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Article: NYY 2, MIN 1: Garcia, Yankees Bullpen Dominate T...

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:15 AM
The Twins pitching staff, led by starter Ervin Santana, had a solid game Monday night at Yankee Stadium, but the bats were uncharacterist...
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Let's talk about Castro....

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:49 AM
This signing was lauded by a lot this off season, but at this point it looks like a disaster that we are going to be stuck with for anoth...
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Let's remember some "Twins guys" thread

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 06:03 AM
Best Minnesota trip in a long time for me, Vikes win, and Twins win (both big time!) in the midst of tonight's ass kicking started talkin...
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Article: MIN 13, TOR 7: Mauer Grand Slam Among 4 Twins Ho...

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:38 AM
Things didn’t get off to a great start for the Twins Sunday afternoon, but oh boy did they end well. After spotting the Blue Jays a five-...
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Fangraphs (and other national publications) on the Twins

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 05:35 AM
I'm just going to post here whenever they do an article on the Twins.   Today, they have one on Trevor May (noting some changes in s...
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TEX 4, MIN 1: Twins Muster Just 3 Hits in Loss

The Twins managed just three hits and Joey Gallo blasted a three-run homer for Texas. That about says it all. Adalberto Mejia lasted just four innings, but that was in part due to the fact that his teammates made a couple of crucial misplays.
Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sport
Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs)
Attached Image: WinEx83.png
Brian Dozier and Max Kepler, the top two batters in tonight’s order, have both really been struggling of late. Dozier was 0 for 4 tonight, and is now 5 for 37 (.135) since the start of that West Coast road trip with 13 strikeouts and no walks. Kepler, 0 for 3 tonight, is now 11 for 66 (.167) since the All-Star break.

It was a weird night for Mejia. He walked the first batter of the game, then gave up back-to-back singles, putting Texas up 1-0 before the Twins even recorded an out. But then just like that, Adalberto struck out the next five batters he faced.

After a 30-pitch first frame, Mejia faced the minimum in both the second and third innings. Things got messy in the fourth, however, as his defense misplayed a couple of balls. After retiring the leadoff man, Mejia gave up a “double” to Mike Napoli that bounced out of a sliding Eddie Rosario’s glove. Baseball Savant had the hit probability on that ball at just three percent.

That proved costly, as Gallo would later hit a two-out three-run homer. Also in the fourth inning, Joe Mauer committed his first error of the season, missing the catch on a foul pop up. I think pretty much all of Twins Territory made this same face on Mauer’s error:

Though no runners scored after the error, Mejia had to throw 40 pitches that inning, which forced him out of the game. Adalberto gave up four runs on seven hits and three walks. His six strikeouts tied a career high.

Dillon Gee made his Twins debut, becoming the 30th different pitcher for the team this season, which sets a franchise record. He pitched three scoreless innings and tallied four strikeouts.

The Twins hits came from Eddie Rosario, Jason Castro and Byron Buxton, who hit an RBI double.

Postgame With Molitor

Twins Record
Overall: 51-55 (.481)
Last 10: 2-8 (.200)
Last 20: 6-14 (.300)
Last 40: 17-23 (.425)
Last 80: 37-43 (.463)

A couple of big stories to follow over these final two months will be who is playing shortstop and how young players like Zack Granite are being used. Things will get even more interesting once rosters expand. With that in mind, these game recaps will also include some info on recent starting lineups. Enjoy.

Defensive Lineups
Here's a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games:
Attached Image: Lineups83.png
Bullpen Usage
Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:
Attached Image: Pen83.png
Looking Ahead
Friday: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Texas (Martin Perez), 7:10 pm CT

In four second-half starts, Perez has a 7.03 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. But the southpaw has great numbers against current Twins hitters, holding them to a .189/.267/.208 line over 61 PAs. As a team, the Twins have a .697 OPS vs. LHP. League average is .744.

Colon is coming off his best start as a Twin, having held the A's to three runs over 6.1 IP. Adrian Beltre, who recently recorded his 3,000th hit, has an .844 OPS and six homers off Colon over his career.

Saturday: Twins (Kyle Gibson) vs. Texas (Cole Hamels)
Sunday: Twins (TBD) vs. Texas (Nick Martinez)
Next Series: Twins host the Brewers in a two-game series before heading to Milwaukee for two games.

