• Dark Days in Minnesota

    Well, I never expected it would be this bad.

    Sure, I had plenty of doubts about these 2012 Twins. I realized I was being somewhat optimistic when I projected them to finish around .500, and I also realized that there was a chance injuries could pile up and send the club into the same sort of spiral that engulfed it last summer.

    The thing is, the roster has remained relatively healthy. Outside of Scott Baker, the Twins have largely been playing with the group that they hoped to have this season. And yet, they've still been almost every bit as bad as they were in the final two months of the 2011 season, when under-qualified minor-leaguers filled the lineup and apathy seemed to take hold of a team that dropped 41 of its final 54 games.

    It's getting worse, not better. What is going on?

    A sense of hopelessness currently permeates this organization from top to bottom. Players and coaches are despondent in their quotes. The front office appears totally clueless, cycling through Quad-A players like Clete Thomas and Erik Komatsu while making the same kind of blunders handling injured players as they did last year. The lineup, which figured to be Minnesota's greatest strength, just went through the worst offensive slump in modern major-league history.

    And then of course there's the starting pitching. It's been outrageously awful, and there's little hope on the horizon. Just take a look at the organization's top three pitching prospects:

    1) Liam Hendriks opened the season with the big-league club after a good spring and has been utterly over-matched by MLB hitters, posting a 9.00 ERA, 1.89 WHIP and 9-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio while coughing up five homers in 18 innings. He's now been replaced in the rotation by Scott Diamond, who will probably fare better but not by a lot.

    2) Kyle Gibson is recovering from Tommy John. He's expected back next year, but Twins fans know all too well that the process of returning to full strength after elbow surgery can drag on and ding a pitcher's upside.

    3) Alex Wimmers, whom the Twins were also counting on to be knocking on the door next year, is currently on the shelf indefinitely with – what else? – an elbow tear. The medical staff has opted to avoid surgery for now, but we know how that goes.

    Aside from Diamond, Nick Blackburn is the only current member of the rotation under contract beyond this year. The Twins don't have quality pitching prospects coming up on the farm, they don't have many assets that they can trade for impact arms, and with attendance dropping precipitously it seems highly unlikely that they'll come up with the money it takes to bring in legitimate help through free agency.

    This organization is in dire shape. Here in Year 3 of a beautiful new stadium, the current situation is downright depressing. Strong leadership is required to bring the Twins out of this miserable funk, and frankly the front office's bumbling desperation hardly inspires confidence.

    It's time to make something happen. This is beyond unacceptable, and the fans deserve a whole lot better. I'm not calling for anyone to lose their job, I'm calling for some people to step the hell up.
    This article was originally published in blog: Dark Days in Minnesota started by Nick Nelson
    Comments 41 Comments
    1. USAFChief's Avatar
      USAFChief -
      I was in attendance in Seattle for all three games. Been to a lot of major leader games in my life and never have I witnessed such a hopeless depressed group. I had great seats though.
    1. Bark's Lounge's Avatar
      Bark's Lounge -
      Shiznit. If what you are saying about Wimmers is true, that is awful. What the hell happened? Bad luck and scouting has become the Twin's Organizations best friend. Notes should be taken on soft throwers as they are on hard throwers to predict arm injury. This team is a long ways out from contending again. I might have to start attending little league baseball games to see a game effectively executed. I'd rather do that than watch the Saints play. Cool Logo, but watching washed up sub AAA play baseball players give it a go is not on my radar.
    1. one_eyed_jack's Avatar
      one_eyed_jack -
      Good piece, Nick.

      I especially liked your last sentence about calling for people to "step the hell up". We knew this team was flawed, but they're capable of playing better than this.

      A lot if the fans ire is directed at TR and Gardy, and some of that is justified (especially in TR's case as you pointed out). But utlimately, players have to go out and perform. The fact the a bunch of fringe MLB players have been suffled in and out does not excuse the lame-ass uninspired baseball we've seen from the regulars.
    1. nokomismod's Avatar
      nokomismod -
      I was not expecting this either. This latest hitting slump is really tough to watch. I think Ryan did a decent job in the offseason by bringing in Carrol, Willingham, and Doumit. Right now though, the only guy in the lineup with the potential to go deep is Willingham. In retrospect, knowing that Morneau was iffy at best to bounce back, they should have tried to resign Kubel to keep another pro hitter in the lineup.
      The lack of starting pitching remains the largest concern though. It's going to take some great moves/trades to reload.
    1. peterb18's Avatar
      peterb18 -
      I mentioned this quite a bit last year---that we were going to be the worst team in baseball( this season). How can you improve when you don't re-sign your base(Kuble, Cuddyer,Nathan) and make terrible decisions like the Wilson Ramos trade and the giving away of Hardy? I mentioned that I thought that if Hendricks is our future in pitching we are in trouble. Some did not like this! The solution was to keep our core of players until the A-level players arrived( 2-3 years) and sign free agents pitchers. I know this takes money, but the Pohlad family has the ability to do this. Example: the Cardinals--a model franchise. A francise considered mid-market, which we are now. To use a baseball term- "The Pohlads, or ownership, has not stepped up to the plate. Cutting payroll with a new stadium is terrible thing to do to the fans. Can you imagine what it is going to be like in mid-summer? Yes, with a weak farm system at the high level--the only solution to have a competitive team in the short term is to sign quality free agents, especially pitchers.
    1. Big Daddy H's Avatar
      Big Daddy H -
      Quote Originally Posted by USAFChief View Post
      I was in attendance in Seattle for all three games. Been to a lot of major leader games in my life and never have I witnessed such a hopeless depressed group. I had great seats though.

