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Article: Miguel Sano Promoted to Triple-A Rochester

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 01:27 AM
Miguel Sano’s time in Fort Myers is over and he is being promoted directly to Triple-A Rochester. Sano had left the Miracle to tend to so...
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Article: GM For A Deadline, Part One

Minnesota Twins Talk Yesterday, 11:32 PM
The All-Star break has been filled with Manny Machado rumors and an eventual deal that is the first domino in what will hopefully be a bu...
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Kohl and Tyler: will we ever see them?

Twins Minor League Talk Yesterday, 11:21 PM
What’s done is done. Rather than go back and re-draft the years where the (previous) FO thought that college relievers would make excell...
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Article: Dozier Hasn't Changed and Could Pay Big For...

Minnesota Twins Talk Yesterday, 10:52 PM
The trade deadline is fast approaching, and with the Dodgers recent acquisition of Manny Machado, the best up-the-middle player on the ma...
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 7/20/18 @ 5:15 PM PT (7...

Minnesota Twins Talk Yesterday, 10:31 PM
The home town nine went into All Star break on a roll, having gone 9-2 on this home stand. The Twins going 9-2 was enough, that it made t...
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MIN 8, KC 5: Twins Recover from Rough Start

The Royals scored three runs in the first thanks to a Twins blunder and a Sal Perez blast, but Lance Lynn righted the ship, the bats got rolling and the bullpen had an outstanding game. Minnesota pulled out the victory, tying its biggest comeback of the season, and also sealed the series win over Kansas City. The heroes were Ryan Pressly, Brian Dozier and Bobby Wilson. Believe it.
Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports
Snapshot (chart via FanGraphs)
Lance Lynn: 36 Game Score, 5.0 IP, 4 R, 3 ER, 6 K, 3 BB, 57.9% strikes
Bullpen: 4.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 0 BB
Lineup: 3-for-7 w/RISP, 9 LOB
WPA of 0.1 or higher: Dozier .399, Pressly .227, Wilson .208, Cave .144
WPA of -0.1 or lower: Lynn -.275, Escobar -.107
Attached Image: WinEx711.png
Credit to Lynn, he got back on track despite the awful start to the game. He struck out the leadoff man, gave up a single, but then appeared to induce a potential inning-ending double play. Instead, Jorge Polanco couldn’t handle the feed at second and everybody was safe. Perez went down and launched a three-run homer on a ball that was below the zone. From there, Lynn gave up just one more run through five innings.

Lynn went back out for the sixth inning and opened things up with a hit-by-pitch followed by a walk. Ryan Pressly came in and hit a batter of his own to load the bases with nobody out and the Twins holding just a one-run lead. Pressly retired the next three batters he faced to keep things clean in the top of the sixth. The bats provided some breathing room in the bottom of that inning, as Brian Dozier hit a two-run homer and Logan Morrison added a solo shot.

Wilson had a great day at the plate. For real! He hit an RBI single with two outs in the second inning, added a run-scoring double in the fourth frame and then singled in the seventh. Altogether, the Twins had 15 hits with three from each of Wilson, Dozier and Joe Mauer. Jake Cave was 2-for-4 with a triple.

After Pressly’s impressive Houdini act in the sixth, Zach Duke followed with a scoreless seventh and Alan Busenitz, who was activated as Addison Reed hit the DL, handled the final two frames. Busenitz gave up a solo homer with two down in the ninth.

Next up for the Twins is a four-game series against the Rays at Target Field to close out the first half. After getting off to a bit of a sluggish start, Tampa Bay has gone 20-10 over its last 30 games.

Bullpen Usage
Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:
Attached Image: Bullpen711.png
AL Central Standings
CLE 49-41
MIN 41-49 (-8)
DET 40-55 (-11.5)
CHW 30-61 (-19.5)
KC 26-66 (-24)

Next Three Games
Thu vs. TB, 7:10 pm CT: Kyle Gibson vs. Blake Snell
Fri vs. TB, 7:10 pm CT: Jake Odorizzi vs. Nathan Eovaldi
Sat vs. TB, 1:10 pm CT: Jose Berrios vs. Chris Archer

Last Three Games
KC 9, MIN 4: Slegers Slayed by Royals
MIN 3, KC 1: Minnesota’s All-Star Shines
MIN 10, BAL 1: Twins Pick Up First Sweep of 2018

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39 Comments

I love this "sell" talk. Mauer is going no where. Does anyone think the Twins will trade a Dozier or, heaven forbid. an Escobar or Rosario and come out ahead? If they trade 1 second tier player for another so what? I think players like Cave should be given a very long leash I say win every game they can when they can and don't shop anyone. If a desperate team comes to them with an offer too good to refuse ok but don't advertise anyone. I don't trust any front office that has the number 1 draft pick in all of MLB and that player simply disappears.

