Minnesota Twins News & Rumors Forum

Blog Comments

  1. AJOHN's Avatar
    I say keep drafting BPA if comes down to too close to call default to pitching.
  2. Oldgoat_MN's Avatar
    Old Nurse - I usually agree with you. However...
    I think you have could have a different attitude when you have maybe two starting pitchers you can hope to see in the next 3 years or so (Meyer & Gibson), an expiring contract for your staff Ace (Correia), and you are $40 million under the '52% of revenue' guideline you set for yourself.

    This team needs pitching, and internal options are too far away to wait around for.
    Or we can just be the Twins of 1993-2000.
  3. old nurse's Avatar
    Boras will do everything and anything in his power to get his clients the most money and years. I would expect him to want a mega long mega rich contract. Again, all it takes is one GM to say yes. I don't think it will happen. 4 years at most.
  4. Paul Pleiss's Avatar
    There is new money available. Teams will get an extra $25mil or so from league media contract. So yes, new money is available. I also think there's new thinking. Teams are looking at long term deals differently after seeing some of them go sour quickly (Albert Pujols anyone?). Better to pay more now than to stretch out those years. That being said, you only have to convince one front office to pull the trigger. If there's a couple teams in the bidding war, things could get out of hand with the length of the contract.

    I like Choo better. He's (not so) sneaky good. The drawback is that he's better suited for a corner spot (RF) than center. Both players will cost a draft-pick. Neither should be an option for the Twins
  5. Rosterman's Avatar
    Everyone ends up getting what they deserve in the end, especially the owners who are sucked into outlandish payments.
  6. Paul Pleiss's Avatar
    Good stuff here, puts my mind a bit at ease to see some stats in black and white.
  7. Oldgoat_MN's Avatar
    I am not a 'Joe Mauer is the savior' kind of guy, but I certainly respect him.

    This move looks to cover all bases. It more carefully protects him to continue to be a capable and available husband and father, and it increases the odds that he will be a productive member of the Twins for the life of his contract.

    Very difficult to find fault with this decision.
  8. Zephrin's Avatar
    Mauer's body of work at C is both long enough and impressive enough to get him into the HOF even if he doesn't play another game anywhere. Unquestionably the best catcher in the game for the past decade. Yadi may get himself into the HOF as well, but it will be primarily as a defender and team leader, as his lifetime numbers aren't even close to Mauer's offensively. Posey will almost certainly switch positions - probably even earlier than Mauer.

    For me, it is really just a question of where he ranks all-time as a catcher. I think there are only like 13 HOF catchers, and he should be in that class. Where he won't get now is into that upper echelon with Bench and Berra, or even the 2nd tier with Ivan. It hurts his legacy, and he knows it. "Selfless" might not be the word I would choose, but it is definitely a sacrifice from a legacy standpoint.
  9. old nurse's Avatar
    In general you do not chase free agents to be the core of your team. When you need one to plug a hole you have 2 options. Less of a player for a shorter contract or more of a player with potentially downside at the end of the contract.
  10. beckmt's Avatar
    Twins should take the BPA in every draft. If that is a shortstop, so much the better. Twins have little depth there and Santana is no sure thing.
  11. Dman's Avatar
    I like Turner a lot and I think if he hits and can keep from getting injured he will be a perennial All-Star. As much as the Twins need a Shortstop they need pitching far worse. Pitchers fail at higher rate and their careers are typically shorter so we need a lot of them if we plan on getting better for the long haul. I think the Twins will go pitcher in the first two rounds for sure and they should even though they will miss out on the dreamy shortstop prospect.
  12. beckmt's Avatar
    Two I see on the list are Brian McCann and Stephen Drew. Both clubs (Boston and Atlanta) do not care if the player accepts the offer.
  13. The Wise One's Avatar
    Kuroda made 15 mill last year. If he accepted the offer it would be a cut in pay. Is there any club going to give up a draft pick for a short term gain? Only if they signed one or two others off the list. It puts Kuroda in a tough spot and most likely accepting the offer, thus a win for the Yankees. For many on this list it would be a way for the club to have the player for another year without painful negotiation.
    Updated 11-05-2013 at 07:01 PM by The Wise One
  14. TopGunn#22's Avatar
    The only problem with this scenario is that we don't have a SS. But as Twins Fan #34 pointed out, Texas could offer Andrus.
  15. Willihammer's Avatar
    I wouldn't get hung up on his walk rate at the WBC or anywhere really. His game is power and to that end his ISO has floated around .400 which is insane.

