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Polanco, and the eager promotion of prospects.

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 03:49 AM
God, I wish the Twins hadn't wasted (one, two?) option year(s).  He looks over-matched, just lost at the plate.  And his defens...
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Game Thread: Twins @ Dodgers, 7/26 @ 9:10pm CT

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 03:21 AM
Having done more than my fair share of minimalist Game Thread Intros, due to trying to do other things, well, i was thinking of joking he...
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Crazy Talk: The Bullpen as a Strength in 2018/2019?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 02:00 AM
The timing of this topic may be odd since there is a reasoned plea for Falvine to go outside the system for relief help at the moment. I'...
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Article: Twins 2, Dodgers 6: Twins Fall Below .500

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 01:31 AM
For the first time since late April, the Minnesota Twins are a game below .500 (49-50).In one of the longest games in major league histor...
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Article: Twins Minor League Report (7/26): Vargas Homers...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 01:31 AM
The Twins are finishing up their series with the Dodgers on Wednesday night, hoping to avoid a sweep.A few moves were made on Wednesday a...
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We Lost Jeff Francis! (Yawn.)

I saw several tweets yesterday bemoaning the fact that the Twins didn't get Jeff Francis considering he signed a minor league deal with the Reds. I've certainly cast a skeptical eye towards the Twins aggressive stance early in this offseason, especially in the bullpen. But the Francis signing, IMHO, points out the risk/reward of waiting out the musical chairs game that is the free agent market:

Attached Image: 1804757-bin.jpg Reward - when the music stops, there can be an awful lot of players anxious to take a seat in your remaining chair
Risk - all of those players might kinda suck.

(This is not Jeff Francis. But it might be soon.)==>

When I look at Francis, I wonder why anyone would bemoan missing out on him. MLB GMs seem to agree - he just signed a minor league deal with a team in which there is no guarantee of a rotation spot. All by itself, that's revealing. But there is plenty of other evidence:

1. His fastball lost a couple of mph and tops out at about 84 according to rotowire.com
2. His k rate was down in the mid 4s last year.
3. He was hit like a pinata at a ADHD kids birthday party last year.

I expect that last point is why so many analysts kind of like him - it's almost unfathomable that a guy can give up 220+ hits in 180 innings without some bad luck being involved. That may be true, but there is another explanation - a pitcher can just kinda suck. Those guys get weeded out in a hurry and thus don't impact Voros McCracken's correlation coefficient much, but there is no question they exist. I suspect yesterday's deal reflects MLB's organic weeding process more than it reflects the Twins cluelessness.


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