DET 3, MIN 1: Lynn Overexposed, Offense Overmatched
Image courtesy of © Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY SportsSnapshot (chart via FanGraphs)
Current record: 29-36
Lance Lynn: 62 Game Score, 6.2 IP, 3 ER, 9 K, 1 BB, 66.7% strikes
Bullpen: 1.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 0 BB
Lineup: 1-for-4 w/RISP, 6 LOB
Top three per WPA: Garver .044, Duke .023, Escobar .013
Like it or not, it’s unrealistic to expect a starter to continue to perform after he’s pitched six innings or eclipsed 100 pitches. At that point, he’s been overexposed. You put him out there for more and you're playing with fire. Maybe it works out, but the risk is probably not worth it, especially when your team is holding a one-run lead, as the Twins were after six innings on Thursday afternoon.
A lot of fans will reject that premise. Players too, as we know Lynn himself has said pitch counts are worthless. It’s a debate that will go on, but it certainly appeared today that the Twins would’ve been better off going to a fresh bullpen arm for the seventh. Matt Magill, who has a 1.31 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 appearances, hasn't pitched in more than a week.
Or maybe the Twins are just doomed no matter how they manage the pitching staff.
The offense mustered just one run and it came in the first inning. It was scored by Eddie Rosario and driven in by Eduardo Escobar. Bet you would’ve never predicted that, huh?
The Twins only tallied six hits and drew one walk. Both Brian Dozier and Logan Morrison were 0-for-4 with a pair of strikeouts. Max Kepler was 0-for-3 with a walk and also had a pair of strikeouts, bad zone or no bad zone. Miguel Sano was on the bench, even when he could've pinch hit for Jake Cave in the ninth inning.
The Twins have won just three of their last nine games as they head to Cleveland for a three-game series.
AL Central Standings
DET 33-37 (-4)
MIN 29-36 (-5.5)
CHW 24-42 (-11)
KC 22-46 (-14)
Next Three Games
Fri at CLE, 6:10 pm (Gibson vs. Kluber)
Sat at CLE, 3:10 pm (Romero vs. Carrasco)
SUN at CLE, 12:10 pm (Odorizzi vs. Plutko)
Last Three Games
DET 5, MIN 2: Bulldog Berrios and the Addison Reed Experience
MIN 6, DET 4: More Grand Slams, Please
MIN 7, LAA 5: Jake Cave Sparks a Fire
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