25 November 2015 · 952 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins chose to add Yorman Landa and Randy Rosario to the 40 man roster. There is no doubt they have major league velocity. They also haven't found success in Low A ball yet. They opened in Cedar Rapids in 2014 and were injured early in the season. Last year both returned from injuries and pitched in rookie ball before entering low A in 2015.

They nee...


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Steamer Projections: Starting Pitching

Posted by jorgenswest , 14 November 2015 · 1,650 views

Community Blog Post
Steamer projections are available for 2016. Steamer uses the last three seasons of data to project the 2016 season. It is easy to write projections off as "guesses" but they are based on a significant amount of historical data. If interested you can read more about the various projection systems and rankings for 2014 here .

Projected Twin starters with g...


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Gambling on the Relief Market: Simply Folly

Posted by jorgenswest , 11 November 2015 · 804 views

Community Blog Post
Signing relievers to multi-year free agent deals is a risky proposition.

Dave Cameron had these numbers in a study from 2010.


I wondered if anything had changed since the study and the new free agency rules. There were 11 non-closer relievers signed prior to the 2013 season to multi year deals.

Jeremy Affeldt (2013-2015), 3 years, $18 million: $-6.6...