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OK GM's, your LF addition for 2015 is...

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 12:32 AM
I think it's pretty obvious that LF is the one spot where we can make a nice to big impact for 2015's lineup with no blocking of imminent...
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Article: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Starting Rotation

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 12:30 AM
As the season starts to wind down, this is the first in a series of posts looking at different parts of the Twins roster . There have bee...
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THE END IS NEAR: Ron Gardenhire Knows About Fangraphs.com

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 12:32 AM
According to MLB.com's Rhett Bollinger, Minnesota Twins' manager Ron Gardenhire acknowledged that the extensive statistical online wareho...
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Next Commish

More Baseball Today, 12:03 AM
MLB chief operating officer Rob Manfred, MLB vice president of business Tim Bronson and Red Sox chairman Tom Werner are the candidates, a...
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Article: Suddenly, Shortstops!

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 12:32 AM
Finding a non-temporary answer at the shortstop position has been a long-standing issue for the Minnesota Twins, dating back about a deca...
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The Store


We Lost Jeff Francis! (Yawn.)

I saw several tweets yesterday bemoaning the fact that the Twins didn't get Jeff Francis considering he signed a minor league deal with the Reds. I've certainly cast a skeptical eye towards the Twins aggressive stance early in this offseason, especially in the bullpen. But the Francis signing, IMHO, points out the risk/reward of waiting out the musical chairs game that is the free agent market:

Attached Image: 1804757-bin.jpg Reward - when the music stops, there can be an awful lot of players anxious to take a seat in your remaining chair
Risk - all of those players might kinda suck.

(This is not Jeff Francis. But it might be soon.)==>

When I look at Francis, I wonder why anyone would bemoan missing out on him. MLB GMs seem to agree - he just signed a minor league deal with a team in which there is no guarantee of a rotation spot. All by itself, that's revealing. But there is plenty of other evidence:

1. His fastball lost a couple of mph and tops out at about 84 according to rotowire.com
2. His k rate was down in the mid 4s last year.
3. He was hit like a pinata at a ADHD kids birthday party last year.

I expect that last point is why so many analysts kind of like him - it's almost unfathomable that a guy can give up 220+ hits in 180 innings without some bad luck being involved. That may be true, but there is another explanation - a pitcher can just kinda suck. Those guys get weeded out in a hurry and thus don't impact Voros McCracken's correlation coefficient much, but there is no question they exist. I suspect yesterday's deal reflects MLB's organic weeding process more than it reflects the Twins cluelessness.


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