Expansion Could Alter MLB's Landscape
Oct 16 2017 07:15 PM |
Cody Christie
in Minnesota Twins
Image courtesy of Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports
Expansion CitiesMontreal has been clamoring for a new baseball franchise since the Expos left for Washington. A strong outpouring of fans has started to clamor for a team to return. There would need to be more support for the building of a downtown park. If Canadian fans can push for the building of a new park, Montreal would be a likely destination for an expansion club.
Portland, Oregon has stadium plans and says it’s prepared if a team becomes available. An ownership group from Japan could be a likely fit since the Seattle Mariners, the closest team to Portland, is owned by Nintendo. While speaking in Seattle this fall, Commissioner Rob Manfred spoke about Portland as an expansion city. “I think Portland is a possibility. If we were to go to 32 [teams], we would need a Western time zone team.”
New Divisions
Minnesota’s new division would include a mixture of familiar and new. The North Division would likely include Boston, Cleveland, Detroit, Minnesota, Montreal, both New York franchises and Toronto. MLB’s schedule would be reduced to 156-games so the Twins would face each division foe 12 times (six home and six road games. They would also play every other opponent three times.
If Minnesota didn’t end up in the North, the Midwest division could also be a likely landing spot. Baseball America predicts the Midwest would include both Chicago franchises, Colorado, Houston, Kansas City, Milwaukee, St. Louis and Texas.
Only two teams, the Rockies and the Twins, would be playing out of their time zone.
Playoff Changes
Baseball only recently expanded the playoffs by adding a Wild Card Game. With expansion, the playoffs would change as well. Each of the four division winners would await the winners of four wild card games. Eight other teams with the best records would make the playoffs to square off in a wild card game. Those winners would move to the Division Series then to the Championship Series and the final two would meet for the World Series.
With the expanded playoffs, 12 of the 32 franchises would qualify for the postseason. Minnesota saw more fan interest this year while the club fought for a Wild Card spot. This trend could continue for more franchises with even more teams being in the playoff hunt.
Baseball is a game based on tradition and I don’t know if fans are ready for this radical of a shift. What are your thoughts or feelings about the possibility of baseball expanding? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
- Oldgoat_MN likes this
124 Comments
Oh okay... and what happens to the DH? Are we really ready to start baseballs holy war?
Would prefer 8 4-team divisions, aka NFC North (MIN, MIL, CHI, DET).
Is this a serious thing?
Wow, read the link and I guess it is.
Then again, having two 15-team leagues is problematic, and we all know what a magic number 32 is.
There's definitely a way to do this.Wild card games are exciting, but somewhat unsatisfying in that, with baseball, one game is essentially meaningless over the course of a season.
Keep AL and NL as much as possible.Give teams a chance to get into the playoffs.The current system of playing Chicago and Detroit 19 games each, Blech!
Here's an idea...ad the additional two teams as mentioned, but also move the Rays to Nashville! Done!
If it was me, I'd keep each league as intact as possible.I would have each league with 2 conferences - 2 divisions each, a total of 8 4-team divisions.
My Conferences and divisions would look as follows:
AL - Babe Ruth Conference:
East Division: NYY, Bos, Bal, Tor
Lakes Division: MN, Chisox, Cle, Det
AL - Walter Johnson Conference
Coastal Division: Anaheim, Oak, Sea, Portland
Plains Division: Hou, Tex, KC, Colorado
NL - Jackie Robinson Conference:
Metro Division: NYM, Phil, Wash, Montreal
Dixie Division: Miami, Atlanta, Cincinnati, Tampa
NL - Cy Young Conference:
Central Division: Cubs, Mil, St. L, Pitt
West Division: LA, SF, SD, AZ
48 games played within your division (16 games x 3 teams)
48 games vs other division in conference (12 games x 4 teams)
48 games vs opposite conference (6 games x 8 teams)
12 games vs 1 division opposite league (3 games x 4 teams - alternate over 4 seasons)
156 games total
Playoffs:
Playoff teams, 4 division winners in each league, 2 non-division winners with next best record (not necessarily second place teams) in each conference, a total of 16 playoff teams, 8 in each league
Round 1: Conference Semi-Finals - 2 division winners host (#1 record div winner vs #4 conf Wild Card) (#2 div winner vs #3 conf Wild Card); 3 game series
Round 2: Conference Finals - Winners of semi final series, best record (division winner priority gets home field advantage), 5 game series
Round 3: LCS, as currently laid out, 7 game series
Round 4: WS, as currently laid out, 7 game series
It's always a fun topic. I haven't heard anything on it in a long time... But it is fun...
Here are my four divisions, if those are the two new teams (Portland, Montreal):
West: Seattle, Portland, San Francisco, Oakland, Dodgers, Angels, San Diego, Arizona.
Northeast: Detroit, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Philly, Cincinnati, Boston, NYY, NYM.
Midwest: Kansas City, St. Louis, Minnesota, Cubs, White Sox, Milwaukee, Toronto, Montreal.
South: Colorado, Texas, Houston, Atlanta, Tampa, Miami, Washington, Baltimore.
I say add a team to each league, have 4 divisions of 4 teams and do away with interleague play and return to how it was and quit messing with it. And align teams to keep them in the leagues they are in already but create the extra division.
NL:
East - Mets, Nats, Phillies, Pirates
South - Braves, Reds, Marlins, expansion team tbd (not Montreal)
Midwest - Cubs, Brewers, Cards, Rockies
West - DBacks, Dodgers, Giants, Padres
If Montreal is the team in the mix, put them in the East Division and move the Nats to the South Division.
