• All The Way May?

    When the Minnesota Twins traded Ben Revere to the Phillies, they acquired one pitcher to help them in the present (Vance Worley) and one for the future (Trevor May).

    In Worley, the Twins landed a somewhat seasoned middle-of-the-rotation starter who has above-average movement. But Worley had recent elbow issues, necessitating the addition of the Phillies’ top prospect, May.

    May’s pedigree is strong. His velocity ranges up to 95 complimented with a decent curve and an improving changeup. Unlike the majority of his Minnesota pitching prospect counterparts, May has been able to get batters “out” by throwing three “strikes”. On his way to these “strike outs”, he has avoided bats but also the strike zone as well – an aspect of his game which may have soured the Phillies on his potential.

    Now in the Twins’ system, can they get the maximum return out of his abilities and turn him into a top of the rotation arm?

    Within the 2012 season, the 22-year-old May impressively led the Eastern League in strikeouts (151), exhibiting dominance at times over his elder competition in his first stint Double-A ball. However, he also topped the league in walks (78) and home runs allowed (22). Both are somewhat disconcerting figures coming from the Phillies’ minor league pitcher of the year in 2011.

    The home runs allowed spiked significantly from eight total the previous year – certainly a byproduct of leaving the pitcher-friendly Florida State League and facing tougher competition – but the walk rate also increased after showing signs of improvement in his command in 2011.

    The struggle with his control is nothing new to May. In his first three years of professional baseball, while compiling impressive strikeout numbers, the right-hander walked 13.7% of all batters faced. In efforts to correct this issue, the Phillies attempted to corral his mechanics and smooth them out. According to May after his 2011 season, in which he made inroads towards bettering his free pass rates, he told reporters that:

    “Every year, I seem to smooth out more of the movement. In high school, I was flailing around, leg kicks, moving my head. It made repeating what I did on a daily basis not easy, and now that I throw so many pitches, it made fatigue an issue. I've quieted the leg kick. It's very short now, I don't move my hands as much. I've gotten the ball down.”
    Although he may have made some significant strides in the overall quality, there was a remaining kink in his delivery.

    From video footage collected in 2011 by Baseball-Instinct.com, one thing that jumps out about May’s mechanics is an unstable balance point which affects his ability to keep everything consistent and encourages rushing through his delivery. Here are some stills of May at his balance point and while beginning to drive forward. Notice how his back foot is coming unglued from the rubber:




    While this is isolated to his wind-up and not a trait exhibited on each delivery, it was something that likely influenced his overall command. Compare the above images to one of the other recent prospect acquisition, Alex Meyer. Notice how Meyer’s back foot stays flush and allows his upper body to remain balanced at the peak of his delivery:



    The Phillies coaching staff and instructors likely noticed this problem area and have tried to get him to adjust. In 2012, while in Double-A Reading, May closed his pre-delivery stance thereby reducing the additional foot movement and, hopefully, leading to a more stable balance point.




    So far, the change led to more walks (not to mention, home runs). Now, this could be a byproduct of adapting to a new delivery or it could be that the change never corrected his balance problem. At 23 in 2013, the Twins have the opportunity to continue to hone May’s mechanics in attempts to harness his above-average velocity and swing-and-miss secondary offerings.

    As the organization sets their sights to 2014 and beyond, May's progress - particularly in the walks department - will be closely monitored as they try to refine him into a frontline starter.
    mnfanforlife likes this.
    This article was originally published in blog: All The Way May? started by Parker Hageman
    Comments 15 Comments
    1. Shane Wahl's Avatar
      Shane Wahl -
      Good analysis. He is a bit lower on my list of prospects, but is still just behind Gibson and Berrios. If the nay-sayers are right and he is a 4-5 starter, then jump up and down for that because it is a MAJOR improvement over the garbage recently trotted out there and what is going to be trotted out there in 2013 with Correia.
    1. Seth Stohs's Avatar
      Seth Stohs -
      If he had walked even 20-25 fewer batters over the course of the season, he's probably closer to the 4-6 rankings, but instead, he should be in people's 7-9 range... I do like the upside here though!
    1. Top Gun's Avatar
      Top Gun -
      We live in the present, the future is only a dream. Take care of the present or there will be no future.
    1. halfchest's Avatar
      halfchest -
      One thing to consider is that his walks and homeruns may have been partially due to trying to rework his mechanics. The homeruns especially seem like an outlier to me. I just checked his MILB.com page and it looks like he had a nice August/September where he improved on these numbers. in 39 2/3 innings he had 42 K's (9.4 /9), 14 BB's (3.17/9), and 3 HR's (.68/9).

