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Seth's 2013 Twins Hitting Projections

Since completing the Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook a month ago, I have managed to find a little extra time in my life. So, what did I do? I am so cool that I started making my Minnesota Twins Roster Projections (which can be found hereand here). Today, another piece to that fun, preseason puzzle is presented for you today. It is my attempt to predict how the Twins hitters will fare in 2013.

I'm sure you've reviewed several such projections, such as Bill James and PECOTA and others. However, those are all just done with a computer and with stats and all those things that seem to make a lot of sense based on several factors like the players' history, age and more. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]

My projections are fairly similar, in nature, yet likely different in results. I admit that I used my computer and I looked at players' stats from previous seasons. I considered the players' ages and career trajectories. I also made some assumptions based on intangibles, either previously chronicled or developed on my own. In other words, I look at the numbers and then use my gut to determine what the player will do in 2013.

Attached Image: Joe Mauer.jpg

You're certainly free to disagree with them, if you like. Frankly, I just enjoy doing it because it helps me get ready for the upcoming season. I'm not going to claim that my projections are in any way better than the others you've read (even those other ones will be pretty close on some and not even a little close on others), but I am certainly willing to stand behind them. And, hopefully someone will remind me at the end of the season to look at them and see how close I was.

I encourage all of you to do something similar and/or post your projections for the players below as well. Obviously we can't predict injury or trades and easier than we can predict who will break out and who will bust. But again, these are solely my projections for the 2012 seasons for the Twins hitters. It is not meant to be used in your fantasy league drafts or anything. If you do so, do so at your own risk.

Please note that I projected player by player, and at the end, I compared my projected 2013 numbers to the actual 2012 numbers to see if I was completely off. I do show some small improvement by the offense overall. Note also that I have about 250 more plate appearances to reach those 2012 numbers, but I would say those are for other players who come up for brief stints, or to account for the unexpected.

With that, I'm going to split the projections into two charts, in hopes that it will fit better onto your screen.

Enjoy!

[TABLE="width: 537"]



G
PA
AB
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS


C
Joe Mauer
143
626
532
0.325
0.406
0.483
0.889


C
Ryan Doumit
127
505
470
0.257
0.305
0.430
0.735


C
Drew Butera
31
91
84
0.202
0.231
0.286
0.516


C
Chris Herrmann
43
123
108
0.259
0.325
0.361
0.686


1B
Justin Morneau
142
607
521
0.292
0.381
0.536
0.916


2B
Brian Dozier
113
458
412
0.267
0.330
0.391
0.720


3B
Trevor Plouffe
154
598
536
0.252
0.311
0.451
0.763


SS
Pedro Florimon
62
179
164
0.189
0.218
0.262
0.480


UIF
Jamey Carroll
129
335
281
0.274
0.343
0.342
0.685


UIF
Eduardo Escobar
108
237
212
0.259
0.312
0.349
0.661


LF
Josh Willingham
151
626
534
0.253
0.355
0.489
0.843


CF
Aaron Hicks
91
397
336
0.265
0.348
0.399
0.746


RF
Chris Parmelee
119
433
382
0.259
0.335
0.440
0.775


OF
Darin Mastroianni
115
387
337
0.246
0.313
0.335
0.648


OF
Oswaldo Arcia
33
128
115
0.322
0.367
0.487
0.854


OF
Joe Benson
67
210
184
0.250
0.305
0.375
0.680



2013 Predictions
162
5940
5208
0.267
0.337
0.426
0.763



2012 Totals
162
6209
5562
0.260
0.325
0.390
0.715

[/TABLE]

Here are more of the projected counting numbers:

[TABLE="width: 498"]



R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
SB
BB
SO


C
Joe Mauer
78
173
38
2
14
78
3
81
92


C
Ryan Doumit
49
121
31
1
16
63
0
33
92


C
Drew Butera
5
17
4
0
1
7
0
4
19


C
Chris Herrmann
12
28
6
1
1
13
1
12
18


1B
Justin Morneau
77
152
32
1
31
86
0
79
99


2B
Brian Dozier
49
110
27
3
6
41
13
41
52


3B
Trevor Plouffe
78
135
30
1
25
68
1
51
121


SS
Pedro Florimon
20
31
7
1
1
13
3
8
47


UIF
Jamey Carroll
41
77
14
1
1
25
7
38
43


UIF
Eduardo Escobar
18
55
11
1
2
23
3
19
38


LF
Josh Willingham
71
135
27
0
33
104
1
87
141


CF
Aaron Hicks
64
89
14
5
7
33
13
49
75


RF
Chris Parmelee
42
99
20
2
15
41
1
46
88


OF
Darin Mastroianni
44
83
12
3
4
31
29
38
94


OF
Oswaldo Arcia
16
37
7
0
4
21
0
10
25


OF
Joe Benson
24
46
8
3
3
22
8
18
51



2013 Predictions
688
1388
288
25
164
669
83
614
1095



2012 Totals
701
1448
270
30
131
667
135
505
1069

[/TABLE]

That's a lot of numbers to digest, so take your time... Are there some you agree with? Others that you disagree with? Which are the most egregious? And again, be sure to post your projections for some of all of the players as well!


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