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Article: Official Rule 5 Draft Day Thread

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 01:21 PM
The Winter Meetings in Las Vegas have been fairly quiet against in 2018. Certainly there are meetings, but there haven't been a lot of si...

Where does the talent come from

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 01:20 PM
So I did back of the napkin math only here but looked at three recent WS teams to see how they constructed their teams. I only added up t...

Article: Twins Trying to Sustain Excellence

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 12:50 PM
If you’re feeling a bit underwhelmed at the close of the Winter Meetings in Las Vegas, I’m sure you’re not the only Minnesota Twins fan i...

Article: Rundown: Cruz, Cahill, Soria and Ramos

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 12:35 PM
FanCred's Jon Heyman reported Monday that the Twins were in the mix for Nelson Cruz. New Twins beat writer for MLB.com Do-Hyoung Park con...

Non-Twins Off-season news, tidbits and transactions

Other Baseball Today, 12:24 PM
We had a thread for items around the baseball world that were worth sharing but not worth a thread of their own. Now that the 2018 season...

Blog jorgenswest


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Third Time Through The Order: Established Knowledge or Statistical Illusion?

Posted by jorgenswest , 08 September 2018 · 767 views

Community Blog Post
Everyone knows that pitchers have much more difficulty the third time through the lineup. Right? Isn't this established baseball knowledge?

Data does back it up. Anecdotally we hear stats on almost every baseball broadcast about how much poorer a pitcher performs his third time through the order. League wide there is data to support this claim. According...


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Nick Gordon, Lamonte Wade and Infield Fly Balls

Posted by jorgenswest , 06 July 2018 · 1,264 views

Community Blog Post
I am curious about the vast difference in infield fly ball percentage in Nick Gordon and Lamonte Wade and wonder how much it matters projecting their bats as major league hitters. I was able to find a few articles on IFFB% but those authors leave wondering also.

One claim is that players with a lower IFFB rate tend to post higher BABIPs.

Another claim i...


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A Brief History of the 20th Pick

Posted by jorgenswest , 04 June 2018 · 394 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins have drafted more often that any other team in this slot. This will be the 7th time in 54 drafts.

Three guys are among the top pick 20s according to WAR in Torii Hunter, Denard Span and Trevor Plouffe. One other pick was helpful though he never played in the majors. Johnny Ard twice made BA's top 100 and was traded to the Giants prior to the 19...


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Don McCormack, Tino Martinez, Lance Lynn and the 75th Pick

Posted by jorgenswest , 10 March 2018 · 1,235 views
alex cobb, lance lynn
Community Blog Post
Note: Thanks to spycake, I know now that we will forfeit pick 95. Even better. Only 2 players of 53 with significant careers. Amos Otis and Dave Cash. Addison Reed and his 6.8 WAR checks in as the third most successful pick 95.

What is the 75th pick in the draft worth? If the Twins sign Alex Cobb or Lance Lynn they would forfeit this pick. How much shoul...


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Will Dozier Maintain His Value?

Posted by jorgenswest , 31 December 2016 · 1,247 views

Community Blog Post
One of the questions the Twins must be asking is whether Brian Dozier will retain his value.

We have seen his streakiness in season, but season to season he has been pretty reliable. I do wonder if hitters with his characteristics (pull hitters, fly ball hitters, relatively high ISO, right handed) tend to be more streaky within season. On the other hand,...


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Santana: In his 30s and pitching well

Posted by jorgenswest , 23 December 2016 · 1,289 views

Community Blog Post
There are all kinds of questions surrounding whether the Twins should trade Santana.

The market is a huge factor. Is it better to keep him given the limited options in or outside the organization? Is it better to trade him given the demand and supply? Will the demand be greater in July?

My interest is exploring the likelihood that he will continue to b...


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Searching for Radke

Posted by jorgenswest , 14 July 2016 · 1,344 views

Community Blog Post
Brad Radke was drafted 25 years ago. He arrived in 1995 and averaged over 30 starts a year through 2006. The Twins haven't developed a pitcher of his quality since. I wondered about today's better pitchers. What were their numbers in the minors? In particular I wondered about strike outs and walks. Those numbers are relatively fielding independent.

I wen...


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Twins First Winter Meetings Trade

Posted by jorgenswest , 05 December 2015 · 1,905 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins waited a few years before they made their first winter meeting trade. In December of 1964 they traded Gerry Arrigo to the Reds for minor league infielder Cesar Tovar.

It was a trade of two 23 year olds. Arrigo made his debut in 1961 and played his first full season with the Twins in 1964. He was a left handed starter pitching in a "plug in star...


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Landa and Rosario: The Clock is Ticking

Posted by jorgenswest , 25 November 2015 · 1,027 views

Community Blog Post
The Twins chose to add Yorman Landa and Randy Rosario to the 40 man roster. There is no doubt they have major league velocity. They also haven't found success in Low A ball yet. They opened in Cedar Rapids in 2014 and were injured early in the season. Last year both returned from injuries and pitched in rookie ball before entering low A in 2015.

They nee...


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Steamer Projections: Starting Pitching

Posted by jorgenswest , 14 November 2015 · 1,767 views

Community Blog Post
Steamer projections are available for 2016. Steamer uses the last three seasons of data to project the 2016 season. It is easy to write projections off as "guesses" but they are based on a significant amount of historical data. If interested you can read more about the various projection systems and rankings for 2014 here .

Projected Twin starters with g...