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View Full Version : Who has the Twins highest OPS and slugging ave at Home?



robbie111
08-01-2013, 05:16 PM
If you guessed Justin Morneau you'd be correct. A couple of months ago I posted about his weird splits home and away this year but thought it was probably small sample size. However as the season has progressed the difference has become glaring. After today's game Morneau's home Ops is about 50 points higher than Joe Mauer's. Morneau's been rightly criticized this year for his performance vs contract, however it's been on the road that the criticizism is justified. His current away split in 53 games is

Ave OBP Slugging OPS
.218 .288 .292 .580

which is frankly horrid. However his home split in 46 games is

Ave OBP Slugging OPS
.315 .364 .525 .889

which leads all Twins by a significant amount. The question then becomes why? It's beyond small sample size at this point and has trended this way since the beginning of the season. Any thoughts or theories as to why?

Badsmerf
08-01-2013, 05:38 PM
I know why. Those trees in CF are gone allowing him to see the ball better.

Mr. Brooks
08-01-2013, 06:33 PM
46 games is still a small sample size.

robbie111
08-01-2013, 07:44 PM
53 + 46 = 99 total games which is over 61 percent of the season. That's not a small sample size. That's unless you consider almost 2/3rds of a season a small sample size for the season.

launchingthrees
08-01-2013, 10:00 PM
53 + 46 = 99 total games which is over 61 percent of the season. That's not a small sample size.

It depends on what you mean by small. Is it enough? No.

powrwrap
08-02-2013, 02:46 PM
That is quite a disparity. If you dig a little deeper he is failing within the AL Central.
At Chicago he's batting .000 (0 for 7)
At Cleveland he's .200 (4 for 20)
At Kansas City he's .250 (6 for 24)
At Detroit he's .185 (5 for 27)

That's a total BA within the AL Central (away games) of .192

Here's his splits from last year:
Home .252/.329/.399
Away .283/.338/.482

I guess it's just a weird anomaly. Let's see what his splits look like in September.

Badsmerf
08-02-2013, 05:26 PM
I guess it's just a weird anomaly. Let's see what his splits look like in September.
As a Yankee?

robbie111
08-04-2013, 08:29 PM
The trend continues as Justin is now up to

.320 ave, .368 obp, .536 slugging, and .905 OPS at home.

Willihammer
08-04-2013, 10:21 PM
One theory: I know Justin is on some newfangled gluten free and maybe also a vegan(?) diet. Maybe he struggles to find the right sort of foods on the road?

raindog
08-04-2013, 11:08 PM
One theory: I know Justin is on some newfangled gluten free and maybe also a vegan(?) diet. Maybe he struggles to find the right sort of foods on the road?
I would hope the Twins would assist with that, if that's the case.

nicksaviking
08-04-2013, 11:23 PM
One theory: I know Justin is on some newfangled gluten free and maybe also a vegan(?) diet. Maybe he struggles to find the right sort of foods on the road?

I'm thinking the diet is positively boosted by the now settled concrete.

nicksaviking
08-04-2013, 11:26 PM
I would hope the Twins would assist with that, if that's the case.

Everyone knows Chicago restaurants only serve sausages and they only serve them in gluten filled buns.

jorgenswest
08-04-2013, 11:51 PM
On sample size...

The first offensive numbers to stabilize are strike out and walk rate.

Stats like OPS for an individual player stabilize at 500 plate appearances. That isn't very helpful when looking at splits. It would take a while to get that many plate appearances into each side of the split.

If anyone is interested...

525,600 Minutes: How Do You Measure a Player in a Year? | FanGraphs Baseball (http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/525600-minutes-how-do-you-measure-a-player-in-a-year/)