AL:
East - Boston, NY, Orioles, Toronto
South - Tampa, Astros, Rangers, KC
Midwest - Cleveland, Detroit, ChiSox, Twins
West - Seattle, A’s, Angels, expansion team tbd (assuming Portland)
As for playoffs not sure how I’d work it. No WC game. Four division winners play a best of 5, then best of 7 for league championship, then onto WS. If the goal is to expand the playoffs then the top 2 of each division play a best of 3 series.
Baseball had about a 10 billion dollar revenue stream. Dropping 6 games would be a 3.7% drop in revenue, about 370 million. I do not think that mlb would save that much in travel costs, I doubt players will want to give up their per game income. A home and home series against a rotating team would likely be added to keep up the revenue.
Dropping 6 games, but also adding 2 teams results in a net gain, not loss.
I like that they may go to 156 games and that the season may end a bit earlier than currently.
I like Portland. It's a neat city. I've never been to Montreal.
This has been things I like and don't like. See you next time.
Expansion to 32 is ok, but why not keep the structure we have had?
Hmm ... I have mixed feelings about this idea. I'm not totally against the idea of expansion and adding two teams. But I hate the thought of not having separate leagues, the traditional AL and NL, and personally, I'd prefer to do away with inter-league play too. Not a fan of that. I also wouldn't want the other leagues --or divisions of whatever they are going to call the new alignment --- to have to adopt the DH either. Call me a traditionalist, but I still like the "old" idea of having the pitcher having to hit ... at least in one league. But a new Southern team like Memphis or Nashville would be pretty cool.
I hope the AL and NL can be retained, but expansion to 32 teams sounds OK.Two square 16 team leagues would seem welcome for scheduling.ScottyB has a nice scheduling plan laid out above.
Of course, I would like to see KC and the White Sox stick with the Twins, but I guess you can't have everything.I'm not sure what I would think of being in a division with both New York teams and the Red Sox.
I don't quite understand where the Baseball America article is getting all of the information for this proposal. I don't see anything on mlb.com other than the article about Portland desiring a baseball team.
I'm sure that all of these decisions will be made somewhat independent of each other, where the Baseball America makes it sound like a package deal.In reality I think each topic should be considered on it's own merits:
I love the idea of expanding to 32 teams, but I don't like the idea of getting rid of the AL/NL split, or 4 division winners and 8 wild cards, and I don't see any reason why expanding to 32 teams means you have to get rid of leagues, have 4 divisions, or reduce the number of games.
Realigning divisions, more than a minor tweak here or there, is always a bad idea to me.
Expansion? Meh.
But the revenue has to be split 32 ways instead of 30.
Nashville would be a good option along with Charlotte, Raleigh, even Oklahoma City.They need more teams in the south and central US.Move the Rays out of Florida and if the A's can't secure a new stadium move them as well.
8 divisions>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>4 divisions. It's probably more > than that, but I was too lazy to hit enter 100000000x.
And, I don't think for a minute Portland is a good idea. Not enough big businesses to buy up the boxes and season tickets.
don't forget, more playoff games=more league revenue. Also, more revenue from hats, jerseys, etc. due to 2 more teams.
But, I think your point, overall, has merit.
Imagine trying to convince a FA to move to OK City. Even the NBA, with all its money, struggles with that.
I would guess there is expansion of two teams, a change to 4 divisions of 4 teams, no change to basic league structure/rules and the same number of games.
Assuming it is Portland and Montreal, and Oakland stays in Bay Area (maybe San Jose) and Tampa stays in the south, I'd probably do this:
AL West
Seattle
Portland
LA Angels
Oakland
AL South
Texas
Houston
Kansas City
Tampa
AL North
Minnesota
Chicago
Detroit
Cleveland
AL East
Boston
New York
Toronto
Baltimore
NL West
San Francisco
LA Dodgers
San Diego
Arizona
NL South
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
Atlanta
Miami
NL North
Colorado
Milwaukee
St Louis
Chicago
NL East
Montreal
New York
Washington
Philadelphia
There is such a dearth of quality pitching already, and would be made that much worse with expansion. Further, the revenue imbalance persists and would, I propose, continue with 32 teams. Would any of the proposed markets prove viable long term financially through fan support and various radio and cable packages? Or would they be adding a pair of bottom market teams that perpetually struggle to compete, much like a few of the more recent NBA franchises?
I know it still comes down to ownership and the running of a team properly from top to bottom, but the means to acquire players, and keep them, is still heavily weighted at the top of MLB and I don't see a solution coming any time soon.
If it happens, keep both leagues, keep them as intact as possible, and have even divisions in both leagues.
32 teams is great from a scheduling and division alignment perspective. But it seems to me it would just further water down a sport that already doesn't have enough good players to field more than a 5-6 truly competitive teams at a time (and maybe another 5-6 borderline wildcard teams). Of course, that's true in every sport but it bothers me in the NFL and NBA as well. I know it's unrealistic but things would get really interesting if the talent were concentrated into 16 or 24 teams instead of 32. Maybe a relegation/promotion system to push the worst 16 teams into their own division? That would help take care of tanking as well, although I suppose then this wild Twins season wouldn't have happened. Oh well, in the end the bottom dollar always wins out.
You hit the nail right on the head, Doc. It's already a problem identifying good pitching and keeping them healthy between 30 teams as us Twins fans know. I could only imagine the AAAA fodder that we'll see with 2 new teams in the league.
If anything, I think they should relocate some existing teams to different cities, and keep the number at 30 teams. Move a low revenue team such as the Tampa Rays to Nashville, North Carolina, etc.