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Article: Coming Soon: Starting Pitching (But How Soon?)

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 10:14 AM
Anyone who is reading this site is a big Minnesota Twins fan. Anyone who is a big Twins fan realizes that this team needs pitching. A lot...

Possible Trade Partners for Dozier

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:14 AM
While awaiting late starting games, I revisited the "idea" of trading Brian Dozier.I began by asking which teams were not out of contenti...

Article: Red Sox 4, Twins 1: Sale Outduels Berrios

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:14 AM
Jose Berrios pitched much better than the box score suggests, as he went blow-for-blow with Chris Sale before the Twins bullpen allowed a...

Article: Twins Minor League Report (6/26): Lewis Homers,...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 10:12 AM
The Twins opened a series in Boston on Monday night and the affiliates played eight games, six of which will be profiled here. (The two D...

Article: Searching For Relief

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:04 AM
"The two most important things in life are good friends and a strong bullpen."--- Bob Lemon, Hall of Fame PitcherThe Twins bullpen would...

Blog jorgenswest


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Will Dozier Maintain His Value?

Posted by jorgenswest , 31 December 2016 · 885 views

Community Blog Post
One of the questions the Twins must be asking is whether Brian Dozier will retain his value.

We have seen his streakiness in season, but season to season he has been pretty reliable. I do wonder if hitters with his characteristics (pull hitters, fly ball hitters, relatively high ISO, right handed) tend to be more streaky within season. On the other hand,...


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Santana: In his 30s and pitching well

Posted by jorgenswest , 23 December 2016 · 851 views

Community Blog Post
There are all kinds of questions surrounding whether the Twins should trade Santana.

The market is a huge factor. Is it better to keep him given the limited options in or outside the organization? Is it better to trade him given the demand and supply? Will the demand be greater in July?

My interest is exploring the likelihood that he will continue to b...


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Searching for Radke

Posted by jorgenswest , 14 July 2016 · 992 views

Community Blog Post
Brad Radke was drafted 25 years ago. He arrived in 1995 and averaged over 30 starts a year through 2006. The Twins haven't developed a pitcher of his quality since. I wondered about today's better pitchers. What were their numbers in the minors? In particular I wondered about strike outs and walks. Those numbers are relatively fielding independent.

I wen...


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Twins First Winter Meetings Trade

Posted by jorgenswest , 05 December 2015 · 1,647 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins waited a few years before they made their first winter meeting trade. In December of 1964 they traded Gerry Arrigo to the Reds for minor league infielder Cesar Tovar.

It was a trade of two 23 year olds. Arrigo made his debut in 1961 and played his first full season with the Twins in 1964. He was a left handed starter pitching in a "plug in star...


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Landa and Rosario: The Clock is Ticking

Posted by jorgenswest , 25 November 2015 · 789 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins chose to add Yorman Landa and Randy Rosario to the 40 man roster. There is no doubt they have major league velocity. They also haven't found success in Low A ball yet. They opened in Cedar Rapids in 2014 and were injured early in the season. Last year both returned from injuries and pitched in rookie ball before entering low A in 2015.

They nee...


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Steamer Projections: Starting Pitching

Posted by jorgenswest , 14 November 2015 · 1,392 views

Community Blog Post
Steamer projections are available for 2016. Steamer uses the last three seasons of data to project the 2016 season. It is easy to write projections off as "guesses" but they are based on a significant amount of historical data. If interested you can read more about the various projection systems and rankings for 2014 here .

Projected Twin starters with g...


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Gambling on the Relief Market: Simply Folly

Posted by jorgenswest , 11 November 2015 · 580 views

Community Blog Post
Signing relievers to multi-year free agent deals is a risky proposition.

Dave Cameron had these numbers in a study from 2010.


I wondered if anything had changed since the study and the new free agency rules. There were 11 non-closer relievers signed prior to the 2013 season to multi year deals.

Jeremy Affeldt (2013-2015), 3 years, $18 million: $-6.6...


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AL Central Second Half Outlook: On the Corners

Posted by jorgenswest , 06 July 2015 · 950 views
mauer, rosario, plouffe, hunter
Community Blog Post
How do the Twins perform on the corners compared to other team in the AL Central?

Previous: Up the Middle

First Base (ranked by wRC+)

Tigers (1st ) 176
Sox (2nd ) 129
Royals (8th ) 118
Indians(10th ) 110
Twins (11th ) 98

Cabrera is a monster. Abreau is very good. Santana will be better. I think Mauer can close the gap and approach Ho...


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AL Central 2nd Half Outlook: Up the Middle

Posted by jorgenswest , 06 July 2015 · 840 views

Community Blog Post
How does the Twins performance up the middle compare to the other teams of the AL Central? With the help of fangraphs, here is how the AL Central teams performed up the middle.

Catcher (Ranked by wRC+)

Tigers (4th ) 100
Royals (7th ) 87
Indians (8th ) 86
White Sox (9th ) 80
Twins (13th ) 56

For fear of long discussion about WAR, I will leave it out....


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Rebuilding a Bullpen

Posted by jorgenswest , 22 June 2015 · 1,028 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins bullpen has the poorest strike out rate in the majors. This is not a surprise and was projected when the 25 man roster was announced. The Twins may need to trade for bullpen help at the deadline. Before that happens, I hope they look at solutions internally.

The Twins need at most one LOOGY as opposed to the two they are using now.

These pitch...