• Would a Six-Man Rotation Make Sense?

    Scott Diamond of the Minnesota Twins deliversThe Twins have taken a "quantity, not quality" approaching in assembling their starting rotation this winter, piling up numerous pitchers with limited upside and low price tags. Several of the hurlers that will be in the mix for starting jobs in the spring happen to be tagged with question marks due to recent health issues..

    Kyle Gibson returned late last year from Tommy John surgery and hasn't yet pitched in the majors. Mike Pelfrey is returning from his own TJ operation, which he underwent last May. Vance Worley and Scott Diamond both had minor elbow scopes during the offseason. Rich Harden is trying to come back from major shoulder surgery.

    Given the sheer number of available arms and the fragile nature of many of them, would it make sense for the Twins to open the season with a six-man rotation? This would allow them to get early looks at several different guys while also increasing the rest periods between starts. With pitchers like Gibson and Pelfrey likely to be facing inning restrictions, this approach might help them pitch later into the year. And while the Twins lack punch at the top end of their rotation, they have no shortage of No. 4/5 types so going with six starters wouldn't necessarily dilute the overall quality of the unit much.

    Assuming they won't be adding any more legit arms, the Twins have put themselves into a bit of a quirky situation, with a high volume of potentially useful starters but a daunting shortage of reliability. In order to work these circumstances to their advantage, they might need to get a little creative.

    What do you think?
    This article was originally published in blog: Would a Six-Man Rotation Make Sense? started by Nick Nelson
    Comments 55 Comments
    1. Winston Smith's Avatar
      Winston Smith -
      Get some decent pitchers so we don't need to worry about it!

      Or are we still going with throw enough mud against the wall maybe some will stick plan?
    1. Andrew Bryz-Gornia's Avatar
      Andrew Bryz-Gornia -
      The idea is good in theory, especially with giving fewer innings to all the pitchers coming back from injury, but as jmlease1 said above, Gardy and Anderson would never do it. They'd probably cite something like "pitchers are uncomfortable if they were asked to regularly start every 6th day."
    1. Jim Crikket's Avatar
      Jim Crikket -
      Quote Originally Posted by Winston Smith View Post
      Get some decent pitchers so we don't need to worry about it!

      Or are we still going with throw enough mud against the wall maybe some will stick plan?
      I believe that even those of us who held out hope a couple of months ago that there would be a genuine effort to improve the top of the rotation realize now that the "throw mud and see what sticks" approach is, indeed, the plan... again.

      As for the 6 man rotation approach, if you had 6-7 #3 starters, I might buy in to it because you could shave your bullpen by one arm. But when you've got 6-7 back-end starters, you need to keep a full contingent of bullpen arms. There's really no way to go with one fewer position player, especially when you don't exactly have a roster of offensive talent that you can count on every day.
    1. Chance's Avatar
      Chance -
      I don't see what people have against the twins carrying extra pitchers. The bench players the twins carry are all versital enough to cover rest days at several positions. We don't carry a bench guy who can only play 3rd or 1st. With mastroanni covering all outfield positions, and all the guys that regularly get rotated in the MI can also give Plouffe rest, parmelee and mauer can cover first Doumit can catch. We would most likely be choosing between carrying an extra pitcher or butera.

      go with a 6 man rotation and then skip the sore arms or limited pitchers on off days to keep the strain even lower. They could last a whole season then if healthy and pitching well.
    1. Chance's Avatar
      Chance -
      We don't have a pitcher that HAS TO pitch every 5th game.
    1. sotafan's Avatar
      sotafan -
      If you were to go with this 6 man rotation idea the question is do you keep 12 or 11 pitchers? If they are willing to at least try this idea, one thing that could work and still keep 11 pitchers would be to have one or two of the starters not throw their bullpen/side session until the 7th or 8th inning of the game. So if you do needed a mopup/long man because the starter got shelled/hurt early, there would still be someone available.

      This would allow the bench to be full and not down a man.
    1. ThePuck's Avatar
      ThePuck -
      Quote Originally Posted by sotafan View Post
      If you were to go with this 6 man rotation idea the question is do you keep 12 or 11 pitchers? If they are willing to at least try this idea, one thing that could work and still keep 11 pitchers would be to have one or two of the starters not throw their bullpen/side session until the 7th or 8th inning of the game. So if you do needed a mopup/long man because the starter got shelled/hurt early, there would still be someone available.


      This would allow the bench to be full and not down a man.
      Wouldn't the bullpen still need to be used the same amount? We've often carried 5 guys for the rotation and 8 guys in the pen (13 pitchers). Now we're talking about adding a sixth starter, but the bullpen will still be worked the same amount. We gonna drop a reliever? If so, we're still looking at 13 pitchers along with our 3 catchers.
    1. Boom Boom's Avatar
      Boom Boom -
      Quote Originally Posted by ThePuck View Post
      Wouldn't the bullpen still need to be used the same amount? We've often carried 5 guys for the rotation and 8 guys in the pen (13 pitchers). Now we're talking about adding a sixth starter, but the bullpen will still be worked the same amount. We gonna drop a reliever? If so, we're still looking at 13 pitchers along with our 3 catchers.
      Don't forget that the Twins always carry one position player who isn't available but isn't put on the DL either.
    1. jeffk's Avatar
      jeffk -
      This came up some last year as well. I actually don't see why not break down the distinction between "starter" and "reliever". The added flexibility would keep oppoents off-balance in terms of platoons, and you would be free to quickly remove a pitcher who wasn't having a good day. Nobody would wear themselves down throwning 100 pitches. Pitchers who only have two good pitches wouldn't be as exposed, and most would only see each batter once or twice at the most. The entire distinction seems somewhat arbitrary, borne out of baseball history.