      I didn't attend the games, but have two thoughts. First, since almost all our pitchers are dying on the mound, this comes from studying Jim Kaat. As he neared the end of his career his success started to fall off. So he started pitching at a faster pace. It accomplished two things. First the defense was more on their toes because the game was speeding up. Second it didn't give the hitters as much time to regroup. A study was done several years ago of a college team. The longer they were able to wait between pitches the more success they had hitting. They repeated the test and had similar results. Second, the Twin's organization favors pitchers using the slider as a favored pitch. This pitch is considered hard on the arm. Maybe that's where all the arm injuries are coming from. Maybe they should change that thought to a cutter like Rivera throws, or a sinker. The Giants favored the fork ball in the 80's and also experienced a large amount of arm injuries so the Twin's could be suffering from a similar fate, I'm just saying....
    1. glunn's Avatar
      glunn -
      I was in attendance in Seattle for all three games. Been to a lot of major leader games in my life and never have I witnessed such a hopeless depressed group. I had great seats though.
      I had the same experience in Anaheim, and the Twins did not even get a single hit that night. The team seemed to be just going through the motions -- not enjoying the honor of being MLB players.
    1. frightwig's Avatar
      frightwig -
      Fortunately, Terry Ryan should have plenty of budget to fill at least two rotation spots with quality pitchers next season.

      Unfortunately, the lineup is also in dire need of upgrades at 5 spots; and even if Morneau is healthy next year, he'll probably need to be replaced in 2014, too. I don't think money alone could fix enough holes to make the team a contender anytime soon. I expect we'll have to wait for Ryan to rebuild the farm system before we get back to enjoying pennant races again.
    1. Shane Wahl's Avatar
      Shane Wahl -
      Yeah, I mean until last week, Span, Mauer, and Morneau were all healthy. That condition was the main thing, to me, in making this a potentially winning season. What on earth?

      1. Some trade or FA pitching signing MUST happen this year/this offseason. And it must be damn serious. No more Marquis stuff.

      2. Everyone should just stop talking about the magical "BPA" in the draft and just admit that the top two picks should be pitchers and out of the top 15, perhaps 10 should be pitchers.
    1. twinswon1991's Avatar
      twinswon1991 -
      Nice honest article. We see too much homerism around here and not enough reality.

      Bottom line is if Ryan screws up this upcoming draft the team will drift off into the abyss like it did in th 90's. I don't have much hope in Ryan or his scouting department as they have royally bombed in the draft in recent years and always seem to gravitate towards low-ceiling pitchers and toolsy OF's that never seem to develop.

      Ryan needs to go if this org has any chance of avoiding the moniker "Pittsburg West".
    1. roger's Avatar
      roger -
      This has been more than depressing. What I don't understand is why this lineup isn't more potent? Mr. Ryan did a good job filling the holes in the lineup with the budget he had available this winter. Defensively, they aren't as bad as they were last year, expecially at shortstop. In hindsight, his moves to sign many bullpen options appears to be holding as several are doing well and Burton has been great.

      But as a wise man once said, "you are only as good as your next starting pitcher." And our next starting pitcher is likely to be worse than his opponent...day after day after day. Now count me amongst those who believe that Liam Hendriks will be a very good major league pitcher, perhaps similar to Brad Radke. But that is only one of five in the rotation and he needs most of this year at AAA. Where are the other four going to come from?

      As much as many would like the problem solved tomorrow, that isn't going to happen. I assume that Mr. Ryan has a calendar and has circled 2014 or 2015 as the year he will get us back into contention. Every major move he makes will be part of that overall plan, beginning with June's draft and July's trades. The other moves of picking up some of these guys on waivers (Thomas, Komatsu) isn't part of that plan, those are done to try to become less bad today.