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46 Comments

Lets see.  Positives.  Buxton inching his average up.  Bullpen with 5 scoreless innings.   

Tom, what is the Twins record since you started doing these wrap ups? Its really the only correlation I can come up with for the Twins playing so lousy, though I guess the all star break probably didn't help.

    • Seth Stohs, Riverbrian, Cory Engelhardt and 3 others like this
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Tom Froemming
Aug 03 2017 09:58 PM

 

Lets see.  Positives.  Buxton inching his average up.  Bullpen with 5 scoreless innings.   

Tom, what is the Twins record since you started doing these wrap ups? Its really the only correlation I can come up with for the Twins playing so lousy, though I guess the all star break probably didn't help.

Well, I believe started these when they were out in Seattle. They had a 29-24 record at that point. So, looks like they're 22-31 since ... sorry :)

    • Seth Stohs, Riverbrian, Dantes929 and 6 others like this

Get Dozier the $%^ out of the lead-off spot. Get Vargas and Garver up. 

    • bluechipper, TNTwinsFan, blindeke and 1 other like this

Dozier at lead-off feels kind of scholarshippy to me.  Considering the vast amount of lineups Molitor has used.

 

But what difference would it make right now?

 

I was half-watching towards the end, and the last I noted, Boshers had two men on with no outs.  I guess he worked that out?  Well good job fringe bullpen guys, for keeping the run differential down when it absolutely doesn't matter.  Now Pythagoras doesn't think they are quite as bad as they really are right now.

    • rghrbek and Vanimal46 like this

Sounds like it's about time Dozier got moved out of the lead-off spot. It also feels like it's a weekly occurrence with Rosario having mental lapses in the OF. Sigh.... 

    • bluechipper and rghrbek like this

Embarrassing effort all the way around last night.  From kicking the ball around, to lackadaisical half hearted ABs, to Dozier jogging out of the box on a ground ball to short, to sloppy infield play where (once again) nobody seems to know what the heck they're supposed to do, to the appearance of a team mailing it in.

 

Sad to see.  Much of it is on the players themselves, but it's also another reason Molitor should be replaced.  That was not a MLB team on the field last night.

 

 

    • Willihammer and bluechipper like this
I believe when you are a fringe contender and you sell, effort/result is going to fall off. Could be an ugly 2 months.
    • spycake likes this

 

I believe when you are a fringe contender and you sell, effort/result is going to fall off. Could be an ugly 2 months.

 

Agreed. They do have to find a way to motivate themselves now that the season is over. Whether that's pumping up their stats, earning their next contract, or securing a role on the team next season. 

 

Still not sure the right leadership is in place for the young players to follow.... Specifically Molitor and Dozier who's supposed to be the veteran clubhouse leader.

Agreed. They do have to find a way to motivate themselves now that the season is over. Whether that's pumping up their stats, earning their next contract, or securing a role on the team next season.

Still not sure the right leadership is in place for the young players to follow.... Specifically Molitor and Dozier who's supposed to be the veteran clubhouse leader.


Certainly possible they aren't right. Might be good for Dozier to get away from here as well.

I do think you scrap and claw to borderline relevance and management pulls the rug out, it's a little deflating.
    • USAFChief and Hosken Bombo Disco like this

 

Certainly possible they aren't right. Might be good for Dozier to get away from here as well.

I do think you scrap and claw to borderline relevance and management pulls the rug out, it's a little deflating.

 

No doubt it's deflating. However, the FO was merely reacting to how the team was playing. They wanted to make smart buy trades, and when the wheels fell off, they changed course. We could say they should have bought earlier, and I would agree with that. Not much else you can do when they play .300 baseball over the last 20 games. 

    • Winston Smith, bluechipper and Tibs like this

This team needs to be shaken up like a snowglobe.

    • Hosken Bombo Disco likes this
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Willihammer
Aug 04 2017 07:47 AM

 

I believe when you are a fringe contender and you sell, effort/result is going to fall off. Could be an ugly 2 months.

Like the Rangers did?

    • bluechipper likes this
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Willihammer
Aug 04 2017 07:48 AM

Jeez who knew 88 mph fastballs could be so hard to hit. When's this Griffin guy hit free agency?

    • Danchat, bluechipper and Vanimal46 like this

Like the Rangers did?