      So while it's a small sample it is close to 1/3 of his season and it's the last part when you would hope he had adjusted to the league. In fact looking overall he had a very good April, followed by a rough May/June/July then a nice August/September. Maybe the league adjusted to him and he finally figured out how to attack back come August. Either way, I think he's a top 5 guy and don't put him much behind Meyer if at all.
    1. Docsilly's Avatar
      Docsilly -
      The key to getting the ball down in the zone is to get on top of the ball. Obviously, easier said than done. But as a HS pitching coach, I have to evaluate a bunch of kids with horrible mechanics that their summer coaches have taught them. Getting the ball out of the glove is the primary thing do and to do this right, a pitcher needs to do this. Keep the glove and pitching hand down by the belly button. By doing this, the throwing hand has to "go up" which makes it easier to get on top. DO NOT LIFT hands with leg lift as this will make it difficult to get on top quicker and not lag behind. The less motion, the more liklihood to be able to repeat the mechanics. I haven't seen his motion and cannot comment exactly what he does, but I bet his hand placement could be better as well as his motion itself and make it more compact.
    1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
      ashburyjohn -
      > May has been able to get batters “out” by throwing three “strikes”. On his way to these “strike outs”,

      This is an interesting and different way of looking at pitching, indeed at the game itself. You may be onto something here.
    1. Jack Torse's Avatar
      Jack Torse -
      good stuff
    1. Paul Pleiss's Avatar
      Paul Pleiss -
      Terrible one-liner to follow:

      MAY the odds be ever in his favor.

      BOOM!
    1. Mark_RM's Avatar
      Mark_RM -
      Great article. Hopefully that changeup keeps comming around. Combine his talent with the Twins' organizational emphasis on throwing strikes, and possibly we get a legit # 2 caliber SP. Am I asking too much for the 2015 rotation to have a 1(Meyer) backed by two 2s (May & Gibson)?
    1. diehardtwinsfan's Avatar
      diehardtwinsfan -
      Quote Originally Posted by halfchest View Post
      One thing to consider is that his walks and homeruns may have been partially due to trying to rework his mechanics. The homeruns especially seem like an outlier to me. I just checked his MILB.com page and it looks like he had a nice August/September where he improved on these numbers. in 39 2/3 innings he had 42 K's (9.4 /9), 14 BB's (3.17/9), and 3 HR's (.68/9).

      So while it's a small sample it is close to 1/3 of his season and it's the last part when you would hope he had adjusted to the league. In fact looking overall he had a very good April, followed by a rough May/June/July then a nice August/September. Maybe the league adjusted to him and he finally figured out how to attack back come August. Either way, I think he's a top 5 guy and don't put him much behind Meyer if at all.
      This is more encouraging... wonder if Parker can pick up some photos from his delivery during this timeframe...
    1. kab21's Avatar
      kab21 -
      Quote Originally Posted by Mark_RM View Post
      Great article. Hopefully that changeup keeps comming around. Combine his talent with the Twins' organizational emphasis on throwing strikes, and possibly we get a legit # 2 caliber SP. Am I asking too much for the 2015 rotation to have a 1(Meyer) backed by two 2s (May & Gibson)?
      I think getting two #3's by 2015 is optimistic.
    1. mnfanforlife's Avatar
      mnfanforlife -
      Quote Originally Posted by kab21 View Post
      I think getting two #3's by 2015 is optimistic.
      True, it is being optimistic. What is the problem with that?
    1. kab21's Avatar
      kab21 -
      It's just as likely that the Twins get zero #3's by 2015. This board has been taken over by those that only see upside in prospects.
    1. mnfanforlife's Avatar
      mnfanforlife -
      Quote Originally Posted by kab21 View Post
      It's just as likely that the Twins get zero #3's by 2015. This board has been taken over by those that only see upside in prospects.
      That would be a total fail on the Revere and Span trade. Worley aint enough, and there are no guarantees with him either.
    1. kab21's Avatar
      kab21 -
      It would be very disappointing but that's how prospects work. It's pretty obvious that you haven't followed prospects for more than a season or two. 2 years ago someone could have had the same expectations of Salcedo/Gibson/Wimmers. 2 TJ's and an injured arm later we're still waiting and Gibson is just getting back to where he was. A couple of seasons before that Hunt dominated rookie ball and then couldn't find the strike zone in A ball. Gutierrez looked good and Bromberg had a great season in Beloit. None of those guys worked out either. May/Meyer/Gibson is better than those guys but the prospect failure is far higher than you are willing to even consider and it's making your optimism look foolish.
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