      As we lose every day, I ask, where is the leadership in the clubhouse? When is one of our highly paid players going to step up and say "get on my back and I will lead us to victory?"
    1. mediocre's Avatar
      mediocre -
      Quote Originally Posted by roger View Post
      As we lose every day, I ask, where is the leadership in the clubhouse?
      ...Colorado?
    1. Seth Stohs's Avatar
      Seth Stohs -
      When I saw the title and the dark cloud picture, I wanted to roll my eyes and say "Uggh, another negative article. But then I read through it and there really isn't anything that I can disagree with. I will almost always choose to try to find positive, but this year it is going to be really difficult. And unfortunately, as much as I look forward to seeing more and more young players, the losing is not going to go away for a long time... and it all comes down to, as others have said, the starting pitching.

      I remain, to some extent, less worried about the offense, although when Morneau is not in the lineup, it certainly seems not very potent.
      As Nick wrote to start the article, there is no way I could have anticipated it being this bad. And I only predicted 77 wins... and dropped that to 72 when Baker was hurt. Now I'm thinking 72 is really, really optimistic! they would have to go 65-70, just five games below .500 the rest of the way... can anyone see that happening?
    1. Seth Stohs's Avatar
      Seth Stohs -
      Quote Originally Posted by mediocre View Post
      ...Colorado?
      That is correct!
    1. sotafan's Avatar
      sotafan -
      Great article, Nick.

      This ownership is getting embarrassed. They will not continue to take the losing with the awful play and with have heads rolling soon. If it doesn't happen in-season it will happen right after the season. They fired Bill Smith last year. First time we have seen the Pohlad's do that. They see this organization as a money making business. If they don't make money with this business, they will blame the people in charge(TR and Coaching Staff) and find people that will make them the money that is expected.

      This is not the '80's nor is it the '00's because what you did 10 years or 30 years ago is in the past. The entire organization is 2 or 3 steps behind most teams in baseball. There needs to be new, younger minds running this organization and I feel the Pohlads will do just that if this continues.

      I do think people's jobs need to be lost. They have been lost for a lot less!
    1. Rosterman's Avatar
      Rosterman -
      You can talk about siging free agents, but who would want to play here...NOW! And the Twins don't throw money around. Hate the comparison to Pittsburgh, ut the team will be forced to build a roster from other organizations 26th and 27th players and wait for the minors to unfold.
    1. ScottyB's Avatar
      ScottyB -
      Quote Originally Posted by shanewahl View Post
      1. Some trade or FA pitching signing MUST happen this year/this offseason. And it must be damn serious. No more Marquis stuff.
      The need for FA pitching is a must, but actually Marquis has been one of our better starters (not that that's saying much). At this point I'd take 3 more Marquis as opposed to Liriano, Hendricks and Blackburn. The good news is that over the weekend, Gardy actually said we need to find a bunch of these guys that throw in the mid 90's and bring them up through the system - a possible change in philosophy over our pitch to contact philosophy?

      Of course the last rainbow of this storm we're putting up with this season is two straight years with a #1 or #2 pick in the draft. Now if we can just pick a Bryce Harper and Steven Strassberg.
    1. roger's Avatar
      roger -
      Quote Originally Posted by Seth Stohs View Post
      That is correct!
      As I trust you know, my point was that several players who are being paid very well need to step up and be those leaders.
    1. JB_Iowa's Avatar
      JB_Iowa -
      I predicted a 72-88 season (apparently I can’t add to 162). To reach the 72 mark, they will need to win 65 of their next 135 games. A .481 clip – seemingly do-able but I have no faith that it will happen.

      As I have said repeatedly for more than a year, I believe that this franchise is stagnant and, like a pool of stagnant water, the stench is getting worse over time. There is very little change in the leadership of this organization – on the field or in the front office. Even when there are changes, they typically promote from within or recycle. No one was ever hired to challenge their belief systems or to inject new energy, talent and ideas. Even if you think you are performing perfectly, being challenged by the ideas of others helps you to refine your own performance.

      Interestingly, when he stepped down from the GM’s job, Terry Ryan was quoted in the Star Tribune as follows: "The game has changed since I've entered," Ryan said. "It's for bright, energetic negotiators, moreso than anything I possess.”

      I think he was right. I think the Twins made a mistake in promoting Bill Smith but I don’t think that recycling Terry Ryan is the answer. I strongly favor hiring a new GM from outside the organization – someone with some baseball knowledge – who can sift through what the Twins are doing with a fresh eye and to keep what works and revamp what doesn’t.

      I don’t think that job can be done by a Twins “insider” like Ryan. He and other longtime Twins management staff members have too much of a personal investment in what they have done in the past and in the personnel who currently occupy key positions with the club.

      I’m not calling for a clean sweep of all front office and coaching staff but I do think that they need to come under the scrutiny of a strong baseball personality with a fresh eye. I’m not sure who that would be but I’m sure that others will have some suggestions.
    1. ScottyB's Avatar
      ScottyB -
      Guys that they should have gone after (although it would have cost money) are Erik Bedard, Bartolo Colon, and Joe Saunders. Also Oswalt is still out there.
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