They haven't exactly lit it up either. Someone has to win.
    • Willihammer likes this
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Winston Smith
Aug 04 2017 08:01 AM

Dozier claims to be a leader and was a big complainer when they made the trades, he needs to take a long look in the mirror. I guess when he looks in the mirror his only thought is "nice hair".

Two years ago when they thought they were in it Dozier was mia down the stretch, last year when it meant nothing he is great. Where has he been this year when they need his "leadership"? Mia again.

    • jun, rghrbek and Vanimal46 like this

Paul Molitor is really good at math.  "Gallo's 3 run homer was the difference" in 3 run loss.  

    • USAFChief and Han Joelo like this

Paul Molitor is really good at math. "Gallo's 3 run homer was the difference" in 3 run loss.


Can't say Molitor brings nothing to the table.
    • USAFChief, Mike Sixel and jun like this

 

Can't say Molitor brings nothing to the table.

That is important to know.  When they are trailing by 4 runs, he should start telling the guys to hit Grand Slams.  That would tie the game.  I'm not sure why he has been with holding this knowledge.

I have not been a fan of how the lineups have been put together lately. Get Mauer out of the 4 hole and up to 1 or 2. Get Kepler out of the 2 hole. Move Rosario up in the order. I would like to see Dozier out of the leadoff spot, but someone has to hit there. Polanco needs to be back in the lineup.

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Taildragger8791
Aug 04 2017 09:00 AM

 

I believe when you are a fringe contender and you sell, effort/result is going to fall off. Could be an ugly 2 months.

 

I don't see how a different closer would have affected last night's outcome. Nor a starting pitcher that woudn't have played and was on the squad for a whole week (during which time they still lost so much it was deemed pointless to keep him).

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Hosken Bombo Disco
Aug 04 2017 09:14 AM

I don't see how a different closer would have affected last night's outcome. Nor a starting pitcher that woudn't have played and was on the squad for a whole week (during which time they still lost so much it was deemed pointless to keep him).

It's a little of both (or a lot of both, in this case). The players collapsed by themselves just fine in late July, but a trade for a starter a little but sooner (Garcia?) would have preceded the collapse.
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bluechipper
Aug 04 2017 09:24 AM

I agree that Dozier needs to be out of the leadoff spot. Put either Buxton or Granite up there, or both, and put whichever 4th outfielder who is not in the field at DH. Grossman should only play against lefties at this point.

Yes, it is good to see Molitor embracing advanced analytics, like subtraction.

 

I am disappointed in this team right now, so I'll pile on:  I vigorously defended the FO in the offseason Dozier negotiations, but I am now realizing he is mediocre.  His season statline is a mirror of his career numbers right now.  This team is desperately missing Breslow's clubhouse leadership.

 

I'd put Granite at lead-off.  He may be limited in many ways, but at least he's got moxie.

    • Mike Sixel and Tom Froemming like this

I don't see how a different closer would have affected last night's outcome. Nor a starting pitcher that woudn't have played and was on the squad for a whole week (during which time they still lost so much it was deemed pointless to keep him).


This is literally true but my general thought is players aren't robots. Selling at the deadline was going to lead to an inevitable deflation throughout the roster and probably coaching staff too.

Perhaps the right move to sell, but I would have soft bought, give some incentive for the young guys on the roster to fight through and finish strong and build on that going forward. Instead the season is over and they're going to limp for a while. I don't think the return they got is worth this cost.

The team might get a little second life when they call up Garver and perhaps the AA arms, but they aren't exactly elite guys.
    • USAFChief, Mike Sixel, adjacent and 1 other like this

 

This is literally true but my general thought is players aren't robots. Selling at the deadline was going to lead to an inevitable deflation throughout the roster and probably coaching staff too.

Perhaps the right move to sell, but I would have soft bought, give some incentive for the young guys on the roster to fight through and finish strong and build on that going forward. Instead the season is over and they're going to limp for a while. I don't think the return they got is worth this cost.

The team might get a little second life when they call up Garver and perhaps the AA arms, but they aren't exactly elite guys.

 

Sure, but that's where leadership comes into play to let the young players know the sky isn't falling... There's plenty of games left to play. Maybe Dozier gets a bad reputation because reporters seemingly only go to him for quotes in the paper. From the fan's perspective, he's leading the way complaining about the team selling, and not playing at a high level. 

    • Mike Sixel, Taildragger8791 and wsnydes like this

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