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Relevant magic numbers with tiebreakers accounted for

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:38 AM
After the games of 9/22:   TB over Min: 2 CWS over Min: 4 Oak over Min: 5 Min over Cle: 2 Min over NYY: 4
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Seeding

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:37 AM
This crazy year of 2020 has introduced another new term to MLB playoffs, "seeding". I don't pretend to understand all of it but I do know...
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The Perfect Length of a Baseball Season?

Other Baseball Today, 08:46 AM
So Twitter got me thinking... What's the perfect length of baseball season? And then what's the perfect playoffs to be paired with that s...
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LT contracts for current star position players

Other Baseball Today, 08:26 AM
I see that Yelich is still effected by a broken kneecap from last year and has a longterm contract now through 2028. It always raised an...
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Game Thread: Scoreboard Watching, 9/24/2020 at 5:10 PM CDT

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 08:18 AM
Please pardon me for this highly unusual thread, but we live in highly unusual times...   Fire up your MLB.TV machines and join me f...
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Recent Blogs


3 Questions Left to Be Answered Before the Playoffs

Minnesota is a virtual lock to make the playoffs and their possible first round opponent is becoming a little clearer. While a division title is still attainable, there are other things that are more important for the team to make a sustained run in October. Here are three questions the team needs to answer before heading into the playoffs.
Image courtesy of © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
1. Can the line-up get healthy?
Two of Minnesota’s scheduled regulars, Mitch Garver and Luis Arraez, are both on the injured list. The good news is Garver has been getting at-bats and working behind the plate at the team’s alternate training site in St. Paul. Rocco Baldelli told the media that Garver could join the team on the road trip if everything continues to go well. Ryan Jeffers has done more than hold his own with Garver out as his pitch framing has been outstanding and his has a .819 OPS.

Arraez has been fighting with knee issues that date all the way back to spring training. He has been playing through the issue and this is the first time he went on the injured list this season. He can’t come off the IL until September 19 which will give him a little over a week to get ready for the playoffs. Marwin Gonzalez and Ehire Adrianza can fill-in at second but both have been struggling offensively.

2. How will the team line-up the rotation for the first round?
It’s clear that Kenta Maeda will be starting in Minnesota’s first game of the playoffs. He’s been the best starting pitcher on the staff, and he has plenty of playoff experience from his time with the Dodgers. He’s currently projected to start on Thursday to close out the White Sox series and then he should get one more start before the regular season concludes.

Outside of Maeda, it seems likely for the Twins to give Jose Berrios the nod in the second game of the playoffs. He had a shaky start to the season, but he seems to be getting back to form as of late. In his last four starts, he has held batters to a .183 BA and he has struck out 31 in 22 2/3 innings. He has been trending in the right direction and hopefully he is peaking at the right time.

The third spot in the playoff rotation isn’t as clear, but it might be Michael Pineda’s spot to lose at this point. Randy Dobnak was terrific to start the year, but his last start was a little concerning as he hit two batters and allowed five runs on only two hits in one inning. Rich Hill has seen his strikeout totals increase in each of his last two starts, but he has yet to pitch more than five innings. Jake Odorizzi is coming back from injury and the team might not trust him in a winner-take-all game.

3. What’s the bullpen pecking order?
Even with some recent struggles, Minnesota’s bullpen was outstanding to start the season. However, managing a bullpen in the postseason can be a little trickier. Baldelli seems to be set on Taylor Rogers being used in the closer role even though he has given up 21 hits in 16 1/3 innings. Sergio Romo and Tyler Clippard continue to get work in the late innings.

Tyler Duffey might be the bullpen’s best pitcher and Baldelli has show flexibility to use Duffey in a variety of situations. Matt Wisler has been outstanding in nearly every role he has been given. Jorge Alcala has shown some of the flame throwing ability that made him one of the team’s top pitching prospects. There could also be some bullpen spots for starters that don’t make the playoff rotation. This could add even more depth to an already strong relief core.

How do you think the Twins will answer these questions? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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10 Comments

I think you can add "who's the new closer" to the list of questions.

    • NapoleonComplex, Longdistancetwins, mikelink45 and 2 others like this

Especially versus White Sox. They torture lefties and are only slightly above average versus righties

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NapoleonComplex
Sep 15 2020 07:21 AM

 

I think you can add "who's the new closer" to the list of questions.

 

After what I've seen from Alcala thus far including the mess he cleaned up last night, I'd like to see him take over closing duties the rest of this season despite his inexperience. That fella has devastating stuff and ice running through his veins. 

    • mikelink45 and Joey P like this

Can we afford to replace Jeffers with Avila and Garver?Yes Astudillo can go down, but not Jeffers.  

 

Another question is whether Rocco will still insist on using Kepler in lead off?I hope not.  

 

Can any starter go more than 5?Give the BP one less inning of work.

I am excited about the prospect of a starting rotation with plenty of playoff experience. I think the question of who our "closer" is is irrelevant, so long as we continue to use our best reliever in the highest leverage situation, whether that is the 7th, 8th, or 9th. And I think that reliever is Duffey at this point. 

    • Wizard11 likes this
The logistics question was answered this morning. We’ll be playing in a bubble for the postseason.

https://www.usatoday...les/5803119002/

The logistics question was answered this morning. We’ll be playing in a bubble for the postseason.

https://www.usatoday...les/5803119002/

after round 1.

If the games are played in a bubble, how will this affect the schedule?Will it mean less, more, or same off days.Meaning will you need to plan for a 3 man, 4 man or 5 man rotation?That really affects plans.After that is figured out, you can plan the starters.The pen is up in the air with so many doing well, but Rodgers not doing well.Finally, the lineup will be what it is not much you can do about injuries.Lucky we are deep and Jeffers is doing better on both sides, in my opinion, than Garver was this season before he went down.  

 

The logistics question was answered this morning. We’ll be playing in a bubble for the postseason.

https://www.usatoday...les/5803119002/

More importantly, no off-days except between series.

 

Even if you sweep the first two rounds, you may need 4 starters to do so.

Yeah seems to reward pitching depth more this way than just top end pitchers. One or two aces might not get it done if the rest of the rotation is bad.

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