Blog Comments

  1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
    I like this reasoning too, particularly the two throw-ins of the deal. Mastro (though I love him like a son - he was my 2012 TD adoptee ) is barely above waiver-wire fodder and if a team considers him a sweetener I gladly include him. Fien is a guy who, when I think ahead to possible playoff games, doesn't seem like one of the pitchers who drives the other team nuts when you roll out three guys to suffocate their seventh-inning rally.

    You have to give up talent to get talent, and Dozier as the key piece to get a good pitcher is a reasonable choice. And I am all for bundling multiple players to get an upgrade, in contrast to recent Twins history of trading one guy and getting two "maybes" in return.
  2. twinsfan34's Avatar
    I think your reasoning is right. Love the "whatever that means"...part too.

    Dozier, love the guy. Great clubhouse guy, ethics, leadership, and adds some pop as a 2B.

    874 ABs...he's hit .240. I wonder how many guys after that many at-bats have improved their AVG by even...say .030 pts? (.270) Or what's the likelihood he even gets to .260?

    I almost think the Cubs are more into potential right now. And do they move Castro over with Baez coming up (possible Opening Day Starter to late May call up) or just scrap Castro altogether? The news stories (and the benchings) seem so down on the guy. He's only 23 though.
  3. twinscowboysbulls's Avatar
    I like the Samardzija idea, he and Mauer could throw around the pigskin on off days as well. I think we would have to up the offer a tish to get that done.
  4. twinsin17's Avatar
    If the Cubbies trade Samardzija it would surely require top end pitching prospects in return, effectively ruling the Twins out of the mix. Their issues are similar to our own. I do like the idea of TR doing some wheeling and dealing this winter, though. Personally I feel our best bet to add pitching is signing unremarkable veteran free agent inning eaters to hold us over while drafting high end pitching prospects and developing our solid core of pitchers currently in rookie/low A ball. When TR said "there are no shortcuts" I think this is what he meant.
  5. Thrylos's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by twinsfan34
    Cheaper than Price by a mile. I Like Samardzija. But I can't see the Cubs parting with him for less than at least 1 top 30 prospect or 2 in the top 100. The Cubs have an awesome farm system, tons of international flyers, and are looking at being a serious contender via the farm system come 2016 and beyond.
    Here is what I think about this, esp. when comparing Dozier to a top prospect like Rozario as far as trade value goes:

    They both have about the same years of club control. Unlike Rozario, Dozier has proven himself (whatever that means) in the majors and I think he has more value. Those 5 years of club control will coincide with his prime and he will be there for the future. Rozario is an excellent prospect, but still unproven. That's why I think that Dozier is more valuable than a top 30 prospect. He can start at second base tomorrow
  6. twinsfan34's Avatar
    Cheaper than Price by a mile. I Like Samardzija. But I can't see the Cubs parting with him for less than at least 1 top 30 prospect (Buxton, Sano, Meyer) or 2 in the top 100 (Rosario, Stewart). The Cubs have an awesome farm system, tons of international flyers, and are looking at being a serious contender via the farm system come 2016 and beyond.
    Updated 11-13-2013 at 08:51 AM by twinsfan34
  7. goulik's Avatar
    Thrylos, Amazingly informative post!! This is the most new info that I have read in the past two weeks on TD and I have read EVERYTHING! Thank You!!

    This also reinforces my desire to sign Josh Johnson to a creative contract. I keep hearing he wants just a one year contract to build value. Give him that one year with mutual options for two more years in a creative way that he will sign. For example: Year 1-7million;year 2-15 million team option/7.5 million player option;year 3-17 million team option/8 million player option. (Adjust the numbers to make sense and get er done)
  8. Thrylos's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Willihammer
    Volquez is intriguing, he has a huge xFIP-ERA gap, good regression candidate but man is he wild sometimes. Personally I would prefer Roberto Hernandez. He's just outside all of your criteria but has really cut down on walks recently and has a more enormous GB rate. And he can dial it up to 94-95 when he has to. I've always liked his stuff.
    Just the fact that Roberto Hernandez was once known as Fausto Carmona is enough for me to not sign him. Gives the wrong message and I would not like people like him in the clubhouse. Skill or not skill. Same reason I would not like ARod, even if he were free.
  9. Willihammer's Avatar
    Volquez is intriguing, he has a huge xFIP-ERA gap, good regression candidate but man is he wild sometimes. Personally I would prefer Roberto Hernandez. He's just outside all of your criteria but has really cut down on walks recently and has a more enormous GB rate. And he can dial it up to 94-95 when he has to. I've always liked his stuff.
  10. Thrylos's Avatar
    Both Jimenez and E. Santana are in the same boat as far as QO's go. The difference between them and someone like Lohse last season is that he was 34, so a long term signing did not make much sense nor did giving up a 1st round pick for a year or two of his services. Jimenez and Santana are young enough to merit a long term contract and for some teams giving up a first round pick is not a big deal if they are going to win.

