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Game Thread: Twins vs Reds, 9/27/20, 2:10 CT

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:14 PM
Today is clinch day for one team in the ALC, and the Twins can make that happen multiple different ways today. The two simplest ways to s...

A (pretty accurate) look at the seedings

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:11 PM
Going into the final weekend of the season, the eight-team AL field is nearly set, though no team is locked into its seed. Here's what I...

The Perfect Length of a Baseball Season?

Other Baseball Today, 12:12 PM
So Twitter got me thinking... What's the perfect length of baseball season? And then what's the perfect playoffs to be paired with that s...

2020 Twins Transactions

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 01:44 PM
There haven't been many yet, but I'll start this today...   The Twins just announced that Zack Littell (hamstring) has been placed o...

Playoff tiebreaks

Minnesota Twins Talk Yesterday, 11:37 AM
With three teams fighting for the division title, it seems quite possible there will be a tie for the division winner this year in the AL...

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Twins Simulation End of April Stats & More

Posted by TheTeufelShuffle , in Dynasty League Baseball Simulati 30 April 2020 · 2,181 views

simulation dynasty league baseball 2020 season
Twins Simulation End of April Stats & More

TWINS 2020 SEASON SIMUATION


The Twins have an off day on 4-30-20. I will give an end of month update below with plenty of links.

AL CENTRAL STANDINGS

  • Cleveland 17-3 (7-6 since mid April update)
  • Minnesota 23-8 Tied for first (10-2)
  • Chicago 18-13 (11-2)
  • Kansas City 14-16 (5-7)
  • Detroit 5-25 (1-11)
The Twins are the best team in baseball with a 74.2% winning percentage. We also have the best score differential at +85, the Indians and Astros are the next closest at +83. Surprisingly, the White Sox have even been hotter than the Twins have been going 11-2 in their last 13 games, but their slow start still puts them in third in the Central. The Twins are 11-2 vs LHP, 12-2 in night games and 6-2 in one run games. The other AL division leaders are Tampa and Houston with Cleveland and Chicago getting the wild card spots. Oakland fell out of the wild card spot by 2.5 games since the mid April update. In the NL Philly, Chicago and Colorado continue to lead their divisions with the Dodgers and Washington taking the early Wild card positions.
Link to the standings here: https://www.dynastyl...px?OrgID=116202


LEAGUE LEADERS


Average
AL-------------------------------------------NL
1. Tim Anderson CWS .396 --------------- 1. Eric Sogard Mil .402
2. Alex Verdugo Bos .345 ------------------2. Howie Kendrick Wash .376
3. Danny Santana TEX .344 ---------------3. Omar Navarae MIL .367

OPS
AL-------------------------------------------NL
1. Mike Trout LAA 1.100 -----------------1. Howie Kendrick Wash 1.160
2. Hunter Dozier KC 1.089 --------------2. Andrew McCutchen Phi 1.148
3. Mitch Garver Min 1.065 ---------------3. Christian Yelich Mil 1.099

HRs
AL-------------------------------------------NL
1. Max Kepler Min 10---------------------- 1. Aristides Aquino Cin 17
1. Alex Bregman Hou 10 -------------------2. Manny Machado SD 11
3. 8 players with 8 --------------------------3. Howie Kendrick Wash 10
-----------------------------------------------3. Javier Baez ChC 10

ERA
AL--------------------------------------------NL
1. John Means Bal 1.31 -------------------1. Anibal Sanchez Wash 1.51
2. Mike Clevinger Cle 1.49 ----------------2. Anthony DeSclafani Cin 1.62
3. Charlie Morton TB 1.61 ----------------3. Antonio Senzatela Col 2.06

Strikeouts
AL--------------------------------------------NL
1. Gerrit Cole NYY 92---------------------- 1. Yu Darvish ChC .72
2. Justin Verlander Hou 83 -----------------2. Patrick Corbin Wash 71
3. Lucas Giolito ChW 799 ------------------3. Zack Wheeler Phi 65
------------------------------------------------3. Robbie Ray Ari 65

WHIP
AL---------------------------------------------NL
1. Justin Verlander Hou 0.68 --------------1. German Marquez Col 0.84
2. Charlie Morton TB 0.85----------------- 2. Jack Flaherty StL 0.93
3. Jake Odorizzi Min 0.89 -----------------3. Jon Gray Col 0.94

Max Kepler is still leading the AL in home runs with 10, tied with Bregman. Not shown is that Mitch Garver and Miguel Sano are two of the eight players tied for third with 8 home runs. Garver is just on a terror right now, third in the AL in OPS is crazy good. And it doesn't show but the Twins pitching has been outstanding. Jake Odorizzi is third in WHIP in the AL, Kenta Maeda is fourth. Odorizzi, Maeda and Jose Berrios show up multiple times in the top 10 and Rogers is third in the AL in saves.
All league leader stats here: https://www.dynastyl...rt=0&GameType=0



