Top 20 Minnesota Twins Assets of 2021: Part 2 (11-15)
Jan 05 2021 09:04 PM |
Nick Nelson
in Minnesota Twins

Image courtesy of Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports
First, you can get up to speed on the 'why and how' behind these rankings by reading Monday's introductory post. If you're already hip, proceed to find my choices (and reasoning) for the 11th-through-15th most valuable player assets currently under Minnesota's control as 2021 gets underway. 15. Miguel Sanó, 1B
2020 Ranking: 11
This is the deepest placement yet in these rankings for Sanó, and with good reason. He moved from third base to first. He is coming off a disappointing year, marred by a ridiculous strikeout total. He is currently lined up as the team's second-highest paid player in 2021, with his $11 million commitment trailing only Donaldson's $21 million.
With all this in mind, I think it's important to remember the qualities that have kept Sanó on this list year after year – all still on display in the abbreviated 2020 campaign. He is an incredibly gifted athlete who hits baseballs as hard as anyone in the world. He acclimated quickly to first base, with his natural skill and instincts shining through. He's only 27 years old, at the heart of his physical prime, and still quite athletic for his prodigious size. While he'll be somewhat highly paid in 2021, the Twins also control him in 2022 at $9.25 million, which will be an amazing bargain if he pulls it together. They also have a $14 million option for his age-30 season.
Focus on Sanó's flaws all you want – it's valid. But don't lose sight of his strengths. They are in some ways unparalleled.
14. Tyler Duffey, RHP
2020 Ranking: 16
If he hadn't claimed it already, Duffey firmly took hold of the team's "bullpen ace" title in 2020. He was among the league's most dominant relievers, allowing only 19 baserunners via hit or walk in 24 innings, nearly all high-leverage. And because of his sparse previous track record, Duffey remains quite inexpensive in his second turn at arbitration. He's set to earn $2.2 million in 2020.
In some ways, he epitomizes the volatility and unpredictability of relief arms. Duffey was not present in these rankings two years ago, and in fact was probably on the verge of moving on from the organization at that point. He has since harnessed his full potential out of the bullpen to become an elite force in the late innings.
How long will it last? That remains to be seen. But the Twins are more than happy to control him affordably for the next two seasons.
13. Jordan Balazovic, RHP
2020 Ranking: 8
The lost minor-league season in 2020 was especially unfortunate for a guy like Balazovic. He entered the year as a fast-rising and highly promising young arm, ready to take on advanced levels for the first time and make a statement. But because he hadn't yet taken this step, and wasn't really within range of a call-up, he was left off the alternate site roster, leaving him to progress on his own, without the benefit of competition or direct coaching. (He did get added to the alternate group late in the season.)
None of this means Balazovic's outlook has dropped off, especially in a relative context (all prospects just lost a year). But he was at such a pivotal crux in his development – 21 years old, three years removed from being drafted out of high school, set to reach Double-A for the first time – that the disruption weighs a bit harder in his case.
With that said, he's clearly one of the organization's top pitching prospects – virtually deadlocked with the next guy, from my view – and that makes him one of Minnesota's most valuable assets. Huge year ahead for Balazovic.
12. Jhoan Duran, RHP
2020 Ranking: 13
The Twins acquired the Dominican right-hander from Arizona as part of the Eduardo Escobar deal in July of 2018. At the time, Duran was a middling Single-A starter with big stuff and lackluster results. Upon coming switching organizations, he immediately turned a corner. Since the trade, Duran has posted a 3.38 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 10.7 K/9 rate in 151 innings. His whiff rates are among the best in the system. He's been dominating.
He's also just about big-league ready. Duran reached Double-A in 2019 and spent 2020 at the alternate site in St. Paul, where he gained consideration for a call-up. His proximity to the majors and proven performance in the upper minors gives him a slight edge over Balazovic in these rankings but as I said, they're practically even in my eyes.
11. Luis Arráez, 2B
2020 Ranking: 10
The strengths and positives that Arráez brings to the table are no secret. He's one of the game's best contact hitters and the definition of a spark plug, with a .331 average and .390 on-base percentage through nearly 500 major-league plate appearances. All this before turning 24.