      Maybe it wouldn't work. But when you have nothing to lose and terrible starting pitching (not to mention decent relief pitching) perhaps it's the next moneyball.
    1. jorgenswest's Avatar
      jorgenswest -
      Someone is going to figure out how to utilize the pitching staff to get the numbers back down to an 11 man staff.

      The decrease in bench spots has taken away true platooning from baseball.

      Look at the 1991 Twins roster. They must have had a 10 man staff at times. Look at the possibilities on the bench. You have a true platoon at 3B. You have bench bats in Larkin, Bush, Leius/Pags and Munoz. They still had a spot for a back up catcher in Ortiz and middle infielder in Newman. How would the Twins have configured that roster if they had to carry 12 or 13 pitchers? They would have to have Newman and Ortiz. They were lucky to have a starting corner OF who could move to CF allowing them to carry a guy like Bush. If it is a 13 man staff, that is it. No Leius, Larkin or Munoz.

      Let's be the team that figures out how to increase the bench and reduce the size of the pitching staff. The first step is to utilize and reconfigure the bullpen very differently.
    1. Kwak's Avatar
      Kwak -
      It seems like a poorly conceived idea. The Twins lack quality in the starting pitcher category, therefore it make more sense to reduce the number of SPs. Use a 4-man rotation, limit to 5 innings and have 4 designated middle/long relief (one for each) to pitch 2-3 innings. Add 3 setup/extra innings guys and one closer for a total of 12 pitchers.
    1. Boom Boom's Avatar
      Boom Boom -
      Quote Originally Posted by jorgenswest View Post
      Someone is going to figure out how to utilize the pitching staff to get the numbers back down to an 11 man staff.

      The decrease in bench spots has taken away true platooning from baseball.

      Look at the 1991 Twins roster. They must have had a 10 man staff at times. Look at the possibilities on the bench. You have a true platoon at 3B. You have bench bats in Larkin, Bush, Leius/Pags and Munoz. They still had a spot for a back up catcher in Ortiz and middle infielder in Newman. How would the Twins have configured that roster if they had to carry 12 or 13 pitchers? They would have to have Newman and Ortiz. They were lucky to have a starting corner OF who could move to CF allowing them to carry a guy like Bush. If it is a 13 man staff, that is it. No Leius, Larkin or Munoz.

      Let's be the team that figures out how to increase the bench and reduce the size of the pitching staff. The first step is to utilize and reconfigure the bullpen very differently.
      A couple things TK did differently in 1991 was that he a) allowed his pitchers to throw more than 100 pitches if they could, and b) he brought Aguilera in for saves in the 8th inning if it was a platoon advantage.
    1. johnnydakota's Avatar
      johnnydakota -
      I fully expect Nick Blackburn to be spoon fed innings this spring training(softer minor leaquers)so his numbers appear better then they should, giving the Twins an exscuse to bring him north, so there is 1 spot that will be opening up in may or june for Pelfrey or Gibson
    1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
      ashburyjohn -
      I can see two main objection to a 6-man: a) it takes innings away from your best, or two best, or three best starters (not an issue for a last-place team like the Twins who lack a defined ace), and b) it takes away an available relief arm, making it usually necessary to add another pitcher to the staff (already discussed).

      So I think the main time it would make sense to go this route is if you have a rotation composed entirely of 5.00 ERA innings-eaters - guys who can be counted on to usually give you seven innings at which point they've given up 2-to-5 runs, which you then turn over to the bullpen depending on how much you are ahead or behind.

      A rotation of fragile-armed starters is kind of the opposite of that criterion.

      Also, I would prefer to do it with a manager who was more comfortable with an 11-man staff (when using 5 starters), and that is a rarity these days. If Gardy would go to the 6-man rotation only if he had 13 pitchers on the roster, and given his preference for 3 catchers, it would mean also the batting lineup needs to be nearly set with productive regulars at every position, which is far from the case, again this shaping up as a last-place team.
    1. krada1212's Avatar
      krada1212 -
      I'm just afraid that not even 5 of these guys will be serviceable, let alone 6. Maybe try it out for the first couple of weeks to weed out the worst guy.
    1. darin617's Avatar
      darin617 -
      Quote Originally Posted by Nick Nelson View Post
      So if the Twins would go with a 6 man rotation they would have to add 3 more starters.
      Diamond
      Worley
      Pelfrey
      FA
      FA
      FA/ Dudeno?
    1. noonespecial's Avatar
      noonespecial -
      Since Twins pitchers are limited to 100 pitches they should go with a 4 man rotation and keep 2 in reserve as needed. Our current staff would hit 100 pitched by the 6th inning. With off days there is a reduced need for a 5th starter. The 2 extras could be used in relief and then as starters when they play a bunch of games without a break. I wish Gardy and Andy would get more creative.
    1. noonespecial's Avatar
      noonespecial -
      Since Twins pitchers are limited to 100 pitches they should go with a 4 man rotation and keep 2 in reserve as needed. Our current staff would hit 100 pitched by the 6th inning. With off days there is a reduced need for a 5th starter. The 2 extras could be used in relief and then as starters when they play a bunch of games without a break. I wish Gardy and Andy would get more creative.
    1. TheLeviathan's Avatar
      TheLeviathan -
      Quote Originally Posted by Jim Crikket View Post
      As for the 6 man rotation approach, if you had 6-7 #3 starters, I might buy in to it because you could shave your bullpen by one arm. But when you've got 6-7 back-end starters, you need to keep a full contingent of bullpen arms..
      Yeah...pretty much this.
    1. twinsnorth49's Avatar
      twinsnorth49 -
      I've got to side with going with the best 5, that may change from time to time at the back end but taking away starts from your top 3, whoever they might be, isn't giving you your best shot of winning.

      I'm also not sure how going with a six man rotation saves your bullpen with less arms available.
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