    If Cuba's league is comparable to High A, a .400 ISO would be .080 points better than Giancarlo Stanton or Miguel Sano - and Sano's ~.320 ISO is the best for a season in High A since fangraphs started tracking minor leaguers in 2006.

    Re: bat speed -its one part of the equation but not the be all end all. Just look at the various bat speeds from 2013: ESPN Home Run Tracker :: 92013 Top Home Runs, Speed Off Bat - Full List. There are good hitters all over that spectrum.

    Force is a product of velocity and mass. Maybe Abreu is swinging a 40 ounce bat in Cuba?
    Updated 10-21-2013 at 03:13 PM by Willihammer
  16. twinsfan34's Avatar
    Jerry Crasnick of ESPN has a great feature article on Jose Abreu.

    Seems like most comparisons go along the lines of Viciedo and Morales. Maybe hits more power than Morales, but not as good of a bat.

    His walks rates are inflated quite a bit. He didn't walk once in the World Baseball Clinic.

    Also, his walk totals are very much inflated by his high IBB totals. This from a Grantland article.

    "His stats have been inflated somewhat by intentional walks (a league-leading 32 in 2009-10, and 21 last season) and hit-by-pitches (30 in 2009-10, 21 last season, though Abreu might have an easier time sustaining high HBP numbers than league-leading intentional walk totals in the majors). Even Abreu's hit tool, while playable, might not be superstar-level."
  17. Lonestar's Avatar
    There are huge differences.

    The Red Sox only had 8 starts by starters with an ERA as bad or worse than the Twins average starter ERA of 5.26. As you noted, the only starters the Red Sox added were Dempster (who had a 4.64 ERA pitching half of his games in Fenway) and Peavy. They got huge turnarounds from Bucholtz, Lester, and Lackey.

    The Red Sox already had in place Ortiz, Pedroia, Ellsbury, Saltalamachia and Nava (who was a surprise, at least to me). To that mix they added Victorino, Drew, Napoli, and Carp. They got above average production from every position but 3B.

    The Red Sox had many more piece in place than the Twins do. Some will say the difference between the Twins and BoSox will be payroll. But besides the number of pieces in place, the difference seems to me to be the willingness to maximize the roster.

    If you want to know what it would look like if the Twins this off-season like the BoSox did last year, read some of the threads on this site.
  18. The Wise One's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Willihammer
    In a bigger sample of Serie Nacional games, Abreu compares favorably to some of the best players of this decade. For example, Puig posted a .330/.431/.581 line, to Cespedes' .333/.424/.667, to Abreu's .453/.597/.986 in 2009-2010 (the last year they all played together). That's better than a .400 lead in OPS over Cespedes, for anyone counting at home. Note: Cespedes and Abreu held or shared the lead in nearly every major hitting category that year.

    And Abreu hasn't let off the gas since. This guy just mashes.
    That assumes that Cespedes and Abreu have the same swing. By any reports I can find they don't.
    Low level competition numbers do not translate to a major league level.
    You have to look at mechanics. Most reports say he doesn't have a fast bat. In an era where most teams are getting faster pitchers that does not bode well for him. He will get his hits off the inferior pitchers.
    The comparable could be his teammate and countryman Viceido with probably a lower BA. 20 homers with a .250 average. As a DH/1B that would be about a 1.5 WAR.
  19. Willihammer's Avatar
    In a bigger sample of Serie Nacional games, Abreu compares favorably to some of the best players of this decade. For example, Puig posted a .330/.431/.581 line, to Cespedes' .333/.424/.667, to Abreu's .453/.597/.986 in 2009-2010 (the last year they all played together). That's better than a .400 lead in OPS over Cespedes, for anyone counting at home. Note: Cespedes and Abreu held or shared the lead in nearly every major hitting category that year.

    And Abreu hasn't let off the gas since. This guy just mashes.
  20. Joe A. Preusser's Avatar
    I kinda like that Buxton is scuffling a little bit with his .227. A little adversity is necessary to realize true greatness potential. Not that I don't love that he's been dominant at every other point so far...
Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
©2014 TwinsCentric, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Interested in advertising with Twins Daily? Click here.