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View Full Version : What will the Twins record be after 20 more games.



John Bonnes
04-21-2012, 10:18 AM
Twins are now 5-9 with the remaining games left before they get to some serious division contenders on 5/13.
2 @ Rays
3 vs. Red Sox
3 vs. Royals
6 @/vs Angels
3 @ Mariners
3 vs Blue Jays

They'll have played 34 games by then. Two questions:
1. What do we think their record will be?
2. What record would make you happy?

I'll go with
1. 15-19 : split with Rays, 1 of 3 vs Red Sox, 2 of 3 vs. Royals, split with Angels, 2 of 3 vs. Mariners and 1 of 3 vs Blue Jays.
2. I'd be happy enough with 15-19. Anything over that and I'll be quite happy.

Thrylos
04-21-2012, 10:30 AM
1. Based on how the Red Sox and the Angels are playing this is realistic:

1-1 split with Rays, 2-1 over the Sox, 3-0 sweep the Royals, 4-2 with Angels, 2-1 over Mariners 1-2 with Jays
so total: 13-7 to give them 18-16 overall. I'd take a +/-2 which would make it range from 16-18 to 20-14

2. I'd be happy if they are within 2 games from the top of the Division. I don't care much about their record...

one_eyed_jack
04-21-2012, 10:48 AM
So basically you've got them playing .500 ball over the next 10. Sounds about right.

I'd be surprised if you were off by more than a couple of games in either direction there.

It would be nice to them get hot and string together some wins, but lets save that for Detroit, Cleveland and the Mighty Whities.

Incidentally, it seems really weird to me that by the end of this stretch, we'll have played over 20% of our games, and had 3 series against the Angels, but only 1 against a division opponent.

twinsnorth49
04-21-2012, 11:34 AM
I think they have a good chance to be around 16-18 or even 17-17 if the pitching steps it up a bit. If we're within 2 games of the top with only playing 1 divisional series by then, I'd be ecstatic.

I'd be more than pleased being 4-5 games back before the Indians come to town to get the May and June stretch going.

Adam
04-21-2012, 11:59 AM
2. I'd be happy if they are within 2 games from the top of the Division. I don't care much about their record...

I have the opposite perspective on absolute vs. relative records early in the season. I agree it'd be nice if the Twins were within 2 games of the division lead three weeks from now, but I'd rather see them win some games. I'll judge how good the team is relative to other teams based upon how many games they win against other teams, not how well they keep pace with Detroit. If the other teams in the AL Central all had crappy records and the Twins managed to go 6-14 over their next twenty games, but still be within two games of first place, I wouldn't be happy.

ashburyjohn
04-21-2012, 12:02 PM
1. 13-21
2. 15-19