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Who's a more valuable trade asset, Buxton or Kepler?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 07:06 PM
At the deadline, it was reported that the Mets asked for Byron Buxton (plus more players) for Noah Syndergaard. With the Twins are least...
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Front Page: The Defensive Future of Royce Lewis

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 07:02 PM
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CJ Cron Has Thumb Surgery

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:31 PM
Per his Instagram (via Doogie Wolfson), CJ Cron had successful thumb surgery... Now on to rehab. Certainly wish him well.    
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Front Page: Dealing with Wheeler Gets Minnesota an Ace

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:43 PM
This offseason the Minnesota Twins chief focus is going to be on acquiring impact pitching. The front office has suggested as much, and w...
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Potential Twins Bullpen Target: Alex Colome, RHP, White Sox

It's no secret, the Twins will be seeking bullpen help as the trade deadline approaches. The current group of relievers has helped get the Twins where they are, but let's face it, there is plenty of evidence that suggests upgrades are required. Who may be available? Today, we'll take a look at White Sox closer Alex Colome.
Image courtesy of © Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports
Alex Colome, RHP, 30-years-old
Chicago White Sox (31-34, 3rd in NL West)
Under team control via arbitration through 2020.

2019: 2.39 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, 8.20 K/9, 2.73 BB/9 in 26.1 IP
2018: 3.04 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.53 K/9, 2.78 BB/9 in 68.0 IP

Since his full-time switch into the Rays bullpen in 2016, Alex Colome has been a model of consistency at the backend of games for Tampa Bay and Seattle. In Colome, the Twins would be trading for an established closer. The White Sox acquired Colome from Seattle in exchange for Omar Narvaez in November of 2018, a very reasonable price for a high-end bullpen arm (although It should be noted that Narvaez is having a career year at the plate thus far in 2019, having amassed a 1.4 fWAR through his first 58 games played). Colome is earning around $7.3 million in 2019, and is under team control for one more full season in 2020 through arbitration (his age 31 season).

What’s to Like?
Colome has continued to put up excellent numbers for the White Sox in 2019. He is essentially a two pitch pitcher, featuring a four seam fastball and a cutter he throws at approximately a 40-60 ratio. Colome’s fastball tops out at around 94-95 mph range. Over the last 3 years only Edwin Diaz, Craig Kimbrel, Kenley Jansen, and Wade Davis have saved more games. This is in spite of Colome occupying a setup role to Edwin Diaz for Seattle for part of the 2018 season.

There are a ton of indicators that Colome may be due for a regression in the near future. His fastball is down over one mph on average in 2019 (that’s an especially big deal if you only throw two pitches). Additionally, Colome has benefited from a .117 BABIP (compared to a career figure of .279). Colome’s K/9 has dropped sharply, although this figure has varied widely in his strong 4 year run between 7.8-11.2 K/9. Colome has also seen about a 10% drop in GB%, a sharp uptick in HR/9, and his FIP (4.22) and xFIP (4.59) belie his sparkling 2.39 ERA. Perhaps most alarmingly, Colome has gone from allowing approximately 4% of the pitchers opposing hitters contact to be barreled, to 14.1% in 2019, which is a figure in the bottom 2% of the league. Colome might be a solid add for a contending team in 2019, but the Twins should stay well away.

See Also
Seth Lugo, RHP, Mets
Greg Holland, RHP, Diamondbacks
Sean Doolittle, LHP, Nationals
Kirby Yates, RHP, Padres
10 Relievers Minnesota Could Target

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Jun 15 2019 11:23 AM
    • CUtomorrownight likes this

Holy cow, that's a microscopic BABIP! Colome would be a decent addition but I'd be aiming higher for a second reliever.

I would like Vasquez or Iglesias
    • Knuckleball9 likes this

Is Colome better than Magill, Little or Morin? If all you give up are a few of the prospects that are lottery tickets then the team is better and you would be foolish not to make the trade.

I would not be suprised if the White Sox buy at the trade deadline. They might pursue the second wild card spot and consider that a big step forward. 

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