    Players like Beltran, Cruz, Kuroda, Grandenson and Napoli are in the same boat this season as Lohse was last season and they will be better of to accept those offers.
  11. Mike Frasier Law's Avatar
    You say Ubaldo will have a high price tag. But if I remember correctly, the free agents that received qualifying offers last year had significantly repressed markets. Do you think that will happen with Ubaldo, and if do, do you think it increases the likelihood of the Twins signing him?
  12. Thrylos's Avatar
    Probably more, because there is not much of a pipeline in the Twins organization. I would look at a 3 year or 2+1 for Kazmir and the same for Johnson and an 1 + 1 for Volquez.

    I don't really think much of Diamond. On a good team he is a swingman at best. His 2013 was more like his 2011, which makes me think that his 2012 was an aberration (think Albers' first few games), because the raw stuff is not there as well... And we are talking about a good competitive team. And good, competitive teams do not sell good performing players in the deadline, unless they have better in the pipeline to replace them.

    The Twins have to start thinking like champions for a change...
  13. Steve Penz's Avatar
    BTW- Awesome analysis.
  14. Steve Penz's Avatar
    Did you say specifically how many years you could look for in the contracts? I am guessing you would go 2 years for kazmir and one each for Volquez and Johnson. What I like there is that Volquez and Johnson, if they do well, could be attractive at the trade deadline. The team could get great return (think Sulbaran) on investments in them. And, if they go then you have people like Diamond and Worley at AAA who have hopefully figured out some things by then.
  15. Oldgoat_MN's Avatar
    A lot of work Thry.
    Thank you.

    I have been impressed ever since someone (I cannot remember who, but someone with some credentials) said that Sano's upside was Miguel Cabrera.

    Big fun coming our way!
  16. Pitz's Avatar
    You must have had a better view of the throw. I didn't realize that it hit Rohlfing. I thought the throw was really off the mark from my third base side vantage point. I didn't look up to see if the play was replayed on the big screen so I'll trust your perspective. I was watching Rosario and Baxendale to judge their reactions.

    My wife and I were hesitant to make the trip with the threat of storms and not knowing if Sano would play. We decided to check out some other things in the area before heading to the park so we only got there very shortly before the first pitch.

    I was looking forward to seeing Baxendale. I'm not sure that any of the pitches are plus, but that's only off of seeing him one time when he wasn't at his best. I think he has a good mix of pitches to keep hitters off balance enough to be able to be a back end starter. Command is going to be huge for him and learning how to use his repertoire effectively. Here's to hoping he can match what Radke was able to accomplish in his Twins tenure.
  17. Thrylos's Avatar
    Pitz, I wish I knew you were there, I'd say hi.

    About that error: The ball hit Rohlfing square on the chest protector and bounced to the back stop. I treat any ball that is hitting someone at that part of the body as catchable. Surprised the error was credited to Rosario. Baxendale's fastball was not there yesterday. I just hope that he is not still hurt.
  18. Pitz's Avatar
    Appreciate the write up. I was at the game also, although I had seen enough after 5 innings.
    The only thing I'm a little unsure about was the error on Rohlfing. From my perspective, that was clearly an error on Rosario as it was a very poor throw. (It is listed in the box score as a Rosario throwing error). I'm not adding this to say anything about Rosario's defense. I think he is fine at second, but that particular throw was not good.
    Baxendale was definitely victimized by some poor defense, but yeah he did not seem to be very sharp. This was the first time I've seen him, but I'm hoping his stuff is a little better than what I saw last night.

    Thanks for your report.
  19. jorgenswest's Avatar
    As always, top quality reporting. Thanks.
  20. howieramone's Avatar
    Good info on Rosario's defense.
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