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Article: Can Derek Falvey Be The New Andy MacPhail?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:29 PM
The Minnesota Twins of the early-1980's were bad... like really bad... like almost as bad as the Twins of the last handful of years. Ther...
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What big named Free agent pitchers are available this off...

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:26 PM
Just curious, is there anyone out there that could be that difference maker that the Twins could just go out and buy??A new GM may get a...
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Article: Game Thread: Twins @ Royals, 9/27 6:15pm CT

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:23 PM
The Twins open up a 3-game series tonight in Kansas City. Nothing but road games left on the schedule. No more games are scheduled for Ta...
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Can the Twins Afford to Release Mauer?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 04:15 PM
Obviously they need to pay him $46mil through 2018, no matter what.Whether it is due to concussion related issues or other physical malad...
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Sickels: End of 2016 Top 100 Prospects

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 04:22 PM
When names like Sano, Buxton, Kepler, Polanco and Berrios come off of prospect lists, things will look a bit different.   However Jo...
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We Lost Jeff Francis! (Yawn.)

I saw several tweets yesterday bemoaning the fact that the Twins didn't get Jeff Francis considering he signed a minor league deal with the Reds. I've certainly cast a skeptical eye towards the Twins aggressive stance early in this offseason, especially in the bullpen. But the Francis signing, IMHO, points out the risk/reward of waiting out the musical chairs game that is the free agent market:

Attached Image: 1804757-bin.jpg Reward - when the music stops, there can be an awful lot of players anxious to take a seat in your remaining chair
Risk - all of those players might kinda suck.

(This is not Jeff Francis. But it might be soon.)==>

When I look at Francis, I wonder why anyone would bemoan missing out on him. MLB GMs seem to agree - he just signed a minor league deal with a team in which there is no guarantee of a rotation spot. All by itself, that's revealing. But there is plenty of other evidence:

1. His fastball lost a couple of mph and tops out at about 84 according to rotowire.com
2. His k rate was down in the mid 4s last year.
3. He was hit like a pinata at a ADHD kids birthday party last year.

I expect that last point is why so many analysts kind of like him - it's almost unfathomable that a guy can give up 220+ hits in 180 innings without some bad luck being involved. That may be true, but there is another explanation - a pitcher can just kinda suck. Those guys get weeded out in a hurry and thus don't impact Voros McCracken's correlation coefficient much, but there is no question they exist. I suspect yesterday's deal reflects MLB's organic weeding process more than it reflects the Twins cluelessness.


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