Jump to content

Providing independent coverage of the Minnesota Twins.
Subscribe to Twins Daily Email

The Forums

Article: Trade Candidate: Brian Duensing

Minnesota Twins Talk Yesterday, 12:42 PM
I think he's going to cost $3M+ next year, and at that price, I'm not sure the Twins will keep him. So why not? We have a few left-hand...
Full topic ›

Article: Twins Minor League Report (7/28): General Lee...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 05:52 AM
Why is Brett Lee still in Fort Myers?  He's dominating there.  I know he doesn't strike out a lot of guys, but I don't see how...
Full topic ›

Article: Twins Minor League Report (7/28): General Lee...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 05:52 AM
I didn't realize garver is crushing it this season. That gives me hope after pinto. If he fails there are guys coming up with talent.
Full topic ›

Alex Meyer Timetable: 2002 Johan Santana?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 08:53 AM
Careful -- that's almost a 120 ERA+, which generally ranks #28 MLB among qualifiers any given season.  When you debut that well, i...
Full topic ›

Article: Gary Lucas On Jo Berrios

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 06:45 AM
Great read. Thanks so much.   If you ever get the opportunity to speak to Lucas again it would be really enlightening to know what h...
Full topic ›

The Store

Evaluating Francisco Liriano’s Trade Market

Two big pitching trades have been made this week and several more have been close. With all that activity, could it be that Terry Ryan has missed his chance to maximize his return on Francisco Liriano?

I don’t think so, but I also doubt we’ll see a move soon.Attached Image: 3376166-397756-touching-stock-market-graph-on-a-touch-screen-device.jpg

Still Lots Of Interest
The Tigers acquired Anibal Sanchez on Monday and the Pirates traded for Wandy Rodriguez on Tuesday. Both are top notch pitchers that could be viewed as comparable (or better) than Liriano. Furthermore, yesterday Dan Gladden revealed that the Twins had long talks with the Pirates before they walked away and the Pirates worked out a deal with Houston for Rodriguez. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]It also appears that the Dodgers are in a standoff with the Cubs for Ryan Dempster, a standoff they’re likely to win since Dempster has already vetoed a trade to the Braves.

That’s three “buyers” likely gone for Ryan. But it appears that there are still plenty left. Within the past month, the Red Sox, Angels, Rangers, Braves and Blue Jays have all been rumored to be interested in Liriano. Plus, the Orioles, Nationals, Mets, White Sox and Cardinals have all demonstrated they are interested in adding starting pitching. That is ten teams, albeit with varying level of interest.

Still Lots Of Uncertainty
But things are still moving slowly because nobody is sure exactly which pitchers are going to be available. Cole Hamels is out because he just signed an extension with Philadelphia. Matt Garza might be out, because “forearm pain” is often the first sign of an elbow ligament tear, so teams want to see him pitch again, and the Cubs say he might not. Rumors have been flying about the Marlins Josh Johnson, but the Marlins now say they would need to be blown away to trade him.

On the other hand, Zach Greinke is almost certainly available. He’ll almost certainly be moved to teams before Liriano, because most GMs will try for Greinke first and turn to Liriano as the backup choice. It’s not clear if some other huge names like the Phillies Cliff Lee or the Rays James Shields are available because they aren’t “rental” players, so any trade would require major prospects. The buyers are going to want to explore all these options, looking for the best deal.

The Waiting Game
So it appears we’re going to need to wait a bit longer. Liriano hasn’t been consistent enough to make anyone overpay for him before others have signed. But it also appears that ultimately, there are going to be more teams looking for top-tier pitchers than there will be top-tier pitchers. If that stays true, it playing the waiting game is still the best hope for maximizing Liriano’s value.


  • Share:
Subscribe to Twins Daily Email

0 Comments