MINNESOTA TEAM STATS


Runs 190 (2nd) ------------Hits 288 (4th) ---------Doubles 68 (2nd) -------Triples 9 (4th)
Home Runs 46 (3rd) ------RBI 182 (2nd) ---------BB 150 (1st) -------------Strike Outs 292 (6th)---SB 2 (T11th)
Average .264 (7th) --------OBP .360 (1st) ------- SLG .469 (3rd) ---------- OPS .829 (2nd)
Wins 23 (2nd)------------Saves 9 (4thT) ---------Hits allowed 232 (T 1st)-------- Runs allowed 105 (1st)
HRs Allowed 28 (2nd)---Walks 84 (3rd)----------Strike Outs 326 (5th)----------- BAA .217 (2nd)
WHIP 1.13 (T 1st)------- ERA 2.93 (1st)
Team stats have stayed pretty consistent to what they were 15 days ago. We have done slightly better in the rankings this time around. I love we moved up to 1st and 2nd in OBP and OPS on offense. And 1st in both WHIP and ERA pitching.
All team stats here: https://www.dynastyl...Type=0&Splits=0


MINNESOTA INDIVIDUAL STATS

Batting
Mitch Garver .300/.435/.630-----1.065 OPS-------Leads team in Walks (22), AVG, OBP, SLG, OPS
Miguel Sano .254/.359/.533------ .898 ------------Leads team in Ks (48)
Max Kepler .238/.336/.516. -------.851 ------------Leads team in AB (126), HR (10), RBI (34)
Nelson Cruz .277/.377/.473 ------.850
Jorge Polanco .298/.375/.463.---.838--------------Leads team in H (36),
Josh Donaldson .261/.388/.417- .806
Byron Buxton .280/.341/.449---- .790--------------Leads team in R (25), 2b (11), 3b (3)
Luis Arraez .326/.333/.453--------.787------------Not enough PA to qualify, but close
Eddie Rosario. .208/.265/.403--- .688----------- Not enough PA to qualify, but close

Pitching

Starters
Jose Berrios. 3-3 ----------- 53.2 IP----- 68/16 K/BB----1.25 WHIP------4.36 ERA------.673 OPS Against
Jake Odorizzi 6-0 -----------56.0 --------72/15 -----------0.89 ------------2.09 -----------.526
Kenta Maeda 3-1------------39.1--------45/10------------0.92-------------2.29-----------.562
Homer Bailey 3-2------------36.1---------31/14-----------1.13-------------2.48------------.591
Jhoulys Chacin 0-0-----------6.2---------8/3--------------2.10-------------9.45-----------1.339
Relievers
Taylor Rogers 2-1, 7 SV -----15.0 IP------24/5 K/BB------1.07 WHIP-----0.60 ERA-----.544 OPS Against
Tyler Clippard 1-0, 0----------5.1----------6/0--------------0.38------------0.00-----------.311
Sergio Romo 1-0, 2----------16.1---------19/7-------------1.41------------1.10-----------.651
Randy Dobnak 3-1, 0--------25.0---------19/3-------------1.00------------1.44-----------.618
Tyler Duffey 1-0, 0------------8.2----------13/5-------------1.85------------4.15-----------.723
Trevor May 0-0, 0------------11.0---------17/4-------------1.64------------9.82-----------.942
Zack Littell 0-0, 0-------------6.2----------4/2--------------1.20------------2.70-----------.656

When you look at all the individual stats you really see how well the twins are batting. Garver is off the hook good. Buxton who is the worst of the qualifying batters for OPS still has a .790 OPS which is not too shabby. That is better than like all the Tigers players. That every batter is around .800 or better is amazing. The starting pitcher is great. Odorizzi is an early Cy Young candidate. Homer has turned things around the second half the month. Berrios had a rough end of April but there is plenty of season left. Dobnak did great in his two spot starts for Chacin. Pineda is 8 games away from having his suspension lifted and will jump in for Chacin who will be demoted down to the minor leagues. The relief pitching has been great overall. May is still struggling but did a little better as of late. Clippard, Dobnak, Romo and Rogers are taking most of the work on and they are absolutely crushing it. Throw in Littell and Clippard and this is a stellar bullpen.
Individual Twins player stats here: https://www.dynastyleaguebaseball.com/TeamStats.aspx?OrgID=116202&TeamID=10&Report=0&GameType=0&Splits=0




Been trying to keep up but been busy. Really appreciate your efforts! Couple things that have surprised me...and I've bad a hard time believing...is that in all the various simulations Donaldson and Berrios all seem to have under performed.