 

At least split with Tampa, take the All Star break , except Berrios who is probably doomed like past few Twins' All Stars (see Sano, Perkins, Kintzler, Santana). Thank goodness Rosario didn't make it.

Post All Star simply stay on Cleveland's heels and see what happens in September.

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ashburyjohn
Jul 12 2018 07:30 AM

P.S. If the Indians lose 3/4 vs. Yankees and the Twins win 3/4 vs the Rays we'll be 6.5 out at the break. That doesn't seem totally unreasonable.

Nine times out of ten, these 50-50 chances never seem to work out. :)

    • Mike Sixel, pbrezeasap, TiberTwins and 4 others like this

 

Baseball is unique in that it is an individual sport played as a team game.  

 

I disagree. Baseball is a team sport with individual metrics. This is a disconnect more than anything else.

 

I disagree. Baseball is a team sport with individual metrics. This is a disconnect more than anything else.

 

I dunno. It's a pretty individual sport. 90% of it is a one-on-one matchup between a pitcher and a hitter. Once it's in play the other guys get involved (and they do influence the pitcher-hitter battle by shifting or stealing or pitching out) but the main draw is that one-on-one aspect. That's the action that drives the rest.

    • Mike Sixel, mikelink45 and Platoon like this
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ashburyjohn
Jul 12 2018 08:11 AM

I dunno. It's a pretty individual sport. 90% of it is a one-on-one matchup between a pitcher and a hitter. Once it's in play the other guys get involved (and they do influence the pitcher-hitter battle by shifting or stealing or pitching out) but the main draw is that one-on-one aspect. That's the action that drives the rest.

I agree. There are one-on-one matchups to be watched in football and basketball, but coaches have the option to switch off or double team at any time. You can't double-team your opponent's ace pitcher with your lefty-righty outfield platoon taking up their spots in the batter's boxes simultaneously - they'd knock each other's heads off on a high fastball down the middle! :)

    • mikelink45, wsnydes and MN_ExPat like this

 

I love how beating two of the worst teams in major league baseball's recent history suddenly has people thinking playoffs again.

Someone queue up Picard's facepalm for when we stop playing AA teams.

 

all time history. They could lost 110 - 120 games this year. All time bad teams. Not even really competitive at all.

    • TheLeviathan, mikelink45, Platoon and 1 other like this
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TheLeviathan
Jul 12 2018 09:17 AM

 

all time history. They could lost 110 - 120 games this year. All time bad teams. Not even really competitive at all.

 

Yeah, didn't want to post that until I looked it up.But you're right, these could be the two worst teams of all time.

 

And people are talking about playoffs?Can I get a meme of Picard face-palming while Jim Mora yells "Playoffs?!?!?"

    • mikelink45, Platoon, wsnydes and 1 other like this
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Brock Beauchamp
Jul 12 2018 09:36 AM

 

Yeah, didn't want to post that until I looked it up.But you're right, these could be the two worst teams of all time.

 

And people are talking about playoffs?Can I get a meme of Picard face-palming while Jim Mora yells "Playoffs?!?!?"

It's way too early to count on anything in either direction, though the obvious take is that the Twins are close to out of it.

 

But Cleveland isn't exactly a powerhouse this season, anyway.

 

I'm perfectly content to see the front office sit on their hands for two more weeks and then reevaluate. Maybe you try to move Lynn early and replace him with Romero, that's fine.

 

But there's nothing to be done right now, anyway. If Dozier is truly on fire, his value only climbs over the next couple of weeks. I'm interested in retaining Escobar so I'm in no rush to move him, particularly if he's drifting back to a .750-.800 OPS, which is probably closer to a real evaluation of his skill level and makes it easier to keep him in the offseason.

 

The bullpen pieces won't bring enough back to make me care. None of them are good enough to be a July 15th trade anyway. They're a last-minute trade at best and you still probably get nothing worth mentioning for any of them.

 

I want to see what the Twins have in them over the next couple of weeks. Maybe we are pleasantly surprised by the results but I'm not holding my breath here.

    • USAFChief, Mike Sixel and MN_ExPat like this

 

His slump helped bury the Twins early on. Hopefully he's building his trade value.

 

Even thought the Twins are out of it, ten games back, its still nicer to listen to winning baseball. It will be interesting to see how they do against a team on a roll like Tampa.

 

On a side note, is there a spot on Twins Daily that lists the daily roster transactions?? I was listening last night and when they mentioned that Busenitz was pitching, I was wondering 'when did he get called up'?

I always look to TD for daily updates too.I find the Minor League Report gives me the best transactions.

 

 

I will not argue - it is good for every fan to find what they can accept.For me he just pitched a mediocre game and got away with it 

 

Lynn's style and command always make him look 10 times worse many of his given outings. 

