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How Many Mlb Trades Will There Be On Thursday?

More Baseball Today, 02:13 PM
Just found out that Bovada has set a line on how many trades will take place on Thursday. The over/under is 10.5:   MLB Special - Ho...
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Are The Twins The Unluckiest Team In Baseball?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 02:10 PM
I posed this question in a column on the SweetSpot blog at ESPN.com today. You can read it here.   Basically, the premise is that wh...
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Article: Twins Minor League Report (7/29): Berrios Injured

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 02:09 PM
For fans of the Twins minor league system, there were three of the organizations best pitching prospects all on the mound in one night. T...
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Berrios Leaves Game With Apparent Injury

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 02:09 PM
Obviously this is not good news and hopefully we'll be able to find out it's not a big deal... Let's all hope!   He had struggled in...
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Masterson Dealt

More Baseball Today, 02:00 PM
Somehow Cleveland got a AA OF for a guy that is on the DL.......(I think he's still on the DL) with numbers as bad or worse than KC and S...
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The Store

Hard Truths

Attached Image: liriano.jpg When the news came down this weekend that the Twins had traded Francisco Liriano to the White Sox for a pair of middling 23-year-old prospects, the reaction around here was understandably negative. The same questions echoed in the minds of fans across the state.

Why did the Twins deal Liriano in the wake of his worst start of the season?

Why did they back away from their stated goal of adding young, high-upside talent?

And why – WHY – did they send a potential difference-maker to the one team that almost no Twins fan wants to see hoisting a trophy in October?
[PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]
The answers to these questions aren't especially difficult to figure. Terry Ryan settled on dealing Liriano to the Sox because they had the best offer on the table and he didn't expect better ones to come by Tuesday. Of course he would have preferred to pry away younger prospects with higher ceilings, but even with the increased number of buyers brought on by the new postseason format, clearly teams weren't knocking at the door to hand over those kinds of players.

And while that's disappointing, it shouldn't be all that surprising.

It's not because of Liriano's clunker last Tuesday (which happened to come against the team that traded for him). General managers aren't stupid enough to view one outing in a vacuum when it comes to evaluating a pitcher. Bad starts happen. The problem is that, with Frankie, they've happened too often over the past five years.

Since returning from Tommy John surgery in 2008, Liriano owns a 4.69 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Utterly mediocre numbers that have been very much in line with the ones he's posted this year. For all his flurries of brilliance, the league is also vividly aware of the fragility – physical, mental or both – that has made him so insanely inconsistent and unreliable.

Rental players, in general, don't garner huge returns because no one wants to mortgage the future for two months of production from an impending free agent – particularly when it's a pitcher who is going to make, at most, a dozen starts. Occasionally a savvy GM can take advantage of one club's desperation, but in this case it became clear that nobody fully trusted Liriano. (Admit it, that includes you.)

Based on the left-hander's recent run of success, fans were overrating their own asset and setting expectations too high, putting Ryan in an unfortunate position. There was literally no way he was going to be able to acquit himself in this situation; holding on to Liriano made no real sense and the impact offers weren't there.

And sadly, I suspect he'll have a hard time making up for it in these final hours before Tuesday afternoon's deadline, because while trade chips like Denard Span and Josh Willingham are more appealing with multi-year contracts, they still don't have the kind of value that many fans want to believe.

Jim Crikket had it right when he wrote two weeks ago that we should be prepared for disappointment during the days leading up to the deadline. In a season like this one, I guess we shouldn't have expected anything else.


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