Twins Daily 2021 Top Prospects: #3 Trevor Larnach
Image courtesy of Seth Stohs, Twins Daily (Graphic by Brock Beauchamp)Position: RF
Age: 23 (DOB: 2/26/1997)
2019 Stats (A+/AA): 542 PA, .309/.384/.458, 13 HR, 66 RBI
2020 Ranking: 3
National Top 100 Rankings
BA: 39 | MLB: 80 | ATH: NR | BP: 83 | ESPN: 37 | FG: 36
What’s To Like
Plus strike-zone awareness, a barrel path to drool over and an impressive physical frame that produces easy power. Trevor Larnach is the real deal at the plate.
Larnach appeared to be off to a blazing start last year, hitting .333/.467/.708 (1.175 OPS) in 13 games with the Twins before Spring Training was shut down. He likely would have opened the year in Double A and may have put himself in a position to make his MLB debut, depending on what opportunities opened up.
Back in 2019, Larnach was the Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year after slashing .309/.384/.458 (.842 OPS) in 542 plate appearances, two-thirds of which came in the notoriously pitcher-friendly Florida State League. Here are some highlights from that season:
Larnach is a big, strong guy, but his plate discipline tops anyone in the system, and may be as good as anybody in the entire org outside of Luis Arráez. Larnach would be the headline advanced bat in most systems, but he’s been overshadowed by Alex Kirilloff in that regard. Below is a video where I looked at the tale of the tape when it comes to these two stud Twins hitting prospects.
What’s Left To Work On
Let’s leave this one up to Keith Law of The Athletic, who did not include Larnach in his top 100 prospects list. From Law’s top 20 Twins list:
“He’s hit for average in pro ball with moderate power, mostly going the other way, which was a concern some scouts had on him in college as well — that he couldn’t pull pitches inside, and that would be how pitchers would attack him.”
This is not a new observation, but it’s one that persists. It’s entirely possible Larnach has made great strides over the past year in his ability to turn on a pitch, we just haven’t had the opportunity to see it.
Given the choice, I’d always bet on a hitter who can use the entire field learning how to hunt some pitches inside than a pull-happy hitter learning to take pitches the other way. That’s not to dismiss Law’s concern about Larnach’s swing, I’m just less concerned about that being what caps Larnach’s overall offensive upside.
Launch, who turns 24-years-old this Friday, has other deficiencies, but they mostly are what they are at this point. He’s never going to be a huge asset on the bases or in the field, though he does have a strong arm. Staying in shape and working on the finer things will keep him in the grass and prevent a move to first base becoming necessary in the future.
Forcing the issue. Larnach will be MLB ready sometime this year, but the Twins have many other corner outfield options and little incentive to add him to the 40-man roster. He’s going to need to create his own opportunity in 2021.
Eddie Rosario being non-tendered cleared some immediate space, but the Twins still have multi-year commitments to Max Kepler and Miguel Sanó. While Nelson Cruz is back for 2021, he’s not going to play forever (well … probably not), so there should be room for Larnach in the not-too-distant future even if Kirilloff takes off. Larnach may also be an attractive piece on the trade market later this summer if the Twins are looking for other upgrades.
With the staggered start — Triple A is slated to start in April, then every other level in May — it’s difficult to project what level a player may open the season. Larnach is among the non-roster invitees at Spring Training, so he may have an inside track for a spot on the St. Paul Saints, but given his place on the depth chart it wouldn’t surprise me if he stays back in Fort Myers and opens his season in Wichita.
Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects
20. Bailey Ober, RHP
19. Jose Miranda, INF
18. Alerick Soularie, OF
17. Ben Rortvedt, C
16. Edwar Colina, RHP
15. Cole Sands, RHP
14. Misael Urbina, OF
13. Matt Wallner, OF
12. Brent Rooker, OF/1B
11. Gilberto Celestino, OF
10. Blayne Enlow, RHP
9. Matt Canterino, RHP
8. Aaron Sabato, 1B
7. Keoni Cavaco, SS
6. Jordan Balazovic, RHP
5. Jhoan Duran, RHP
4. Ryan Jeffers, C
3. Trevor Larnach, RF
Stop by tomorrow for prospect #2!
MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
— Latest Twins coverage from our writers
— Recent Twins discussion in our forums
— Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
- Dman, dbminn, CUtomorrownight and 1 other like this