But Arráez also has his limitations. He's not a speedy runner, nor a strong defender, and it's dubious whether he'll ever develop enough power to become a well-rounded offensive threat. Overshadowing these shortcomings, all of which he's been able to rise above as a huge difference-maker in his first two seasons, is the one issue that has actually held him back: his health.
The second baseman missed all of 2017 in the minors after tearing the ACL in one knee, and in 2020 he was bothered all year by tendinitis in the other. Arráez was clearly hobbled most of the time and spent much of September on the Injured List.
No surgery was planned for this offseason, so he'll focus on strengthening his lower body and shaking off the creeping "injury-prone" rep that threatens to further tarnish his otherwise impeccable asset value as a cheap young core player with five remaining years of team control.
THE TOP 20 TWINS ASSETS OF 2021
20. Keoni Cavaco, SS
19. Brent Rooker, OF/1B
18. Josh Donaldson, 3B
17. Taylor Rogers, LHP
16. Jorge Alcala, RHP
15. Miguel Sanó, 1B
14. Tyler Duffey, RHP
13. Jordan Balazovic, RHP
12. Jhoan Duran, RHP
11. Luis Arráez, 2B
6-10: Coming tomorrow!
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- dbminn, nclahammer, MN_ExPat and 1 other like this
14 Comments
I like this group, but would drop Sano even further
I would value Duffey higher, but I am also a guy who values relief pitchers more than most. Would like to see the Twins work out a nice extension for Duff later in spring training.
LIke several above, would also push Arraez into the Top 10. Yes, I understand the limitations you mention. But if he is ever healthy his production is going to be beyond belief. Not being in the locker room, don't know how likely his knee problems are to return year-after-year.
As for Sano, agree with your comments and ranking. 2021 should tell us a lot about his future as a player and as a Twin.
Can't wait for the minor league season to get started, assuming it does. Like most of you, have my fingers crossed that these two pitchers will dominate whatever league they are in...Duran at AAA and Balazovic in Wichita?
I posted the specifics in another thread, but what Arraez has done in essentially the equivalent of one year is remarkable.He is probably the best contact hitter in the league, and his numbers compare quite favorably to both Molitor and Gwynn at the same age (Molitor's numbers, specifically power, are better.Gwynn's are worse).
I feel quite certain that so long as his knees don't betray him, Luis will retire in 12-15 years with a HOF-worthy career.Whether he gets in or not will likely depend on if he hits (pun intended) the 3,000 hit milestone.
How many games will Sano play in RF?
So happy to see someone agree with me about his potential. Heck, it isn't potential any more as he has been doing it for a year.
Really think 3 of these guys are really important to the Twins future.... Arraez, Balazovik and Duran. Really think 3 of these guys are really important to the Twins right now..... Arraez, Sano and Duffey. Which 2 are the least important overall..... Sano and Duffey. HomeRun hitting 1st basemen that strikeout a lot are not hard to find and bullpen arms are easily replaceable. Sano is at the time of his career he needs to put it together completely and the best way he can do that is by putting the bat on the ball MORE. He kills a lot of big innings with his huge K rate. If he ever figures out he doesn't have to hit the ball 500 feet every time he swings he will take a big step forward. As for Duff, he's where he needs to be, now just keep it up and he'll probably go the way of Trevor May in 2 years.
From Fangraphs, Sano is 9th worst all time with 37% K%.His stats are comparable to the Rangers Joey Gallo.
https://www.fangraph...=10,d&page=1_30
Better than Jerry Koosman and Milt Pappas. So he's got that going for him, which is nice.
Drop Sano off this.Otherwise, prove me wrong and trade him for someone worth while.
Secondly, besides being a highly above average hitter, Luis Arraez is actually a really good defender!!!Look up those career stats!!!
I like Luis as much as the next Twins fan, but I believe that his defensive stats (if we mean the traditional error rate) are affected in his favor by his limited range. If he got to more balls and had more chances his errors would presumably climb, too.