 

I agree with those who saw this as him righting the ship after the first inning to a degree, but it still was no fun to watch.It seems he goes 3-2 on every hitter, and he's always laboring.It's like any Pelfrey outing or bad Contreras outings.I'm sure he did his whole "stare into the soul" thing with Molitor after the 5th inning, got the go ahead and then gave Pressly a s$%$-sandwich (Pressly somehow thought the sandwich needed an extra turd, but that's beside the point).  

 

I definitely agree with you about Lynn getting away with it. Pressly got it done. I would say with the help of the umpire, but it was Drew "I'm likely to get out anyway" Butera.It was priceless seeing Pressly's smirk when he tried to throw the same pitch to Merrifield with two strikes and didn't get the call.

 

Lynn had a 36 game score, so the numbers don't lie. He battled, but it wasn't a good outing by any means.

    • MN_ExPat likes this

 

I love how beating two of the worst teams in major league baseball's recent history suddenly has people thinking playoffs again.

Someone queue up Picard's facepalm for when we stop playing AA teams.

It's a long shot, obviously, but who you beat isn't particularly meaningful. All W's count the same. Other teams have beaten up on KC and Balt, too, obviously. 

 

The Twins are a better team than they've played. I'd prefer to at least wait until late July before giving up on anything.

 

And for the record, if you really want to consider who've they've beaten, the Twins are 16-10 against Boston, Cleveland, Houston, the LAA, and St Louis.

 

 

 

 

    • MN_ExPat likes this
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TheLeviathan
Jul 12 2018 10:33 AM

 

It's way too early to count on anything in either direction, though the obvious take is that the Twins are close to out of it.

 

But Cleveland isn't exactly a powerhouse this season, anyway.

 

I'm perfectly content to see the front office sit on their hands for two more weeks and then reevaluate. Maybe you try to move Lynn early and replace him with Romero, that's fine.

 

But there's nothing to be done right now, anyway. If Dozier is truly on fire, his value only climbs over the next couple of weeks. I'm interested in retaining Escobar so I'm in no rush to move him, particularly if he's drifting back to a .750-.800 OPS, which is probably closer to a real evaluation of his skill level and makes it easier to keep him in the offseason.

 

The bullpen pieces won't bring enough back to make me care. None of them are good enough to be a July 15th trade anyway. They're a last-minute trade at best and you still probably get nothing worth mentioning for any of them.

 

I want to see what the Twins have in them over the next couple of weeks. Maybe we are pleasantly surprised by the results but I'm not holding my breath here.

 

We're talking about 16 games.They'd have to go 12-4 just to get to .500.Yes, Cleveland is not a juggernaut, but 7 games against the worst teams in baseball history should not change our perception of the team.

 

This is still a team that got it's ass handed to it in Milwaukee and Chicago.And the majority of the first half of the season.It's like being in the eye of the hurricane and proclaiming "storm's over!"No...we just hit a comfy part of the schedule.Nothing more, nothing less.

 

It shouldn't change what this team is doing by July 31st.No one is demanding they make a deal right now, by noon or something.Just not to get deluded by pasting AA teams at home.

    • Mike Sixel and MN_ExPat like this
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yarnivek1972
Jul 12 2018 10:42 AM

It's a long shot, obviously, but who you beat isn't particularly meaningful. All W's count the same. Other teams have beaten up on KC and Balt, too, obviously.

The Twins are a better team than they've played. I'd prefer to at least wait until late July before giving up on anything.

And for the record, if you really want to consider who've they've beaten, the Twins are 16-10 against Boston, Cleveland, Houston, the LAA, and St Louis.


????

I don’t see either team as a contender. St. Louis maybe as a long shot.

I would also say in a general sense that it looks like Cleveleland isn’t “running away” with the division because three teams in the AL are winning 65% of their games right now. And another at 62.4%. Last year, the Cleveland led AL with 63%. Cleveland’s current 54.9% would have been better than every second place team last year except the Yankees.

My point being is there are 4 teams way better than the rest of the AL. The only remaining spot is the AL Central. Could Cleveland collapse and the Twins get lucky? Sure. That’s where the 2% or whatever it is now odds come in to play. But I think it is pretty clear that the Twins have no chance beating any of the 4 great teams in the AL in a playoff series. The talent simply isn’t there.

I dunno. It's a pretty individual sport. 90% of it is a one-on-one matchup between a pitcher and a hitter. Once it's in play the other guys get involved (and they do influence the pitcher-hitter battle by shifting or stealing or pitching out) but the main draw is that one-on-one aspect. That's the action that drives the rest.

It's also a player against the ball. It's not a pass Fromm QB or a point guard. It's a ball hit in a random direction, that an individual player has to catch. Baseball is a very easy game to be selfish about, and play only to pad your stats.
    • MN_ExPat likes this

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