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Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:43 AM
Hi this is much first post on here but have been reading for a long time. We have talked a lot about Dozier and pitching lately, rightful...
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Article: Official Winter Meetings Monday Thread

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:26 AM
Today, the Winter Meetings officially begin. There was an awards banquet on Sunday night, but the full slate of meetings begin today.Use...
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2016-2017 MLB Off-season Thread

Other Baseball Today, 10:24 AM
We had a regular season thread... Might as well make an off-season thread to track signings, firings, trades, etc. 
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Kennys Vargas

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:21 AM
Where does he fit in next season?  Is he the team's DH?  Is he a big bat off the bench?  Is he platooning at 1B with Mauer...
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Twins Announce Promotions in Scouting Department

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:14 AM
From Dustin Morse:     Here is the full press release (BOLD is done by me to highlight their roles and responsibilities):...
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We Lost Jeff Francis! (Yawn.)

I saw several tweets yesterday bemoaning the fact that the Twins didn't get Jeff Francis considering he signed a minor league deal with the Reds. I've certainly cast a skeptical eye towards the Twins aggressive stance early in this offseason, especially in the bullpen. But the Francis signing, IMHO, points out the risk/reward of waiting out the musical chairs game that is the free agent market:

Attached Image: 1804757-bin.jpg Reward - when the music stops, there can be an awful lot of players anxious to take a seat in your remaining chair
Risk - all of those players might kinda suck.

(This is not Jeff Francis. But it might be soon.)==>

When I look at Francis, I wonder why anyone would bemoan missing out on him. MLB GMs seem to agree - he just signed a minor league deal with a team in which there is no guarantee of a rotation spot. All by itself, that's revealing. But there is plenty of other evidence:

1. His fastball lost a couple of mph and tops out at about 84 according to rotowire.com
2. His k rate was down in the mid 4s last year.
3. He was hit like a pinata at a ADHD kids birthday party last year.

I expect that last point is why so many analysts kind of like him - it's almost unfathomable that a guy can give up 220+ hits in 180 innings without some bad luck being involved. That may be true, but there is another explanation - a pitcher can just kinda suck. Those guys get weeded out in a hurry and thus don't impact Voros McCracken's correlation coefficient much, but there is no question they exist. I suspect yesterday's deal reflects MLB's organic weeding process more than it reflects the Twins cluelessness.


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