2017 Twins Player Predictions: Jorge Polanco
Mar 29 2017 11:10 PM |
Seth Stohs
in Minnesota Twins
Image courtesy of Seth Stohs, Twins Daily
Offensively, Polanco has been very consistent as he’s moved up the organizational ladder. In 132 games in AA, he hit .287/.340/.380 (.719). In 97 AAA games, he hit .278/.329/.433 (.762). So far in 78 big league games, he has hit .284/.340/.429 (.769). Polanco is now out of options. The shortstop job is his. Will he run with it? Can he take the next step and put it all together offensively and defensively?
Below you will find my predictions (or guesses, if you prefer) for Jorge Polanco’s 2017 season. Consider posting your thoughts and your predictions into the comments below. It’s always fun to take a look at the end of the season and see how our predictions look.
KEY NUMBERS
(-9.3) - That is Jorge Polanco’s defensive WAR according to FanGraphs. And that was in just 69 total games. His UZR/150 came in at (-32.3). Those are the numbers that Polanco will need to overcome defensively. To expect him to be a plus defender probably isn’t fair. To hope that he can be an adequate, or even average, defender is fair.
0.857 - That is Polanco’s OPS against left-handed pitchers. Against right-handers, he posted a .718 OPS. He is a natural right-hander, but he’s had many more at bats left-handed in his career. There is more power right-handed.
PREDICTIONS
Jorge Polanco: 456 at-bats, .287/.333/.436 (.769), 23 doubles, 6 triples, 11 home runs.
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Of the starters shown so far, I have Polanco at the fewest games played. First, I think the defense will cause Molitor to want to give him more time off and allow Eduardo Escobar to get into the lineup. I have him playing 135 games.
When Polanco was signed, he was a skinny kid. He has grown a lot, topping 200 pounds within the last couple of years. He has developed some power. That’s not to say he’s a 20 homer hitter, but he can certainly hit the teens in homers with more at bats. He’s got good speed to turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples.
In the second half last season, Polanco hit all over the lineup. Most of his at bats came in the #2 spot in the lineup. That is a good spot for him. However, I would guess we’ll see him all over the lineup, near the top or the bottom from day-to-day.
YOUR TURN
Your turn. Share your thoughts on and predictions on Jorge Polanco in 2017. We can take a look back at the end of the season and see how we did.
PREVIOUS PREDICTIONS
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Jorge Polanco
- Deduno Abides likes this
19 Comments
I would say his consistency from beginning to MLB is amazing so why stray from what he has been doing. I say that he hits the same as last year, but with more at bats he gets a few more home runs. Hopefully the one thing that changes is his fielding and I think it will improve but remain below replacement.
I honestly don't see how the Twins could sit a shortstop who's batting .280. With the atrocious pitching, they'll need their best bats in the lineup as often as possible. I see Polanco playing 150 games, regardless of his defense. Along with Buxton and Sano, he's one of the players I'm most excited about watching this year. While there's always a chance of the Danny Santana-style "sophomore slump", I have high hopes for this kid. I'd like to see him steal more bases.
Only 47 qualified hitters hit .287 or higher last year. I'd be thrilled if Polanco was in that group, and played decent enough SS.
.270 - .290 / .320 - .340 / .420 - .450
15 HR, 29 2B, 6 3B
He should be at 2B
I'm very excited about Polanco's future. He is going to be a cornerstone of some good Twins years coming up, once they manage to turnover the pitching staff.
Polanco is my sleeper guy on this year's roster. He's quietly been a good player for quite some time now and I expect him to transition to MLB better than other prospects have in recent years.
I'd be happy with a .730 OPS and thrilled with a .770 OPS.
He has to do better than his age 22 season .282/.332/.424 in 2016 and .284/.340/.429MLB total.
I am looking at .300/.365/.450 with 15 HR, 30 2B, and 15 SB or so, in a full season.
.270/.335/.410 with below average defense, which makes the left side of the infield, with Sano at 3rd, a mess defensively.
.275/.320/.435 (.755), 15 doubles, 2 triples, 10 HRs. Improves to average defensively and starts the entire year at SS. Why the entire year? Because, let's face it, we got nobody else.
Or if Sano is your DH do you put Polanco at 3B and Escobar at SS?
If he improves to average defensively at SS then we don't need anyone else.
Agreed. I hope it happens.
Amen to that.
that is the whole point.... The pitching NEEDS good defense behind it to be good pitching.
If he can be league average I would be happy.... and stunned.
He did work with David Eckstein who was a weenie armed guy that was able to make it work so hopefully hewillbe able to get it done.